Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round?
Yes won
Total volume
$7,696
Trades
531
Unique wallets
101
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-26
First seen
2026-10-07
last 10-26 06:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+14.9¢
(top1%: 49% YES on $2.1K
vs crowd: 34% YES on $6.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 36 | $1.1K | $3.0K | $1.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 32 | $536 | $895 | $359 |
| 🐟 Fish | 25 | $384 | $227 | +$158 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $83 | $5 | +$78 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 20 | $1.1K | $1.1K | $33 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $111 | $40 | +$71 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $59 | — | +$59 |
| Median | 3 | $21 | — | +$21 |
| Below median | 3 | $4 | $2 | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 14 | $47 | $158 | $110 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 16 | $250 | $306 | $57 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 32 | $605 | $2.5K | $1.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +1,719 | $553 | $553 | 26 | 10-25 23:26 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +1,191 | $648 | $648 | 35 | 10-26 00:38 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +1,127 | $612 | $612 | 24 | 10-25 23:51 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +923 | $153 | $153 | 21 | 10-25 22:27 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +337 | $242 | $629 | 32 | 10-25 14:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xef13…63d9 | Yes | +195 | $129 | $202 | 6 | 10-26 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +195 | $79 | $79 | 8 | 10-26 06:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +175 | $62 | $62 | 8 | 10-26 02:57 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +161 | $57 | $99 | 20 | 10-25 03:19 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | +161 | $114 | $231 | 17 | 10-25 03:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +135 | $116 | $116 | 4 | 10-12 15:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1f0…69b3 | Yes | +132 | $121 | $121 | 1 | 10-25 23:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +112 | $29 | $29 | 4 | 10-24 13:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +112 | $90 | $145 | 8 | 10-24 13:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +112 | $33 | $34 | 9 | 10-22 06:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | +112 | $82 | $82 | 8 | 10-21 10:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | +110 | $32 | $32 | 6 | 10-24 13:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | +110 | $80 | $80 | 5 | 10-24 13:36 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +110 | $42 | $47 | 7 | 10-21 10:14 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +110 | $72 | $72 | 4 | 10-21 10:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +89 | $65 | $127 | 3 | 10-24 21:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +89 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 10-24 21:31 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +80 | $65 | $65 | 2 | 10-25 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +73 | $17 | $17 | 4 | 10-16 14:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +73 | $58 | $58 | 4 | 10-16 14:45 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | +72 | $55 | $59 | 5 | 10-24 21:31 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | +72 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 10-24 21:31 |
| Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | +70 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 10-21 05:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +70 | $24 | $24 | 4 | 10-22 15:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +70 | $46 | $46 | 5 | 10-26 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +61 | $22 | $39 | 6 | 10-25 20:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +60 | $43 | $71 | 5 | 10-24 21:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +60 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 10-21 10:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | +60 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 10-11 00:49 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +60 | $53 | $53 | 3 | 10-08 12:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | No | +60 | $51 | $83 | 5 | 10-11 20:21 |
| Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | Yes | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 10-26 06:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xc4b5…171e | Yes | +50 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 10-26 00:09 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | +50 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-19 11:38 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-26 06:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xaece…df33 | Yes | +48 | $36 | $59 | 3 | 10-26 00:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +45 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 10-21 05:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +45 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 10-21 05:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +38 | $31 | $31 | 4 | 10-25 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | +35 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-21 10:14 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +35 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 10-10 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | No | +35 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-21 10:14 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +34 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 10-11 14:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +33 | $9 | $10 | 3 | 10-17 16:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +33 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 10-16 14:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xef13…63d9 | No | +32 | $26 | $77 | 7 | 10-25 22:27 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $21 | $116 | 12 | 10-25 23:52 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $7 | $21 | 9 | 10-22 13:05 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +27 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 10-21 10:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xf965…ccb0 | Yes | +25 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-16 11:36 |
| Worried-Dinghy 0x8482…3f7a | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-11 20:21 |
| Worried-Dinghy 0x8482…3f7a | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-11 22:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x3922…3aa4 | No | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-26 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 10-22 13:05 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-16 14:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 06:31:26 | Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x3a2645… |
| 10-26 06:31:26 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3a2645… |
| 10-26 06:12:06 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x911a0b… |
| 10-26 06:12:06 | (anonymous) 0x0c0b…529a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x911a0b… |
| 10-26 06:12:06 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x48a2a0… |
| 10-26 06:12:06 | (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x48a2a0… |
| 10-26 05:39:06 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x05bdd8… |
| 10-26 05:39:06 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x05bdd8… |
| 10-26 05:39:06 | (anonymous) 0xeaf8…ce6d | No | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x05bdd8… |
| 10-26 02:57:45 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 45¢ | $7 | 0xa45e45… |
| 10-26 02:57:45 | (anonymous) 0x476e…d3bf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xa45e45… |
| 10-26 02:57:45 | (anonymous) 0x24af…0847 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 67¢ | $17 | 0xa45e45… |
| 10-26 00:38:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1fd3c9… |
| 10-26 00:38:57 | Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x1fd3c9… |
| 10-26 00:10:00 | (anonymous) 0xaece…df33 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x07912c… |
| 10-26 00:10:00 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x07912c… |
| 10-26 00:09:59 | (anonymous) 0xef13…63d9 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb09860… |
| 10-26 00:09:59 | (anonymous) 0xc4b5…171e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb09860… |
| 10-26 00:08:50 | (anonymous) 0x3922…3aa4 | No | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc12176… |
| 10-26 00:08:50 | (anonymous) 0xc4b5…171e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0xc12176… |
| 10-26 00:08:50 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc12176… |
| 10-26 00:08:50 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc12176… |
| 10-25 23:52:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xda1473… |
| 10-25 23:52:03 | (anonymous) 0xef13…63d9 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xda1473… |
| 10-25 23:51:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8371cc… |
| 10-25 23:51:45 | (anonymous) 0xaece…df33 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x8371cc… |
| 10-25 23:51:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x592ff0… |
| 10-25 23:51:44 | (anonymous) 0xef13…63d9 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 90¢ | $13 | 0x592ff0… |
| 10-25 23:51:33 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | No | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x2386b1… |
| 10-25 23:51:33 | (anonymous) 0xef13…63d9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x2386b1… |
| 10-25 23:51:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xdf20be… |
| 10-25 23:51:26 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | No | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xdf20be… |
| 10-25 23:51:09 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | No | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa77d14… |
| 10-25 23:51:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xa77d14… |
| 10-25 23:51:09 | (anonymous) 0xb1f0…69b3 | Yes | BUY | 132 | 92¢ | $121 | 0xa77d14… |
| 10-25 23:51:09 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xa77d14… |
| 10-25 23:51:09 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xa77d14… |
| 10-25 23:51:09 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa77d14… |
| 10-25 23:50:54 | (anonymous) 0xaece…df33 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 78¢ | $47 | 0xce3761… |
| 10-25 23:50:54 | Tedious-Pest 0x4156…997e | Yes | SELL | 61 | 78¢ | $47 | 0xce3761… |
| 10-25 23:50:53 | (anonymous) 0xef13…63d9 | Yes | BUY | 202 | 78¢ | $158 | 0x88e073… |
| 10-25 23:50:53 | Tedious-Pest 0x4156…997e | Yes | SELL | 202 | 78¢ | $158 | 0x88e073… |
| 10-25 23:47:20 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | No | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x4d4d3b… |
