(anonymous) 0xef13bd…0263d9
bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$4.72K
Unrealized P&L
+$34
Hit rate
70.6%
Resolved (90d)
899
Trades (90d)
4,456
5,773 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$67.6K
$72.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$804
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-07
last 11-01 07:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Other
63% 55% +$3,946
Politics
28% 57% +$27
Sports
4% 66% +$447
Tech
3% 62% +$191
Pop-Culture
1% 62% +$39
Crypto
1% 67% +$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +202 $110 82¢ $164 +$55 10-27 20:02
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +153 $115 97¢ $149 +$34 10-24 10:05
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +207 $145 68¢ $140 -$4 10-27 02:06
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +202 $126 58¢ $118 -$8 10-25 10:42
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +86 $53 67¢ $58 +$5 10-31 10:33
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +222 $40 20¢ $43 +$3 10-31 14:33
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +115 $22 20¢ $22 +$0 10-31 18:12
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +80 $20 26¢ $21 +$1 10-15 23:30
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-26 02:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-26 02:17
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +10 $8 96¢ $10 +$1 06-26 02:17
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +82 $15 11¢ $9 -$6 10-03 04:23
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +10 $6 78¢ $8 +$1 06-26 02:17
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +120 $50 6¢ $8 -$43 10-31 21:51
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +10 $6 64¢ $6 +$1 10-22 12:02
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-07 17:02
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-07 16:33
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $4 79¢ $4 +$0 06-07 20:34
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes +19 $4 18¢ $4 $0 11-01 00:20
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $4 62¢ $3 $0 06-07 20:34
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +10 $6 29¢ $3 -$3 06-26 02:17
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5 -$2 38¢ $-2 $0 06-07 20:19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5 -$1 21¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 20:20
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -10 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 06-07 20:51
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +3 $3 10¢ $0 -$3 10-29 13:05
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -10 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 06-07 20:52
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -10 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 06-07 20:51
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -10 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 06-07 20:51
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 06-07 20:51
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -10 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 06-07 20:52