Realized P&L
+$8.96K
Unrealized P&L
+$654
Hit rate
65.2%
Resolved
9,558
Trades
33,531
lifetime
Volume
$637.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$12.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 11-13 20:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 214 days
Categories
Other
38% 65% -$236
Crypto
34% 54% +$9,086
Politics
24% 62% -$668
Sports
4% 69% +$780
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 826 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +4,882 $748 54¢ $2.6K +$1,888 11-12 10:09
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +4,883 $4,131 47¢ $2.3K -$1,838 11-12 10:46
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,655 $1,376 100¢ $1.6K +$274 11-04 08:32
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,145 $794 65¢ $744 -$50 11-10 15:33
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +817 $494 74¢ $600 +$107 11-05 01:04
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +485 $360 94¢ $454 +$93 11-11 14:06
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,148 $341 34¢ $396 +$55 11-10 15:33
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +432 $217 73¢ $316 +$98 11-10 14:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +274 $240 97¢ $267 +$27 11-10 13:30
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +308 $263 82¢ $254 -$9 11-11 17:05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? No +249 $206 96¢ $240 +$34 11-11 10:53
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +817 $354 26¢ $216 -$137 11-04 23:02
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North? No +243 $215 86¢ $210 -$5 11-03 04:13
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +200 $187 99¢ $198 +$11 09-16 16:57
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +200 $47 91¢ $182 +$135 10-07 12:01
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North? No +232 $155 78¢ $180 +$25 11-03 04:13
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +282 $205 62¢ $176 -$29 11-08 06:16
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +184 $167 89¢ $164 -$3 10-21 07:14
Will Houston Texans win the 2026 AFC South? No +173 $127 92¢ $158 +$32 11-13 00:08
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? No +247 $178 62¢ $152 -$26 11-04 16:10
Will Detroit Lions win the 2026 NFC North? No +192 $140 72¢ $139 -$1 11-03 04:13
Will Huang Shih-chieh win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? No +137 $127 92¢ $127 $0 11-09 23:08
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +129 $116 96¢ $124 +$8 08-30 20:07
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +432 $221 26¢ $114 -$107 11-10 14:47
Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2026 AFC South? No +112 $93 99¢ $111 +$18 10-18 17:02
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +129 $106 84¢ $108 +$2 08-30 20:07
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +153 $122 70¢ $107 -$15 11-13 20:23
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? No +112 $85 94¢ $106 +$20 08-29 10:26
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +281 $80 38¢ $105 +$26 11-08 07:37
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +118 $85 89¢ $105 +$20 11-11 19:19