Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$99

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

Trades

402

lifetime

Volume

$8.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$556

10 positions

First seen

2026-10-24

last 11-01 08:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

41% 39% -$18

Other

36% 38% -$304

Sports

23% 43% +$323

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+198	$110	82¢	$161	+$52	10-27 20:02
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	+176	$128	68¢	$120	-$8	10-27 02:06
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	+135	$88	62¢	$83	-$5	10-31 14:44
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	+87	$53	67¢	$58	+$5	10-31 10:33
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	+222	$40	18¢	$41	+$1	10-31 14:33
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	+53	$34	58¢	$31	-$4	10-25 10:32
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+118	$22	20¢	$23	+$1	10-31 18:13
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	+25	$19	83¢	$21	+$2	10-30 14:40
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	No	+40	-$40	41¢	$17	+$57	10-31 14:32
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	+11	$2	16¢	$2	$0	11-01 00:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	10	$472	1,129	0	+1,129	open	—	11-01 09:53
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	9	$437	476	476	+0	No	+$38	10-25 22:54
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	6	$400	550	200	+350	Tom Nolan	-$138	10-31 21:00
UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	6	$397	1,043	0	+1,043	Dakota Hope	+$547	10-31 20:53
UFC Fight Night: Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	4	$267	551	0	+551	Piera Rodriguez	-$15	10-31 15:22
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	9	$264	278	226	+52	Yes	+$105	10-25 21:55
UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Main Card)	10	$218	419	0	+419	Cody Durden	+$201	10-31 20:54
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	1	$200	211	0	+211	Yes	+$11	10-31 00:07
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	6	$168	203	191	+12	No	+$31	10-29 09:04
UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)	4	$167	541	0	+541	Jacobe Smith	-$167	10-31 14:53
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$166	125	125	+0	Yes	+$6	10-25 22:52
UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando (Welterweight, Prelims)	4	$159	291	0	+291	Rodrigo Sezinando	+$35	10-31 13:37
Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	3	$154	86	86	+0	Yes	+$4	10-26 22:31
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	7	$153	302	206	+96	Yes	-$82	10-28 00:03
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$142	204	0	+204	No	+$62	10-27 16:06
Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?	2	$140	100	100	+0	open	—	10-26 23:10
Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.4M in September?	7	$136	170	0	+170	open	—	10-30 05:50
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card)	4	$134	184	0	+184	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani	+$51	10-31 21:01
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	2	$128	176	0	+176	open	—	10-27 02:06
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 30?	1	$119	127	0	+127	open	—	10-31 00:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	2	$113	113	113	+0	open	—	10-30 00:39
Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	7	$112	174	50	+124	open	—	11-01 04:26
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	4	$110	198	0	+198	open	—	10-27 20:02
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be less than 900,000?	2	$110	130	0	+130	open	—	10-28 00:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$107	194	194	+0	open	—	10-30 00:39
Will the Democrats win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	1	$105	128	0	+128	open	—	10-27 12:33
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	6	$100	163	137	+26	open	—	10-31 20:30
Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?	2	$93	161	6	+156	open	—	11-01 00:16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	2	$88	135	0	+135	open	—	10-31 14:44
UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	3	$87	550	0	+550	Lucia Szabová	-$87	10-31 14:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 09:53:01	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	Metizport	BUY	232	42¢	$97	0xfe129d…
11-01 08:07:13	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	Metizport	BUY	232	42¢	$97	0xcc390c…
11-01 07:24:52	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	Metizport	BUY	243	40¢	$97	0x029445…
11-01 07:24:36	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	Metizport	BUY	56	42¢	$23	0x05b15f…
11-01 07:15:06	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	Metizport	BUY	48	43¢	$21	0xa5b6c1…
11-01 07:11:27	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	Metizport	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6200d6…
11-01 07:03:49	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	Metizport	BUY	189	43¢	$81	0x979b11…
11-01 07:01:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more?	No	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xc028ec…
11-01 06:59:33	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	Metizport	BUY	95	43¢	$40	0xc6d7a0…
11-01 06:57:01	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	Metizport	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x596263…
11-01 06:54:42	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	Metizport	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x9588cf…
11-01 05:45:27	Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x54787f…
11-01 04:33:21	Will 210 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 2-November 8?	No	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0xfcc1bb…
11-01 04:32:58	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xe36852…
11-01 04:32:18	Will 210 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 2-November 8?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xbeca8b…
11-01 04:26:19	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	No	BUY	58	68¢	$39	0xc1aa0e…
11-01 04:08:36	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be 2,200,000 or more?	Yes	BUY	46	32¢	$15	0x8dbae2…
11-01 03:11:18	Will 210 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 2-November 8?	No	BUY	48	85¢	$41	0x11c4a9…
11-01 03:09:55	Will 210 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 2-November 8?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xaa747e…
11-01 01:07:01	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?	Yes	SELL	31	13¢	$4	0xa83ba5…
11-01 00:18:52	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x41a8aa…
11-01 00:16:48	Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?	No	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0x6b1515…
11-01 00:16:39	Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?	No	BUY	161	55¢	$89	0x35c4d4…
11-01 00:00:21	Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xf8bc5c…
11-01 00:00:04	Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	65¢	$11	0x9aa734…
10-31 23:59:49	Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$9	0x9492f3…
10-31 22:49:03	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	No	BUY	67	70¢	$47	0xb1f6df…
10-31 22:26:30	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	Yes	SELL	36	28¢	$10	0x457d64…
10-31 22:26:18	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	Yes	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0x22a60a…
10-31 21:01:27	UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x737af4…
10-31 21:00:46	UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Tom Nolan	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x9a7505…
