Sneaky-Spouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.73K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

2,463

Trades

10,892

lifetime

Volume

$361.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$292

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-28 19:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 163 days

Categories

Other

55% 33% -$4,819

Politics

34% 47% +$45

Sports

7% 29% -$579

Crypto

4% 48% -$65

Tech

1% 28% -$311

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 265 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	No	+251	$238	95¢	$239	+$0	10-22 02:32
will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	No	+22	$20	95¢	$21	+$1	07-02 21:17
will cxmt be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230554	No	+22	$20	83¢	$18	-$2	07-14 01:19
will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 45 or higher 20260723191456650	Yes	+21	$10	64¢	$14	+$3	07-24 00:10
will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	Yes	+22	$4	5¢	$1	-$2	07-03 00:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	4	$17.1K	14,800	14,763	+37	Illinois Fighting Illini	-$170	03-26 21:32
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	15	$12.3K	8,300	4,000	+4,300	Yes	+$3	04-17 11:18
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$11.1K	5,600	5,600	+0	No	-$25	06-02 22:52
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$22	02-02 15:38
cbb stjohn kan 2026 03 22	2	$9.8K	8,000	8,000	+0	St. John's Red Storm	+$0	03-22 17:49
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	8	$8.3K	8,300	0	+8,300	Yes	+$16	03-12 17:43
will iran strike israel on march 6	24	$7.9K	4,487	3,487	+1,000	No	+$12	03-10 20:16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	13	$7.7K	7,700	0	+7,700	Yes	+$15	03-08 23:21
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	6	$6.4K	6,400	0	+6,400	Yes	+$25	03-24 11:39
netanyahu out by march 31 854	10	$6.4K	6,400	0	+6,400	No	+$42	04-01 10:51
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$6.2K	6,200	0	+6,200	Yes	+$19	04-08 10:35
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$5.0K	5,040	0	+5,040	No	+$5	03-17 20:20
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$115	02-05 15:35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4.6K	4,636	0	+4,636	Yes	+$13	04-21 18:00
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$4.5K	4,500	0	+4,500	No	+$6	04-29 10:38
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	2	$4.2K	2,100	2,100	+0	Yes	+$2	04-23 00:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	25	$3.9K	3,900	0	+3,900	No	+$8	04-25 19:49
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$3.7K	3,700	0	+3,700	No	+$14	04-02 00:26
Will the US strike Iran next?	4	$3.5K	3,500	0	+3,500	No	+$8	02-11 20:40
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$3.3K	1,100	2,200	-1,100	Yes	+$2	04-22 10:07
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$3.1K	3,100	0	+3,100	No	+$22	03-26 21:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$3	06-17 08:36
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$2.1K	2,100	0	+2,100	Yes	+$2	04-08 10:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	9	$2.1K	2,100	0	+2,100	No	+$2	04-26 22:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$2.1K	2,100	0	+2,100	No	+$2	04-23 00:08
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	1	$2.1K	2,100	0	+2,100	Yes	+$4	06-05 15:55
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$2.1K	2,100	0	+2,100	No	+$6	03-26 21:36
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$2.1K	2,100	0	+2,100	Yes	+$7	04-16 18:40
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	15	$2.1K	2,100	0	+2,100	Yes	+$17	04-13 15:25
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2.1K	2,100	0	+2,100	No	+$25	05-19 18:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:30:22	Will LASK finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	No	BUY	31	70¢	$22	0x2fff16…
10-28 19:00:22	Will Roma reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4cd397…
10-28 15:24:41	Will Galatasaray reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	BUY	130	70¢	$91	0x977ab7…
10-28 15:24:37	Will Galatasaray reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0xdb09e6…
10-28 15:24:37	Will Galatasaray reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x424c61…
10-28 15:24:35	Will Galatasaray reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x800633…
10-28 15:24:35	Will Galatasaray reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x005bdf…
10-28 15:08:32	Will Roma reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfa5af1…
10-28 15:08:32	Will Sporting CP reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1f5c71…
10-28 12:54:32	Will Sporting CP reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	Yes	BUY	119	38¢	$45	0xf2ef24…
