Realized P&L
+$9.04K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.37K
Hit rate
65.4%
Resolved
9,505
Trades
33,439
lifetime
Volume
$635.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$14.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 11-11 16:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 212 days
Categories
Other
38% 65% -$224
Crypto
34% 54% +$9,089
Politics
24% 62% -$603
Sports
4% 69% +$781
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 826 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +4,883 $4,131 59¢ $2.9K -$1,262 11-11 13:59
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +4,882 $748 44¢ $2.2K +$1,424 11-11 14:57
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +1,817 $336 100¢ $1.8K +$1,474 11-04 09:14
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,655 $1,376 99¢ $1.6K +$267 11-04 08:32
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,145 $794 65¢ $747 -$47 11-10 15:33
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +817 $494 74¢ $608 +$115 11-05 01:04
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +485 $360 90¢ $434 +$74 11-11 14:06
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,148 $341 34¢ $396 +$55 11-10 15:33
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +432 $217 83¢ $359 +$142 11-10 14:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +274 $240 97¢ $266 +$26 11-10 13:30
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +308 $263 86¢ $264 +$0 11-11 17:05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? No +249 $206 90¢ $225 +$20 11-11 10:53
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +817 $354 28¢ $225 -$129 11-04 23:02
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North? No +243 $215 86¢ $210 -$5 11-03 04:13
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +200 $187 100¢ $199 +$12 09-16 16:57
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +282 $205 62¢ $176 -$29 11-08 06:16
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North? No +232 $155 76¢ $175 +$21 11-03 04:13
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? No +170 $80 99¢ $169 +$89 11-04 04:09
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +184 $167 88¢ $162 -$4 10-21 07:14
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +200 $47 78¢ $155 +$108 10-07 12:01
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? No +247 $178 62¢ $152 -$26 11-04 16:10
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +150 $58 100¢ $150 +$92 11-04 04:13
Will Detroit Lions win the 2026 NFC North? No +192 $140 72¢ $139 -$1 11-03 04:13
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +137 $111 99¢ $136 +$25 08-29 22:56
Will Huang Shih-chieh win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? No +137 $127 93¢ $127 +$0 11-09 23:08
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +129 $116 94¢ $122 +$6 08-30 20:07
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +281 $80 38¢ $105 +$26 11-08 07:37
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +129 $106 82¢ $105 -$1 08-30 20:07
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? No +112 $85 94¢ $105 +$20 08-29 10:26
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +432 $221 24¢ $104 -$118 11-10 14:47