Arctic-Coverall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,011

lifetime

Volume

$7.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$51

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-09 12:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 0% $-6

Other

14% — —

Sports

6% — —

Politics

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	+26	$24	94¢	$24	+$0	06-09 08:26
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	+44	$14	28¢	$12	$-2	06-08 13:17
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	+10	$6	64¢	$6	$-0	06-08 10:03
Will Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31?	Yes	+7	$6	94¢	$6	+$0	06-08 08:46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	+10	$2	20¢	$2	+$0	06-08 17:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on january 6 2026	4	$350	200	200	+0	open	—	01-06 14:59
btc updown 15m 1770319800	45	$331	514	400	+114	open	—	02-05 19:44
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$324	85,013	0	+85,013	open	—	06-03 19:44
btc updown 15m 1770324300	10	$286	320	0	+320	open	—	02-05 20:56
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	5	$274	324	324	+0	open	—	01-18 19:12
will google gemini 3 score at least 60 on the frontiermath benchmark by	5	$211	1,500	1,157	+343	open	—	01-18 19:13
bitcoin above 92k on january 11	2	$140	1,996	0	+1,996	open	—	01-10 17:13
btc updown 15m 1770321600	11	$122	170	143	+27	open	—	02-05 20:13
btc updown 15m 1770323400	2	$103	125	0	+125	open	—	02-05 20:39
btc updown 15m 1770322500	61	$94	1,286	0	+1,286	open	—	02-05 20:22
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	3	$86	279	263	+16	open	—	04-13 16:49
btc updown 5m 1775664900	4	$79	80	0	+80	open	—	04-08 16:20
btc updown 5m 1771450200	5	$76	119	52	+67	open	—	02-18 21:32
sol updown 5m 1774902300	4	$73	122	121	+1	open	—	03-30 20:29
will mike kafka be fired by february 28	2	$64	35	35	+0	open	—	01-07 10:31
eth updown 5m 1774905600	8	$62	65	64	+1	open	—	03-30 21:20
sol updown 5m 1774905300	6	$62	64	63	+1	open	—	03-30 21:15
btc updown 5m 1775680800	2	$62	70	0	+70	open	—	04-08 20:45
btc updown 5m 1775680200	1	$59	60	0	+60	open	—	04-08 20:34
btc updown 5m 1774812000	2	$59	54	54	+0	open	—	03-29 19:24
btc updown 5m 1774903800	3	$57	59	58	+1	open	—	03-30 20:49
btc updown 5m 1774810500	2	$56	60	0	+60	open	—	03-29 18:59
eth updown 5m 1774905000	27	$54	173	49	+123	open	—	03-30 21:12
btc updown 5m 1771450800	5	$53	50	50	+0	open	—	02-18 21:41
btc updown 5m 1775680500	2	$52	60	0	+60	open	—	04-08 20:39
btc updown 5m 1775676900	2	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	04-08 19:39
nba por sac 2026 01 18	1	$50	116	0	+116	open	—	01-18 19:24
btc updown 5m 1775677500	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-08 19:50
btc updown 5m 1771451100	5	$48	100	0	+100	open	—	02-18 21:45
bitcoin up or down on february 7	2	$45	50	50	+0	open	—	02-06 18:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 12:18:27	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xe3b19f…
06-09 08:26:10	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc517ab…
06-08 19:20:51	will switzerland reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134472	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x60635d…
06-08 17:12:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x02af2d…
06-08 13:46:09	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x0e0aa7…
06-08 13:33:25	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x46cd05…
06-08 13:17:18	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0x074857…
06-08 10:05:30	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x602e3d…
06-08 10:03:49	Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xe1a6b2…
06-08 09:15:33	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x68491c…
06-08 08:46:13	Will Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0xd06d45…
06-04 17:04:54	btc updown 5m 1780592400	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2df982…
06-03 19:44:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83,000	0¢	$249	0x2bd659…
06-03 15:09:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,923	0¢	$10	0x38632e…
06-01 15:13:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x06c0e6…
06-01 14:04:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xcb8ac9…
06-01 13:48:10	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x135bc6…
06-01 12:56:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x40106a…
06-01 12:52:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xac72c4…
06-01 12:47:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x7001b4…
05-29 09:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x301bf7…
05-29 09:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x6dd8ed…
05-29 09:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x1f0bcd…
05-29 09:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x819497…
05-29 09:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0xc12ba0…
05-29 09:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa27150…
05-29 09:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x29b95e…
05-29 09:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xfd44ca…
05-29 09:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xc56c25…
05-29 09:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x731550…
05-29 09:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5e551b…
05-29 09:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3e97f6…
05-29 09:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xc2b33d…
