Realized P&L
+$8.98K
Unrealized P&L
+$983
Hit rate
65.2%
Resolved
9,536
Trades
33,489
lifetime
Volume
$636.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$12.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 11-12 12:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 213 days
Categories
Other
38% 65% -$237
Crypto
34% 54% +$9,091
Politics
24% 62% -$658
Sports
4% 69% +$780
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 826 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +4,882 $748 62¢ $3.0K +$2,254 11-12 10:09
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +4,883 $4,131 44¢ $2.1K -$1,992 11-12 10:46
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,655 $1,376 100¢ $1.6K +$272 11-04 08:32
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,145 $794 66¢ $751 -$43 11-10 15:33
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +817 $494 74¢ $608 +$115 11-05 01:04
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +485 $360 94¢ $456 +$96 11-11 14:06
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,148 $341 34¢ $396 +$55 11-10 15:33
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +432 $217 75¢ $324 +$107 11-10 14:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +274 $240 97¢ $267 +$27 11-10 13:30
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +308 $263 84¢ $258 -$6 11-11 17:05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? No +249 $206 96¢ $240 +$34 11-11 10:53
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +817 $354 28¢ $225 -$129 11-04 23:02
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North? No +243 $215 87¢ $211 -$3 11-03 04:13
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +200 $187 99¢ $198 +$12 09-16 16:57
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North? No +232 $155 78¢ $181 +$26 11-03 04:13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +200 $47 88¢ $177 +$130 10-07 12:01
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +282 $205 62¢ $176 -$29 11-08 06:16
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? No +170 $80 100¢ $169 +$89 11-04 04:09
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +184 $167 91¢ $168 +$1 10-21 07:14
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? No +247 $178 62¢ $153 -$25 11-04 16:10
Will Detroit Lions win the 2026 NFC North? No +192 $140 72¢ $139 -$1 11-03 04:13
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +137 $111 100¢ $136 +$26 08-29 22:56
Will Huang Shih-chieh win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? No +137 $127 93¢ $127 +$0 11-09 23:08
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +129 $116 94¢ $121 +$5 08-30 20:07
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +432 $221 25¢ $108 -$113 11-10 14:47
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +129 $106 82¢ $106 $0 08-30 20:07
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +281 $80 38¢ $105 +$26 11-08 07:37
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? No +112 $85 94¢ $105 +$20 08-29 10:26
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East? No +106 $89 98¢ $104 +$14 11-02 01:48
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +110 $86 94¢ $103 +$16 09-22 02:35