Realized P&L
+$8.90K
Unrealized P&L
+$802
Hit rate
65.2%
Resolved
9,586
Trades
33,599
lifetime
Volume
$637.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$12.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 11-15 09:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 216 days
Categories
Other
38% 65% -$288
Crypto
34% 54% +$9,075
Politics
24% 62% -$670
Sports
4% 69% +$780
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 826 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +4,882 $748 66¢ $3.2K +$2,498 11-12 10:09
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +4,883 $4,131 36¢ $1.7K -$2,390 11-12 10:46
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,655 $1,376 100¢ $1.7K +$278 11-04 08:32
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,145 $794 65¢ $748 -$46 11-10 15:33
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +817 $494 74¢ $608 +$115 11-05 01:04
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +485 $360 95¢ $459 +$99 11-11 14:06
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,148 $341 34¢ $396 +$55 11-10 15:33
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +432 $217 74¢ $320 +$103 11-10 14:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +274 $240 96¢ $264 +$24 11-10 13:30
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +308 $263 80¢ $248 -$15 11-11 17:05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? No +249 $206 98¢ $245 +$39 11-11 10:53
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +817 $354 28¢ $229 -$125 11-04 23:02
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North? No +243 $215 87¢ $211 -$3 11-03 04:13
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +200 $187 99¢ $198 +$11 09-16 16:57
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +200 $47 92¢ $185 +$138 10-07 12:01
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North? No +232 $155 78¢ $180 +$25 11-03 04:13
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +184 $167 88¢ $163 -$4 10-21 07:14
Will Houston Texans win the 2026 AFC South? No +173 $127 90¢ $155 +$28 11-13 00:08
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? No +247 $178 61¢ $151 -$27 11-04 16:10
Will Detroit Lions win the 2026 NFC North? No +192 $140 72¢ $138 -$2 11-03 04:13
Will Huang Shih-chieh win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? No +137 $127 92¢ $126 -$1 11-09 23:08
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +129 $116 97¢ $125 +$9 08-30 20:07
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +432 $221 29¢ $123 -$98 11-10 14:47
Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2026 AFC South? No +112 $93 99¢ $111 +$18 10-18 17:02
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? No +112 $85 95¢ $107 +$21 08-29 10:26
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +129 $106 82¢ $106 $0 08-30 20:07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +118 $85 88¢ $104 +$19 11-11 19:19
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East? No +106 $89 98¢ $104 +$14 11-02 01:48
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +110 $86 92¢ $101 +$15 09-22 02:35
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? No +116 $96 85¢ $98 +$2 11-10 04:22