Arctic-Coverall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,227

lifetime

Volume

$8.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$28

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-01 10:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 0% $-6

Other

13% — —

Sports

7% — —

Politics

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	+20	$19	97¢	$19	+$0	06-15 22:45
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	+44	$14	14¢	$6	$-8	06-08 13:17
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	+3	$1	78¢	$3	+$1	06-14 21:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on january 6 2026	4	$350	200	200	+0	open	—	01-06 14:59
btc updown 15m 1770319800	45	$331	514	400	+114	open	—	02-05 19:44
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$324	85,013	0	+85,013	open	—	06-03 19:44
btc updown 15m 1770324300	10	$286	320	0	+320	open	—	02-05 20:56
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	5	$274	324	324	+0	open	—	01-18 19:12
will google gemini 3 score at least 60 on the frontiermath benchmark by	5	$211	1,500	1,157	+343	open	—	01-18 19:13
bitcoin above 92k on january 11	2	$140	1,996	0	+1,996	open	—	01-10 17:13
btc updown 15m 1770321600	11	$122	170	143	+27	open	—	02-05 20:13
btc updown 15m 1770323400	2	$103	125	0	+125	open	—	02-05 20:39
btc updown 15m 1770322500	61	$94	1,286	0	+1,286	open	—	02-05 20:22
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	3	$86	279	263	+16	open	—	04-13 16:49
btc updown 5m 1775664900	4	$79	80	0	+80	open	—	04-08 16:20
btc updown 5m 1771450200	5	$76	119	52	+67	open	—	02-18 21:32
sol updown 5m 1774902300	4	$73	122	121	+1	open	—	03-30 20:29
will mike kafka be fired by february 28	2	$64	35	35	+0	open	—	01-07 10:31
eth updown 5m 1774905600	8	$62	65	64	+1	open	—	03-30 21:20
sol updown 5m 1774905300	6	$62	64	63	+1	open	—	03-30 21:15
btc updown 5m 1775680800	2	$62	70	0	+70	open	—	04-08 20:45
btc updown 5m 1775680200	1	$59	60	0	+60	open	—	04-08 20:34
btc updown 5m 1774812000	2	$59	54	54	+0	open	—	03-29 19:24
btc updown 5m 1774903800	3	$57	59	58	+1	open	—	03-30 20:49
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	2	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	06-10 13:51
btc updown 5m 1774810500	2	$56	60	0	+60	open	—	03-29 18:59
eth updown 5m 1774905000	27	$54	173	49	+123	open	—	03-30 21:12
btc updown 5m 1771450800	5	$53	50	50	+0	open	—	02-18 21:41
btc updown 5m 1775680500	2	$52	60	0	+60	open	—	04-08 20:39
btc updown 5m 1775676900	2	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	04-08 19:39
nba por sac 2026 01 18	1	$50	116	0	+116	open	—	01-18 19:24
btc updown 5m 1775677500	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-08 19:50
btc updown 5m 1771451100	5	$48	100	0	+100	open	—	02-18 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 10:26:28	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x2a4eeb…
06-30 10:56:47	will morocco reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134476	Yes	BUY	60	71¢	$43	0xb76c9e…
06-30 10:32:14	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x9c4834…
06-24 16:41:40	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by august 31	No	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0xbc8c10…
06-24 10:04:35	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by august 31	No	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x82a4be…
06-16 12:26:07	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xb0401a…
06-15 22:45:46	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xacf60d…
06-15 22:45:34	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0x46a7f2…
06-15 13:17:33	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xd83783…
06-15 10:20:18	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x874b02…
06-15 09:48:07	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xae5c93…
06-14 23:43:12	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0x0e1fed…
06-14 21:02:16	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x839c31…
06-14 19:42:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xfae5ff…
06-12 16:18:34	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xad6de4…
06-12 13:45:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x45f965…
06-11 09:38:22	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x17e76e…
06-11 09:35:46	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 200 high 20260608191407796	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x758396…
06-11 09:04:28	president trump to attend usa opening match 20260607163739001	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x2480d7…
06-10 20:32:30	Will Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31?	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0xa42b5f…
06-10 20:19:58	btc updown 5m 1781122800	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa93671…
06-10 20:19:45	btc updown 5m 1781122800	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0bcd20…
06-10 20:14:45	btc updown 5m 1781122500	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc94cc3…
06-10 20:11:52	btc updown 5m 1781122500	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x351b65…
06-10 20:09:07	btc updown 5m 1781122200	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa65183…
06-10 20:05:04	btc updown 5m 1781121900	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x79d9b2…
06-10 20:05:03	btc updown 5m 1781121900	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5b904a…
06-10 20:00:07	btc updown 5m 1781121600	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x95b72e…
06-10 19:58:06	btc updown 5m 1781121600	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd7f2ae…
06-10 19:55:10	btc updown 5m 1781121300	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x65074b…
06-10 19:55:00	btc updown 5m 1781121300	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$4	0x421ea8…
06-10 19:54:34	btc updown 5m 1781121300	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x5de8d9…
06-10 19:47:37	btc updown 5m 1781121000	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcd67a3…
06-10 19:46:21	btc updown 5m 1781121000	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x9d234a…
06-10 19:45:39	btc updown 5m 1781121000	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xcf855e…
06-10 19:45:18	btc updown 5m 1781120700	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2b633f…
06-10 19:40:10	btc updown 5m 1781120400	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd43d81…
