Realized P&L
+$4.91K
Unrealized P&L
+$86
Hit rate
69.5%
Resolved
1,065
Trades
5,876
lifetime
Volume
$74.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$952
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-07
last 11-02 07:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 109 days
Categories
Other
62% 55% +$4,167
Politics
29% 57% +$28
Sports
4% 62% +$447
Tech
3% 62% +$191
Pop-Culture
1% 62% +$39
Crypto
1% 67% +$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +202 $110 80¢ $160 +$51 10-27 20:02
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +153 $115 99¢ $151 +$36 10-24 10:05
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +207 $145 70¢ $144 -$1 10-27 02:06
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +179 $108 64¢ $116 +$8 11-02 03:04
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +202 $126 56¢ $112 -$14 10-25 10:42
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +86 $53 66¢ $57 +$5 10-31 10:33
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +222 $40 20¢ $46 +$6 10-31 14:33
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +209 $40 22¢ $45 +$5 11-01 13:09
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +80 $20 28¢ $22 +$2 10-15 23:30
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +21 $13 65¢ $13 +$1 11-02 03:02
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-26 02:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-26 02:17
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 06-26 02:17
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? Yes +16 $8 54¢ $8 +$1 11-02 05:48
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +10 $6 78¢ $8 +$1 06-26 02:17
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +10 $6 66¢ $7 +$1 10-22 12:02
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +82 $15 8¢ $6 -$9 10-03 04:23
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-07 17:02
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-07 16:33
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 06-07 20:34
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes +19 $4 20¢ $4 $0 11-01 00:20
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $4 64¢ $3 $0 06-07 20:34
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +10 $6 29¢ $3 -$3 06-26 02:17
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5 -$2 36¢ $-2 $0 06-07 20:19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5 -$1 22¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 20:20
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -10 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 06-07 20:51
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +3 $3 11¢ $0 -$3 10-29 13:05
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -10 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 06-07 20:52
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -10 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 06-07 20:52
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -10 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 06-07 20:51