05-29 09:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xcb8761…
05-29 09:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x020214…
05-29 09:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x651464…
05-29 09:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x01ad21…
05-29 09:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x5dd2c7…
05-28 15:57:05	Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xe58787…
05-28 15:56:17	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0xd46b45…
05-28 13:21:27	Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xbaa51c…
05-28 08:53:29	Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x53c787…
05-28 08:51:20	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x8429a7…
05-28 08:50:17	Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xc28361…
05-28 08:50:17	Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	41	4¢	$2	0xab39a9…
05-28 08:44:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0xc5f6c9…
05-28 08:44:20	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x6959da…
05-27 20:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7fd973…
05-27 20:19:53	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd527c2…
05-27 20:19:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x72944f…
05-27 20:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xb9dd31…
05-27 19:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x71e2ad…
05-27 19:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbd6bff…
05-27 19:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xbeea4e…
05-27 19:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x3fd3a6…
05-27 19:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xac5792…
05-27 19:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xa697ee…
05-27 19:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x86f5d8…
05-27 19:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xf63100…
05-27 16:20:13	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x42163e…
05-27 16:03:41	Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x0f2daf…
05-27 16:02:59	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x5ca09d…
05-27 15:49:39	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x8cc9f1…
05-27 15:49:16	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x254d61…
05-27 15:48:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xe4edd5…
05-27 15:48:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x2eeeca…
05-27 13:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xf6cc8f…
05-27 13:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x31984f…
05-27 13:52:50	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x298777…
05-27 13:52:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5c7a8d…
05-27 13:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	26	80¢	$20	0xf3d1da…
05-27 13:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xefcff8…
05-27 13:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x2db265…
05-27 13:43:53	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf75339…
05-27 13:43:41	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0f0a95…
05-27 13:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xa3fccd…
05-27 13:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x87fdab…
05-27 13:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x62d8a7…
05-27 13:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xb5b93d…
05-27 13:31:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xaf28ec…
05-27 13:31:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xa8aa34…
05-27 13:29:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x94a6d8…
05-27 13:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x1e1148…
05-27 13:26:46	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x741ea9…
05-27 13:25:04	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x86470a…
05-27 12:48:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x63d3f3…
05-27 12:48:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0x7b5d9b…
05-27 12:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x85967f…
05-27 12:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x274ba4…
05-27 12:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x18c147…
05-27 12:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x9ee082…
05-27 12:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9ff249…
05-27 12:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xb4502d…
05-27 12:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xc30246…
05-27 12:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0x25ce89…
05-27 12:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xe649dd…
05-27 12:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0xec1d25…
05-27 12:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x9dcff8…
05-27 12:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xd20c83…
05-27 12:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x05b8fe…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	208	$2.85K	415	04-27 10:45
(anonymous) 0xf381…2b5d	202	$67.4K	13,843	04-27 10:44
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	197	$20.7K	3,092	04-27 10:44
(anonymous) 0x42a2…e9e8	192	$2.86K	1,762	04-27 10:35
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	181	$7.39K	1,743	06-04 17:02
(anonymous) 0xdaa9…e31d	176	$2.42K	480	05-29 09:42
Attractive-Spleen 0x88ac…fb0b	169	$2.37K	752	06-01 12:00
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	167	$103.4K	3,701	06-09 22:14