Realized P&L
+$5.12K
Unrealized P&L
+$292
Hit rate
69.4%
Resolved
1,191
Trades
6,604
lifetime
Volume
$89.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$2.07K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-07
last 11-04 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Other
57% 54% +$4,195
Politics
35% 56% +$212
Sports
3% 62% +$447
Tech
2% 62% +$191
Pop-Culture
1% 62% +$39
Crypto
1% 67% +$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 570 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? No +204 $185 100¢ $204 +$19 11-04 07:42
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? No +201 $167 100¢ $200 +$33 11-04 05:30
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +204 $185 93¢ $189 +$4 11-04 06:48
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +204 $99 91¢ $184 +$85 11-04 06:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +202 $110 83¢ $167 +$58 10-27 20:02
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +163 $134 99¢ $162 +$28 11-04 09:17
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No +141 $128 99¢ $138 +$11 11-02 17:35
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? Yes +126 $51 99¢ $124 +$73 11-04 01:23
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat? Yes +93 $82 99¢ $92 +$11 11-04 08:27
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +202 $74 44¢ $90 +$16 11-04 18:23
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +77 $32 98¢ $76 +$44 11-04 06:41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? Yes +202 $52 34¢ $68 +$16 11-04 16:43
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat? No +62 $54 99¢ $62 +$8 11-04 08:15
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +58 $65 100¢ $58 -$8 11-04 07:05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +49 $17 95¢ $47 +$29 11-04 02:22
Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat? Yes +36 $20 99¢ $35 +$15 11-04 02:28
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? No +31 $15 97¢ $30 +$14 11-04 04:55
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat? No +164 $66 15¢ $24 -$42 11-04 12:47
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? No +21 $9 99¢ $21 +$12 11-04 01:14
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +202 $141 10¢ $20 -$121 11-04 06:11
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +213 $54 7¢ $15 -$39 11-04 01:11
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +53 $18 26¢ $14 -$4 11-04 04:12
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? Yes +51 $10 18¢ $9 -$1 11-04 13:41
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +82 $15 9¢ $7 -$7 10-03 04:23
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +6 $2 100¢ $6 +$4 11-04 00:13
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-07 17:02
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-07 16:33
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +15 -$28 27¢ $4 +$32 11-04 05:13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $4 81¢ $4 +$0 06-07 20:34
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes +19 $4 20¢ $4 $0 11-01 00:20