| 10-25 23:47:20 | Shocking-Cummerbund 0x378a…a638 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x4d4d3b… |
| 10-25 23:26:57 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | No | SELL | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0x1e11dc… |
| 10-25 23:26:57 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 37¢ | $15 | 0x1e11dc… |
| 10-25 23:26:57 | (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | No | SELL | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x1e11dc… |
| 10-25 23:26:57 | (anonymous) 0xeb42…73dd | Yes | SELL | 302 | 34¢ | $101 | 0x1e11dc… |
| 10-25 23:26:57 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 30¢ | $33 | 0x1e11dc… |
| 10-25 23:00:20 | Tedious-Pest 0x4156…997e | Yes | BUY | 222 | 87¢ | $193 | 0x4a1da2… |
| 10-25 23:00:20 | These-Woodshed 0xd7b6…2ccd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x7c335c… |
| 10-25 23:00:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 222 | 13¢ | $29 | 0x4a1da2… |
| 10-25 23:00:20 | Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x7c335c… |
| 10-25 23:00:18 | Tedious-Pest 0x4156…997e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x9c22f9… |
| 10-25 23:00:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9c22f9… |
| 10-25 22:59:11 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 48 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x41bb16… |
| 10-25 22:59:11 | (anonymous) 0x2f9d…deb3 | No | SELL | 68 | 18¢ | $12 | 0x41bb16… |
| 10-25 22:58:36 | (anonymous) 0x2f9d…deb3 | No | SELL | 285 | 17¢ | $47 | 0x17d1c0… |
| 10-25 22:58:36 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 35 | 19¢ | $7 | 0x17d1c0… |
| 10-25 22:58:36 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 230 | 16¢ | $37 | 0x17d1c0… |
| 10-25 22:27:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0xa42998… |
| 10-25 22:27:48 | Tedious-Pest 0x4156…997e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x1acc86… |
| 10-25 22:27:48 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xa42998… |
| 10-25 22:27:48 | (anonymous) 0x74d9…e680 | No | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x1acc86… |
| 10-25 22:27:27 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | No | BUY | 13 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x14df62… |
| 10-25 22:27:27 | Tedious-Pest 0x4156…997e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 71¢ | $9 | 0x14df62… |
| 10-25 22:27:12 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | No | BUY | 2 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x8d8e35… |
| 10-25 22:27:12 | (anonymous) 0xaece…df33 | No | SELL | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x8d8e35… |
| 10-25 22:27:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x8d8e35… |
| 10-25 22:27:11 | (anonymous) 0xef13…63d9 | No | SELL | 22 | 32¢ | $7 | 0x4b637a… |
| 10-25 22:27:11 | (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | No | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x4b637a… |
| 10-25 22:27:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x4b637a… |
| 10-25 22:13:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 14 | 29¢ | $4 | 0xaef3ad… |
| 10-25 22:13:42 | (anonymous) 0xb6b9…b455 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 71¢ | $10 | 0xaef3ad… |
| 10-25 20:51:02 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 40¢ | $9 | 0x3d8ee3… |
| 10-25 20:51:02 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x3d8ee3… |
| 10-25 20:51:02 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 40¢ | $11 | 0x3d8ee3… |
| 10-25 19:52:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 26 | 55¢ | $14 | 0x03a89f… |
| 10-25 19:52:21 | (anonymous) 0x8f06…2033 | No | SELL | 26 | 55¢ | $14 | 0x03a89f… |
| 10-25 18:35:30 | (anonymous) 0x8f06…2033 | No | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x54d142… |
| 10-25 18:35:30 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x54d142… |
| 10-25 18:35:30 | (anonymous) 0xaece…df33 | No | SELL | 11 | 69¢ | $8 | 0x54d142… |
| 10-25 18:35:29 | (anonymous) 0x8f06…2033 | No | BUY | 12 | 69¢ | $8 | 0xf08255… |
| 10-25 18:35:29 | (anonymous) 0xef13…63d9 | No | SELL | 12 | 69¢ | $8 | 0xf08255… |
| 10-25 18:35:20 | (anonymous) 0x8f06…2033 | No | BUY | 12 | 69¢ | $8 | 0xc53c2b… |
| 10-25 18:35:20 | (anonymous) 0xef13…63d9 | No | SELL | 12 | 69¢ | $8 | 0xc53c2b… |
| 10-25 18:20:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xa07afb… |
| 10-25 18:20:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x1047b2… |
| 10-25 18:20:05 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xa07afb… |
| 10-25 18:20:05 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 75 | 81¢ | $61 | 0xcdc67e… |
| 10-25 18:20:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 19¢ | $14 | 0xcdc67e… |
| 10-25 18:20:05 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x1047b2… |
| 10-25 14:14:42 | (anonymous) 0xef13…63d9 | No | BUY | 26 | 69¢ | $18 | 0x82e141… |
| 10-25 14:14:42 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 6 | 69¢ | $4 | 0x82e141… |
| 10-25 14:14:42 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x82e141… |
| 10-25 13:45:41 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 50 | 68¢ | $34 | 0x8cafee… |
| 10-25 13:45:41 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 35 | 32¢ | $11 | 0x8cafee… |
| 10-25 13:45:41 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x8cafee… |
| 10-25 06:40:41 | (anonymous) 0x24af…0847 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 38¢ | $6 | 0x0238c2… |
| 10-25 06:40:41 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 16 | 62¢ | $10 | 0x0238c2… |