Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$241.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$258

Hit rate

13.4%

Resolved

Trades

556

lifetime

Volume

$330.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$594

Open exposure

$4.05K

1 position

First seen

2026-09-17

last 10-26 00:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

99% 64% -$242,291

Other

1% 67% +$1,058

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+9,559	$4,311	42¢	$4.1K	-$258	10-04 02:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	133	$178.4K	241,814	241,814	+0	No	-$172,069	10-25 23:52
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$46.2K	57,978	57,978	+0	Yes	-$44,486	10-25 23:52
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	30	$18.0K	24,745	0	+24,745	Yes	+$6,741	10-04 02:18
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	58	$15.0K	34,623	3,221	+31,402	No	-$11,086	10-25 04:21
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	21	$15.0K	21,890	5,294	+16,597	No	-$14,823	10-26 00:02
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	4	$9.9K	13,041	13,041	-0	Yes	-$7,598	10-25 23:01
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	10	$8.4K	20,596	20,596	+0	No	-$8,364	10-26 00:04
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	6	$4.9K	6,571	0	+6,571	Yes	+$1,679	10-04 00:50
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$4.3K	9,559	0	+9,559	open	—	10-04 02:13
Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	11	$4.0K	6,934	0	+6,934	Yes	+$2,941	10-04 21:41
Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	15	$3.9K	4,950	171	+4,780	No	-$3,899	10-04 23:13
Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	3	$2.4K	2,530	0	+2,530	No	+$167	10-04 00:56
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	1	$1.9K	2,600	0	+2,600	Yes	+$650	09-17 12:30
Will Pedro Paulo win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	1	$1.9K	1,955	0	+1,955	No	+$41	10-04 00:51
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	1	$1.7K	2,320	0	+2,320	No	+$580	09-17 12:31
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	16	$1.4K	4,620	212	+4,408	No	-$1,260	10-25 04:22
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	15	$1.2K	1,472	1,472	+0	No	-$876	10-25 22:59
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	6	$994	3,221	0	+3,221	Yes	+$2,226	09-21 00:59
Will Sanderson win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	9	$967	1,422	142	+1,281	No	-$966	10-06 13:43
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	6	$956	1,476	0	+1,476	Yes	+$520	10-04 00:09
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	27	$704	3,496	0	+3,496	Yes	+$2,792	10-04 21:42
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	3	$688	2,224	0	+2,224	No	+$1,536	09-21 00:58
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	7	$684	708	0	+708	Yes	+$24	10-04 00:49
Will Marcio Bittar win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?	3	$668	1,266	0	+1,266	Yes	+$599	09-23 13:52
Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	1	$584	872	0	+872	No	+$288	10-02 03:54
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	24	$507	2,381	0	+2,381	No	+$1,873	10-02 03:48
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	39	$500	1,550	0	+1,550	No	-$500	10-25 04:12
Will Domingos Sávio win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	5	$439	818	0	+818	Yes	+$379	10-03 22:24
Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?	2	$407	566	0	+566	Yes	+$158	10-04 02:43
Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	4	$379	728	0	+728	Yes	+$349	10-26 00:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 00:12:05	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	BUY	173	99¢	$171	0x3cab86…
10-26 00:11:48	Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	No	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0x7ab7b5…
10-26 00:04:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	8,596	0¢	$17	0xb71b20…
10-26 00:04:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$20	0xb2a96a…
10-26 00:03:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0xf3c5b5…
10-26 00:03:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0x956e29…
10-26 00:02:30	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0xfdf396…
10-26 00:02:24	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	SELL	4,157	0¢	$8	0x03701f…
10-25 23:52:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	209,156	1¢	$2,850	0xa2a5f4…
10-25 23:52:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	32,658	1¢	$304	0x62a06c…
10-25 23:52:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	56,024	1¢	$826	0x99727d…
10-25 23:50:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x4fe282…
10-25 23:50:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1,909	2¢	$32	0xe5d5b1…
10-25 23:04:32	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0xe8fede…
10-25 23:04:26	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	SELL	72	7¢	$5	0x6008c4…
10-25 23:04:18	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0x65662a…
10-25 23:04:08	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x4c680a…
10-25 23:03:54	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$20	0x482d60…
10-25 23:03:54	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	SELL	105	4¢	$4	0x1adea2…
10-25 23:03:45	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	SELL	306	5¢	$15	0xcb0e09…
10-25 23:01:12	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	SELL	13,041	9¢	$1,154	0xce1d72…
10-25 23:00:02	Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	414	4¢	$17	0x4f60ce…
10-25 22:59:42	Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	1,472	10¢	$142	0x7b0cc5…
10-25 22:59:11	Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round?	No	SELL	68	18¢	$12	0x41bb16…
10-25 22:58:36	Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round?	No	SELL	285	17¢	$47	0x17d1c0…
10-25 04:23:39	Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x349c2e…
10-25 04:22:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x1fb24c…
