(anonymous) 0x48ea80…74cb19
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
769
lifetime
Volume
$680
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$37
15 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 06-17 00:53
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
89% — —
Tech
4% — —
Crypto
4% — —
Other
3% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 233 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +10 $7 82¢ $8 +$1 06-15 04:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 06-15 19:12
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +8 $6 72¢ $6 $-0 06-16 15:10
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +6 $5 86¢ $6 +$1 06-15 18:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +32 $4 12¢ $4 +$0 06-16 12:40
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +10 $2 18¢ $2 $-0 06-15 21:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +22 $3 4¢ $1 $-2 06-15 18:25
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 $-0 06-16 17:03
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 06-13 20:53
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -7 $-1 14¢ $-1 $-0 06-15 18:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $-6 100¢ $1 +$7 06-16 02:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +2 $1 40¢ $1 $-0 06-12 17:44
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 06-13 01:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +2 $0 1¢ $0 $-0 06-14 20:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +2 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-12 16:56