(anonymous) 0xef13bd…0263d9
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$87
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
69.0%
Resolved (7d)
76
Trades (7d)
668
5,615 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$11.6K
$69.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$1.16K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-07
last 10-30 01:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Other
64% 54% +$3,126
Politics
26% 58% +$180
Sports
4% 66% +$447
Tech
3% 65% +$94
Pop-Culture
1% 62% +$39
Crypto
1% 67% +$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +204 $142 100¢ $204 +$62 10-27 16:06
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +202 $110 79¢ $159 +$50 10-27 20:02
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +153 $115 98¢ $149 +$34 10-24 10:05
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +207 $145 68¢ $142 -$3 10-27 02:06
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +202 $126 60¢ $122 -$4 10-25 10:42
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +177 $108 61¢ $108 $0 10-24 05:26
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +65 $42 98¢ $63 +$21 10-08 19:55
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +43 $20 99¢ $42 +$22 10-27 20:00
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +200 $58 12¢ $25 -$33 10-22 06:56
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +50 $24 50¢ $25 +$1 10-29 17:09
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +80 $20 26¢ $21 +$1 10-15 23:30
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +15 $10 66¢ $10 +$1 10-25 12:07
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-26 02:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-26 02:17
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 06-26 02:17
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +204 $49 4¢ $9 -$39 10-13 20:27
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +10 $6 74¢ $7 +$1 06-26 02:17
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +10 $6 57¢ $6 $0 10-22 12:02
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-07 17:02
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +5 $2 97¢ $5 +$3 10-27 12:57
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-07 16:33
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +82 $15 6¢ $4 -$10 10-03 04:23
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 06-07 20:34
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +10 $6 32¢ $3 -$3 06-26 02:17
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $4 60¢ $3 $0 06-07 20:34
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-27 20:07
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5 -$2 40¢ $-2 $0 06-07 20:19
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? No +57 $4 3¢ $2 -$2 10-27 12:57
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5 -$1 18¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 20:20
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +47 $107 1¢ $0 -$106 10-28 00:03