10-25 04:22:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0xfa501c…
10-25 04:22:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	120	29¢	$35	0xfd3cfa…
10-25 04:21:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x22ab79…
10-25 04:16:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	140	80¢	$112	0xd20500…
10-25 04:12:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7,000	80¢	$5,600	0xb59436…
10-25 04:12:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	1,024	39¢	$398	0xb8fd79…
10-25 04:12:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9eb978…
10-25 04:11:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0x8c4e46…
10-25 04:07:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	1,058	38¢	$402	0x351519…
10-25 04:07:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x3e1958…
10-25 04:06:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xdf1c4f…
10-25 04:02:08	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	4,000	69¢	$2,760	0x7b6dd2…
10-25 04:01:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	80	35¢	$28	0x984546…
10-25 04:01:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	70	38¢	$27	0x8ec267…
10-25 04:00:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0xbc85d7…
10-25 04:00:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0x722e17…
10-25 03:59:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	292	80¢	$233	0xa16a1c…
10-25 03:58:51	Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x86100e…
10-25 03:58:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	208	39¢	$81	0xc23479…
10-25 03:57:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x538252…
10-25 03:57:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	2,350	37¢	$868	0xdde386…
10-25 03:56:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0x8693ff…
10-25 03:56:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	25	34¢	$8	0x7bee6e…
10-25 03:56:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0x87b912…
10-25 03:56:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0x24ef4e…
10-25 03:56:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xc8598b…
10-25 03:55:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	91	29¢	$26	0xf11c8f…
10-25 03:55:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x61cd6f…
10-25 03:55:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xde3c2f…
10-25 03:54:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	42	37¢	$15	0x09ab6e…
10-25 03:52:56	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	10,000	69¢	$6,900	0x236170…
10-25 03:51:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	42	39¢	$16	0xc66fc6…
10-25 03:51:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0x8022e5…
10-25 03:50:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	84	7¢	$6	0x876c58…
10-25 03:50:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x76aa64…
10-25 03:50:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0x7e7b30…
10-25 03:49:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	SELL	60	61¢	$37	0x97ff8a…
10-25 03:49:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x2f93b5…
10-25 03:49:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	SELL	1,915	61¢	$1,169	0x0024e3…
10-25 03:49:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	SELL	30	62¢	$19	0x3e5be3…
10-25 03:49:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	SELL	296	62¢	$183	0x8a039d…
10-25 03:49:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0xdfa5a6…
10-25 03:48:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	SELL	30	62¢	$19	0xf268f9…
10-25 03:48:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0x912866…
10-25 03:48:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	SELL	384	62¢	$238	0x40cd51…
10-25 03:48:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	SELL	220	63¢	$138	0x55fe71…
10-25 03:48:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	SELL	86	64¢	$55	0xd504b8…
10-25 03:46:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	3,221	65¢	$2,093	0xb4c433…
10-25 03:24:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	1,448	38¢	$550	0x61e8dc…
10-25 03:24:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	34	34¢	$12	0x654011…
10-25 03:20:03	Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	87	65¢	$57	0x3224cd…
10-25 03:19:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x668e67…
10-25 03:19:41	Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x72979c…
10-25 03:19:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	89	80¢	$71	0x474f82…
10-25 03:18:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	536	80¢	$427	0x5f6c08…
10-25 03:16:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x486e89…
10-25 03:16:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xbf964f…
10-25 03:16:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	90	7¢	$6	0x70e7e9…
10-25 03:15:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0xd9eee9…
10-25 03:15:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x3fb6c1…
10-25 03:15:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x797d33…
10-25 03:15:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0xf9aa12…
10-25 03:15:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	90	7¢	$6	0xbf23ea…
10-25 03:15:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x6f8aab…
10-25 03:14:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xfe51ef…
10-25 03:14:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xd00701…
10-25 03:13:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x94a5d6…
10-25 03:13:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x4ab888…
10-25 03:13:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0xc0df90…
10-25 03:13:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x770b5c…
10-25 03:13:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x372f03…
10-25 03:12:11	Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	411	63¢	$259	0x6421e0…
10-25 03:11:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	240	33¢	$79	0x81d004…