06-10 19:40:10	btc updown 5m 1781120400	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x59de93…
06-10 19:40:06	btc updown 5m 1781120700	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xe6c791…
06-10 19:40:06	btc updown 5m 1781120700	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3f799e…
06-10 19:35:25	btc updown 5m 1781120100	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd76f00…
06-10 19:35:06	btc updown 5m 1781120400	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6fcae0…
06-10 19:33:25	btc updown 5m 1781120100	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1f5a88…
06-10 19:30:03	btc updown 5m 1781119800	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0d9a1b…
06-10 19:29:58	btc updown 5m 1781119800	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa78ccd…
06-10 19:26:33	btc updown 5m 1781119500	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xfb4558…
06-10 19:25:04	btc updown 5m 1781119500	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa7ec1e…
06-10 19:20:42	btc updown 5m 1781119200	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x4c43ef…
06-10 19:20:42	btc updown 5m 1781119200	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0b4b9e…
06-10 19:15:21	btc updown 5m 1781119200	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x33c38e…
06-10 19:15:10	btc updown 5m 1781118900	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x860a45…
06-10 19:15:10	btc updown 5m 1781118900	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x290294…
06-10 19:12:42	btc updown 5m 1781118900	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x17e6d3…
06-10 19:09:39	btc updown 5m 1781118600	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x298226…
06-10 19:05:04	btc updown 5m 1781118300	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xaf7422…
06-10 19:05:04	btc updown 5m 1781118300	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5fa648…
06-10 19:05:04	btc updown 5m 1781118300	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x3bca4a…
06-10 19:00:01	btc updown 5m 1781118000	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x95281e…
06-10 19:00:01	btc updown 5m 1781118000	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x8df55e…
06-10 18:55:27	btc updown 5m 1781118000	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9ca6c5…
06-10 18:55:04	btc updown 5m 1781117700	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x192a6b…
06-10 18:51:36	btc updown 5m 1781118000	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3d2bdc…
06-10 18:51:33	btc updown 5m 1781118000	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb9590b…
06-10 18:50:54	btc updown 5m 1781118000	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x114b94…
06-10 18:50:22	btc updown 5m 1781117700	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x32aa6d…
06-10 18:50:04	btc updown 5m 1781117400	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x523b11…
06-10 18:48:54	btc updown 5m 1781117400	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x07d725…
06-10 18:45:10	btc updown 5m 1781117100	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xe522a9…
06-10 18:45:10	btc updown 5m 1781117100	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x85057a…
06-10 18:40:06	btc updown 5m 1781116800	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5db55e…
06-10 18:37:03	btc updown 5m 1781117100	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xda36ad…
06-10 18:37:00	btc updown 5m 1781116800	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xad800e…
06-10 18:35:03	btc updown 5m 1781116500	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x563ad4…
06-10 18:35:03	btc updown 5m 1781116500	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x0a2fa0…
06-10 18:30:01	btc updown 5m 1781116200	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf97e4f…
06-10 18:30:01	btc updown 5m 1781116200	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x2a38b3…
06-10 18:25:04	btc updown 5m 1781115900	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd71596…
06-10 18:21:51	btc updown 5m 1781115600	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x32a9eb…
06-10 18:20:25	btc updown 5m 1781115900	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x34bdba…
06-10 18:19:21	btc updown 5m 1781115600	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd1a7b3…
06-10 18:17:13	btc updown 5m 1781115300	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5270c8…
06-10 18:15:07	btc updown 5m 1781115300	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x515ecb…
06-10 18:08:28	btc updown 5m 1781115000	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xddb376…
06-10 18:07:57	btc updown 5m 1781115000	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcecad1…
06-10 18:04:45	btc updown 5m 1781114700	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xa7cabc…
06-10 18:04:42	btc updown 5m 1781114700	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf27e80…
06-10 18:04:42	btc updown 5m 1781114700	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x9349f6…
06-10 18:04:07	btc updown 5m 1781114700	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x334ebd…
06-10 17:59:21	btc updown 5m 1781114400	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x72a6e0…
06-10 17:58:40	btc updown 5m 1781114400	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x51aa56…
06-10 17:55:07	btc updown 5m 1781114100	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2d0f50…
06-10 17:52:22	btc updown 5m 1781114100	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x489a82…
06-10 17:49:00	btc updown 5m 1781113800	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xfa8fe7…
06-10 17:45:09	btc updown 5m 1781113800	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd18262…
06-10 17:45:06	btc updown 5m 1781113500	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1da8c4…
06-10 17:40:52	btc updown 5m 1781113200	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x54b833…
06-10 17:39:49	btc updown 5m 1781113500	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x510066…
06-10 17:34:06	btc updown 5m 1781113200	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb1cec7…
06-10 17:30:28	btc updown 5m 1781112600	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x29800d…
06-10 17:30:27	btc updown 5m 1781112600	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x3f2f82…