10-28 09:49:11	Will Bayern Munich reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x80b386…
10-28 09:17:14	Will Barcelona finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xe00f80…
10-28 08:59:11	Will VfB Stuttgart finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	97	31¢	$30	0x426217…
10-28 07:33:02	Will VfB Stuttgart finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	51	31¢	$16	0xcd125d…
10-28 07:22:43	Will VfB Stuttgart finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xeb2be0…
10-28 07:12:41	Will VfB Stuttgart finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x1e5ae6…
10-28 07:08:08	Will VfB Stuttgart finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xd2a679…
10-28 07:04:34	Will VfB Stuttgart finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x2525be…
10-28 05:15:10	Will Inter Milan finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	No	BUY	251	24¢	$60	0xca67f3…
10-28 05:11:05	Will Bayern Munich finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	301	40¢	$120	0x3b3077…
10-28 05:10:40	Will AEK Athens finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	31	25¢	$8	0x73feb0…
10-28 05:07:08	Will Barcelona finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	251	20¢	$50	0xb687a3…
10-28 05:00:13	Will Bayern Munich finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xeacae1…
10-28 04:58:49	Will Bayern Munich finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	36	40¢	$14	0xead2e3…
10-28 04:57:56	Will Bayern Munich finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x88d596…
10-28 01:59:44	Will Paris Saint-Germain reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	BUY	351	42¢	$147	0xd3b3e0…
10-28 00:35:21	Will VfB Stuttgart finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x770c87…
10-27 23:59:56	Will AEK Athens finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x28ae92…
10-27 23:55:59	Will Matt Olson win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xa917d9…
10-27 23:44:41	Will Cincinnati Bengals advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2570c2…
10-27 23:15:42	Will PSV Eindhoven reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	BUY	99	70¢	$69	0xe9d70c…
10-27 23:13:50	Will Sporting CP reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	Yes	BUY	140	41¢	$57	0x8b40b9…
10-27 22:58:27	Will Cincinnati Bengals advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0xc575e9…
10-27 22:45:00	Will Juventus finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	Yes	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0x8eaded…
10-27 22:44:27	Will Ferencvaros finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	Yes	SELL	176	31¢	$55	0xfad1ff…
10-27 20:21:23	Will Cincinnati Bengals advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	71	45¢	$32	0x807bb4…
10-27 18:10:29	Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x673b9b…
10-27 18:05:44	Will Real Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbf8e7b…
10-27 16:26:21	Will Sunderland reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?	No	BUY	101	61¢	$62	0xbbf3e7…
10-27 16:21:51	Will Rennes reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League Round of 16?	Yes	BUY	451	64¢	$289	0xed230a…
10-27 16:08:53	Will Ferencvaros finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	Yes	BUY	151	34¢	$51	0x257b31…
10-27 16:05:18	Will Juventus finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	Yes	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0x4552bf…
10-27 12:12:42	Will AZ reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League Round of 16?	Yes	SELL	60	60¢	$36	0x92255e…
10-27 08:15:18	Will Juventus finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	No	SELL	113	23¢	$26	0xf0145c…
10-27 06:37:39	Will Celtic finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x985cd4…
10-27 06:12:08	Will New England Patriots advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xe4b658…
10-27 05:37:24	Will Jacksonville Jaguars advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x7bfd7b…
10-27 05:34:57	Will Bayern Munich reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	SELL	41	47¢	$19	0xeaba77…
10-27 05:34:14	Will Masyn Winn win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	96	20¢	$19	0x438755…
10-27 02:50:09	Will Masyn Winn win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	61	20¢	$12	0x029783…
10-27 02:27:17	Will Bayern Munich reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x643d5a…
10-27 01:54:47	Will Jacksonville Jaguars advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0x6ab8aa…
10-27 01:02:59	Will Bayern Munich reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x982894…
10-27 01:02:59	Will Bayern Munich reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x18d407…
10-26 22:43:29	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xf97376…
