0xfb9d38cac5c3b0936413b78f30664d3c224bd78e 0xfb9d38…4bd78e
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$265
Unrealized P&L
+$843
Hit rate
91.6%
Resolved
6
Trades
1,254
lifetime
Volume
$13.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$2.19K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-21 06:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
40% 75% +$182
Crypto
29% — —
Politics
17% 100% +$109
Sports
13% 0% $-26
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,594 $711 56¢ $1.4K +$728 07-08 13:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +275 $141 68¢ $189 +$48 07-11 05:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +163 $124 86¢ $140 +$16 07-13 16:19
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +182 $40 70¢ $128 +$88 06-29 14:56
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +362 $109 30¢ $107 $-2 07-12 05:48
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +136 $58 20¢ $27 $-31 06-26 02:04
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +60 $21 42¢ $25 +$3 07-12 07:43
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? Yes +90 $23 23¢ $21 $-2 06-27 14:15
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +43 $12 47¢ $20 +$9 07-15 14:31
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +38 $17 40¢ $16 $-1 06-23 03:11
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +30 $13 36¢ $11 $-2 06-24 13:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +16 $7 66¢ $10 +$3 05-29 05:07
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No +82 $7 12¢ $10 +$4 07-12 23:15
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +30 $12 33¢ $10 $-3 07-18 22:02
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? Yes +56 $15 16¢ $9 $-6 06-21 15:09
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +55 $12 12¢ $7 $-5 07-15 17:04
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +24 $8 26¢ $6 $-2 07-17 21:45
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +21 $6 26¢ $5 $-0 07-17 10:10
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +8 $5 66¢ $5 +$1 06-13 02:46
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? Yes +51 $7 10¢ $5 $-2 07-05 00:10
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +27 $3 11¢ $3 $-0 07-02 04:49
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 05-27 21:19
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? Yes +93 $1 1¢ $1 $-0 07-16 21:47