10-31 20:54:36	UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Main Card)	Cody Durden	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xc4d996…
10-31 20:53:03	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	48	35¢	$17	0x96d5ea…
10-31 20:52:22	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0x54dba2…
10-31 20:51:21	UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Main Card)	Cody Durden	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x6e8a57…
10-31 20:48:45	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	582	35¢	$204	0xd6c143…
10-31 20:47:30	UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Main Card)	Cody Durden	BUY	98	52¢	$51	0xa55834…
10-31 20:30:19	Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x3228f0…
10-31 20:18:30	Will LYON Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x8682e4…
10-31 20:18:28	Will LYON Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x32b657…
10-31 20:17:09	Will LYON Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	No	BUY	21	89¢	$18	0xf0b1f2…
10-31 19:24:57	Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	No	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0x8f18d3…
10-31 19:22:09	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0xc8f585…
10-31 19:18:22	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be above 5%?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x1a6565…
10-31 19:06:04	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xa843ea…
10-31 18:37:49	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	99	22¢	$22	0x4b0dcd…
10-31 18:13:00	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	19¢	$12	0x8c93d5…
10-31 16:38:34	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be above 5%?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xfaa905…
10-31 16:00:19	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x39085a…
10-31 15:54:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x064c53…
10-31 15:44:21	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xbb5fe8…
10-31 15:39:19	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x017cc2…
10-31 15:22:18	UFC Fight Night: Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Piera Rodriguez	BUY	202	73¢	$147	0x69a271…
10-31 15:20:52	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x5648dd…
10-31 14:58:33	Will AP call US Senate control by November 13, 11:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xdf538e…
10-31 14:53:36	UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)	Randy Brown	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xcd6172…
10-31 14:53:21	UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)	Randy Brown	BUY	498	31¢	$154	0x6d062b…
10-31 14:44:12	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	65¢	$84	0x81b3b4…
10-31 14:36:07	UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Tainara Lisboa	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xc01510…
10-31 14:35:52	UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Tainara Lisboa	BUY	498	16¢	$79	0x22797e…
10-31 14:33:40	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x286050…
10-31 14:33:39	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	222	18¢	$40	0x9aed84…
10-31 14:33:04	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	No	SELL	141	43¢	$60	0xfda0c8…
10-31 14:32:40	US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	No	SELL	160	36¢	$58	0x6297f0…
10-31 14:06:21	UFC Fight Night: Joe Kropschot vs. Nick Klein (Middleweight, Prelims)	Joe Kropschot	BUY	29	75¢	$22	0xc490bf…
10-31 13:37:00	UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando (Welterweight, Prelims)	Rodrigo Sezinando	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb39d8a…
10-31 13:01:10	Will the Democrats win Grand Traverse County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd85cec…
10-31 12:13:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 6% or more?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x2bfe47…
10-31 11:53:03	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0x54db94…
10-31 11:17:06	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be 320,000 or more?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xfae3f1…
10-31 10:33:58	UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims)	JeongYeong Lee	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0xeac595…
10-31 10:33:36	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	71	61¢	$43	0xfcfc16…
10-31 10:16:31	UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims)	JeongYeong Lee	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0x9b20e1…
10-31 10:06:55	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x957b1e…
10-31 10:04:33	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xc6ee05…
10-31 10:04:31	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	BUY	82	13¢	$11	0x382ff3…
10-31 10:04:31	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	BUY	220	20¢	$44	0x1d5f6a…
10-31 10:04:30	Will PP receive between 34% and 36% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	225	20¢	$44	0xa788a9…
10-31 10:04:30	Will PSOE receive between 24% and 26% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x24a080…
10-31 10:04:30	Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x06f91d…
10-31 09:56:06	Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more?	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x68c30b…
10-31 08:50:37	Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs. FC Astana: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	39	69¢	$27	0xd8ab3b…
10-31 08:50:37	Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs. FC Astana: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	47	69¢	$32	0x93d55a…
10-31 03:59:01	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd92c17…
10-31 02:31:49	UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Renato Moicano	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x58124d…
10-31 00:41:19	Will LYON Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x3aa66d…
10-31 00:08:15	UFC Fight Night: Mickey Gall vs. Zach Reese (Middleweight, Prelims)	Mickey Gall	BUY	148	22¢	$33	0xad6932…
10-31 00:07:27	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x75ca98…
10-31 00:07:15	UFC Fight Night: Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Talita Alencar	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x5fa33e…
10-31 00:07:00	UFC Fight Night: Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Talita Alencar	BUY	290	28¢	$81	0xa3f582…
10-31 00:05:54	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 30?	No	BUY	127	94¢	$119	0x03e315…
10-31 00:01:48	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Yana Santos	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xd10620…
10-31 00:01:33	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Yana Santos	BUY	193	26¢	$50	0xb9a5a6…
10-31 00:01:24	UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)	Randy Brown	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xe2e07f…
10-30 23:41:55	UFC Fight Night: Mickey Gall vs. Zach Reese (Middleweight, Prelims)	Mickey Gall	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x234e28…
10-30 23:39:13	UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Tainara Lisboa	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x8a1404…
10-30 23:20:40	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0x03e704…
10-30 22:02:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 40% or more?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xf075a2…
10-30 21:53:16	UFC Fight Night: Joe Kropschot vs. Nick Klein (Middleweight, Prelims)	Joe Kropschot	BUY	29	75¢	$22	0xbf0a81…
10-30 21:53:16	UFC Fight Night: Joe Kropschot vs. Nick Klein (Middleweight, Prelims)	Joe Kropschot	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xb47097…