10-26 22:43:29	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0xf650b7…
10-26 22:43:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	242	74¢	$179	0xe0952c…
10-26 22:43:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	264	74¢	$194	0xd10ce3…
10-26 22:43:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	124	74¢	$91	0x9c7b30…
10-26 22:41:50	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	504	74¢	$374	0x4373e7…
10-26 22:41:50	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	48	74¢	$36	0x2ccaad…
10-26 22:41:41	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	99	74¢	$74	0x7ea30e…
10-26 22:11:02	Will Juventus finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x17dfe5…
10-26 22:09:08	Will AZ reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League Round of 16?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x1f3b90…
10-26 20:10:29	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	51	7¢	$3	0xb6ddcd…
10-26 18:48:50	Will Inter Milan reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x0230d4…
10-26 18:46:57	Will VfB Stuttgart finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	115	31¢	$36	0x65cb01…
10-26 18:33:36	Will VfB Stuttgart finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	58	32¢	$19	0x1b5663…
10-26 18:14:08	Will PSV Eindhoven reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	SELL	79	71¢	$56	0xfe1221…
10-26 18:12:44	Will PSV Eindhoven reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	No	BUY	79	71¢	$56	0x32e66e…
10-26 18:12:29	Will VfB Stuttgart finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	52	32¢	$17	0x5ae92a…
10-26 16:02:21	Will Kansas City Chiefs advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x83cce3…
10-26 14:35:41	Will Ferencvaros finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	Yes	BUY	115	35¢	$40	0xf76d94…
10-26 14:32:54	Will Juventus finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x700375…
10-26 14:32:48	Will Juventus finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	Yes	BUY	26	29¢	$8	0xecd0e2…
10-26 14:32:42	Will Juventus finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	No	BUY	103	23¢	$24	0xe35b8b…
10-26 14:32:42	Will Juventus finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x6e2ed4…
10-26 14:32:42	Will Juventus finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	Yes	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0x5b61a0…
10-26 14:32:42	Will Juventus finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	Yes	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0x40bfe6…
10-26 14:32:42	Will Juventus finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	Yes	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0x3791a1…
10-26 13:54:14	Will Jacksonville Jaguars advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0x8dd9dc…
10-26 13:54:08	Will Jacksonville Jaguars advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xea0681…
10-26 13:54:08	Will Jacksonville Jaguars advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0x8204f5…
10-26 13:53:35	Will Jackson Chourio win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0xc1c965…
10-26 13:01:56	Will Baltimore Ravens advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	21	65¢	$14	0x09860c…
10-26 11:40:30	Will Luke Combs perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xaa4a5d…
10-26 11:40:30	Will Luke Combs perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x2eaffe…
10-26 11:40:30	Will Luke Combs perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	183	5¢	$9	0x168d93…
10-26 11:18:14	Will Porto finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	No	BUY	60	61¢	$37	0xa309ec…
10-26 10:42:15	Will AZ reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League Round of 16?	Yes	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0x439d93…
10-26 08:33:47	Will Juventus finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x067174…
10-26 07:48:44	Will Luke Combs perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	46	5¢	$2	0x9b52e5…
10-26 07:14:59	Will "The Birthday Gift" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	73	90¢	$66	0xc6476b…
10-26 06:43:21	Will Luke Combs perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa3c947…
10-26 06:42:39	Will Luke Combs perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x2b6288…
10-26 06:42:39	Will Luke Combs perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x21299c…
10-26 06:01:26	Will Bayern Munich finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	No	BUY	151	42¢	$63	0x458bdf…
10-26 05:28:54	Will Luke Combs perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x84c6b1…
10-26 04:40:12	Will Ty France win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xc0f44f…
10-26 03:55:51	Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x64895b…