Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved

350

Trades

2,976

lifetime

Volume

$2.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-12

last 10-30 06:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Politics

61% 58% -$1

Other

24% 46% +$36

Sports

9% 68% +$46

Crypto

3% 15% -$45

Tech

3% 62% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
iran coup attempt by december 31	No		+0	$0	88¢	$0	$0	08-18 04:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	190	$155	299	232	+66	Yes	+$55	07-07 17:44
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	204	$145	199	182	+17	Yes	+$15	06-17 23:58
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	144	$106	122	119	+3	Yes	+$28	06-14 22:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	155	$78	94	94	+0	open	—	09-11 12:33
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	67	$78	491	489	+1	No	-$7	06-16 05:26
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	74	$63	180	168	+12	Yes	+$2	07-21 17:40
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	24	$43	2,444	2,444	+0	open	—	10-30 06:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	73	$41	32	30	+2	Yes	+$5	06-16 02:41
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	29	$38	49	47	+2	No	-$12	06-19 00:44
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	34	$37	629	625	+3	No	-$11	06-13 13:45
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	23	$36	51	44	+7	Yes	+$0	06-12 20:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	47	$33	65	65	+0	No	-$5	06-23 08:42
us iran nuclear deal by july 31	31	$31	33	0	+33	Yes	+$2	06-15 02:38
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	8	$31	81	42	+39	Belgium	+$58	07-01 22:01
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	23	$28	204	9	+194	Yes	-$1	06-17 19:30
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	80	$27	21	19	+2	Yes	-$1	06-18 18:17
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	18	$27	43	43	+0	Yes	+$5	06-14 21:31
will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	20	$25	29	27	+2	Yes	-$1	06-17 23:36
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	16	$23	22	20	+2	Yes	+$3	06-12 16:18
will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	20	$23	24	24	+0	Yes	+$1	06-18 00:05
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	21	$21	19	19	+0	Yes	+$5	06-14 21:19
iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	16	$20	15	15	+0	No	+$2	07-18 03:41
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	19	$17	24	22	+2	Yes	-$3	07-14 00:58
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	17	$17	65	0	+65	Norway	-$17	07-05 21:49
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	12	$17	22	22	+0	Yes	-$1	06-14 21:28
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 18	11	$16	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	06-14 21:17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	9	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	09-10 18:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	14	$16	87	85	+2	No	-$8	06-12 19:55
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	26	$15	100	100	+0	open	—	10-20 08:33
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	33	$15	21	21	+0	Yes	+$3	06-18 00:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 06:12:30	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xa7e63e…
10-30 06:12:28	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	26	12¢	$3	0xf73d0f…
10-30 06:12:28	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0xf64b5a…
10-30 06:12:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0xf29c91…
10-30 06:12:28	Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xe54e43…
10-30 06:12:28	Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xd85278…
10-30 06:12:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xcd2636…
10-30 06:12:28	Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0xccfdeb…
10-30 06:12:28	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xc7a93f…
10-30 06:12:28	Israeli Knesset election annulled?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xc4f507…
10-30 06:12:28	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,833	1¢	$17	0xc0a934…
10-30 06:12:28	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	75	5¢	$4	0xbe91a9…
10-30 06:12:28	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0xbe0309…
10-30 06:12:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 18% or more?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xba9ded…
10-30 06:12:28	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xaf9b83…
10-30 06:12:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xa9d784…
10-30 06:12:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 30% or more?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa88bf9…
10-30 06:12:28	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	27	9¢	$2	0x9ff94a…
10-30 06:12:28	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x9fc184…
10-30 06:12:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x8284ce…
10-30 06:12:28	Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x6dadc7…
10-30 06:12:28	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 18%-21%?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x6b878c…
10-30 06:12:28	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$2	0x4976fb…
10-30 06:12:28	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x45ca3f…
10-30 06:12:28	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3f4b34…
10-30 06:12:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 30% or more?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x2bacd2…
10-30 06:12:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x1f1064…
10-30 06:12:28	Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x1d3758…
10-30 06:12:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x135a96…
10-29 23:29:18	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x916cb7…
10-29 23:26:42	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5ca08c…
10-29 23:25:37	Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x8de9fd…
10-29 23:25:10	Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x241df5…
10-29 23:24:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x5ff78c…
10-29 23:20:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x9d92fd…
10-29 22:44:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa43c7f…
10-29 22:44:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x60b526…
10-29 22:43:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2b262e…
10-29 22:42:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf5d216…
10-29 22:42:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7807c3…
10-29 22:33:25	Israeli Knesset election annulled?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcd3a56…
10-29 22:33:10	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe4d389…
10-29 17:17:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x35affe…
10-29 17:17:44	Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc3694a…
10-29 17:17:43	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x678455…
10-29 17:17:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x58ab6f…
10-29 17:17:40	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x0b7b11…
10-29 17:17:25	GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x455419…
10-29 17:17:22	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xd78091…
10-29 17:17:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x852d03…
10-29 17:17:14	GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x51b78b…
10-29 17:17:07	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xc00a04…
10-29 17:17:05	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe97d45…
10-29 17:17:01	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x243485…
10-29 17:16:58	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x087ea9…
10-29 17:16:49	Israeli Knesset election annulled?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc117f8…
10-29 17:16:26	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6c7aa2…
10-28 20:18:26	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa76a24…
10-28 20:09:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x85ab30…
10-28 20:01:20	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1da73e…
10-28 19:47:26	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x2db8bd…
10-28 08:30:32	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x16fad0…
10-28 08:26:07	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9b8eb7…
10-28 08:23:43	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x8d16ae…
10-28 08:20:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xa02c7e…
10-28 07:58:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd09be9…
10-28 07:57:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xff9ba9…
10-28 07:20:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0e04ff…
10-28 07:18:22	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x659468…
10-28 06:57:04	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbe0ce7…
10-28 06:55:10	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xc8be24…
10-27 05:27:45	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x7ddc29…
10-25 19:32:05	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xffed02…
10-25 18:48:47	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xcb7b52…
10-23 20:36:20	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4df2d0…
10-23 20:15:30	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xd17619…
10-23 20:09:33	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2a2501…
10-23 20:05:20	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x95297d…
10-23 20:04:27	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x955c3d…
10-23 20:04:08	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4d1d17…
10-23 20:02:17	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xfbd00a…
10-23 20:01:54	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xfb8321…
10-23 20:01:15	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd6cb81…
10-23 08:26:08	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x71edaf…
10-23 07:21:39	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x276b4b…
10-23 07:21:38	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x54843f…
10-23 07:21:35	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xd26ee0…
10-23 07:21:32	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xf42876…
10-23 07:21:29	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xe5b9b9…
10-23 07:21:29	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x60b291…
10-23 01:18:57	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x835e0f…
10-22 21:20:39	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x19bbb1…
10-22 21:20:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6280c6…
10-22 19:33:20	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xd2e358…
10-22 15:38:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xa11359…
10-22 14:52:27	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x9a72b3…
10-22 13:44:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x28c877…
10-21 20:50:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x367e33…
10-21 20:37:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xc6cac3…
10-21 20:33:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0xfd0a3a…