Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$25

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 05-03 04:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

57% 62% $0

Other

39% 75% +$1

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-03).

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	05-03 03:51
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	+1	$1	91¢	$1	+$0	05-03 04:11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	88¢	$1	+$0	05-03 04:21
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	05-03 04:21
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+3	$1	38¢	$1	$0	05-03 03:52
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?	Yes	+3	$1	22¢	$1	$0	05-03 04:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-03 04:21:38	Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1ed825…
05-03 04:21:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4a1f33…
05-03 04:21:06	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfe4a3e…
05-03 04:14:22	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x27866d…
05-03 04:12:50	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6a72fb…
05-03 04:12:40	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7ab585…
05-03 04:12:24	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xaea655…
05-03 04:12:16	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdd84b2…
05-03 04:11:50	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa4df37…
05-03 04:11:06	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0fa862…
05-03 03:53:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x7529f9…
05-03 03:52:36	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc87170…
05-03 03:52:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x76e0f2…
05-03 03:51:44	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf5b7c2…
05-03 03:51:30	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xec7dac…
05-03 03:50:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x702f7e…
01-26 16:29:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x1aa7b6…
01-26 16:28:35	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xd7d1b7…
01-26 16:28:29	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x7f4f24…
01-26 16:28:19	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xd68753…
01-23 14:53:14	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x86ddcc…
01-23 14:52:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd83945…
01-19 15:42:30	will trump deport 750000 or more people in 2025	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xb2e290…
01-19 15:42:14	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x732b27…
01-19 15:41:32	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x59c882…
01-19 15:40:20	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5bb856…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	01-26 16:28
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	01-26 16:28
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	01-26 16:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$2	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	01-26 16:29
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	05-03 04:14
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-03 04:11
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-03 03:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-03 03:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	05-03 03:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$1	38	0	+38	No	-$1	05-03 03:53
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-03 04:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	01-23 14:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	05-03 04:21
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	05-03 04:12
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-03 04:21
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	05-03 03:51
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	05-03 04:12
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-03 03:52
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-03 04:12
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-03 04:21
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	05-03 04:11
will trump deport 750000 or more people in 2025	1	$0	0	3	-3	No	+$0	01-19 15:42