Realized P&L (24h)
-$258
Unrealized P&L
+$919
Hit rate
26.8%
Resolved (24h)
9
Trades (24h)
9
1,085 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$50
$39.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$2.28K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-24
last 11-11 10:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
58% 54% +$2,081
Politics
28% 49% -$388
Sports
13% 39% +$437
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B G2 +832 $200 100¢ $831 +$631 11-05 10:44
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +127 $115 100¢ $127 +$12 11-04 09:16
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +119 $79 99¢ $118 +$40 11-04 06:14
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +135 $88 80¢ $109 +$21 10-31 14:44
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 12% or more? Yes +103 -$20 96¢ $99 +$118 11-04 06:51
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +198 $110 48¢ $95 -$15 10-27 20:02
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +100 $89 94¢ $94 +$6 11-06 16:21
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No +95 $90 98¢ $93 +$3 11-02 17:09
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +90 $83 98¢ $88 +$6 11-06 22:22
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027? No +373 $76 22¢ $84 +$8 11-07 17:55
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +429 $73 13¢ $56 -$17 11-07 17:56
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be 1,100,000 or more? Yes +190 $30 25¢ $47 +$17 11-03 14:16
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November? No +50 $31 90¢ $44 +$13 10-25 09:20
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? Yes +50 $47 85¢ $42 -$4 11-02 21:29
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30? No +100 $34 38¢ $39 +$5 10-31 10:04
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +40 -$40 90¢ $37 +$77 10-31 14:32
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%? No +96 $37 36¢ $35 -$2 10-25 09:13
Will Mike Evans have 1,024.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +41 $25 77¢ $31 +$6 11-07 16:53
Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No — +33 $31 95¢ $31 +$0 11-05 05:25
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97? Yes +38 $23 59¢ $22 $0 11-11 00:22
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 31? No — +23 $21 91¢ $21 -$1 11-01 10:36
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? Yes +208 $45 10¢ $20 -$25 10-31 18:37
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-11 House election by 12% or more? Yes +35 $5 56¢ $20 +$15 10-25 10:35
Will Cameron Ward have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +99 $23 19¢ $19 -$4 11-05 00:08
Will Faker Win an International Title in 2026? No +17 $13 93¢ $16 +$3 11-06 21:18
Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be above 5%? Yes +55 $13 26¢ $15 +$2 10-31 19:18
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98? Yes +35 $9 34¢ $12 +$3 11-08 10:34
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? No +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$1 11-04 07:07
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? No +11 $9 99¢ $11 +$2 11-04 07:49
Will Knight win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? No +11 $10 85¢ $9 $0 11-06 03:06