Realized P&L
+$2.68K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.59K
Hit rate
63.6%
Resolved
702
Trades
3,219
lifetime
Volume
$35.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$5.80K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 11-06 15:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 154 days
Categories
Other
35% 33% -$2,083
Politics
32% 32% +$3,976
Crypto
16% 37% +$93
Sports
14% 48% +$499
Tech
2% 14% +$202
Pop-Culture
0% 25% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4,093 $1,454 90¢ $3.7K +$2,209 07-31 04:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +512 $411 98¢ $500 +$90 08-17 15:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +394 $218 94¢ $373 +$155 07-31 21:14
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +259 $159 90¢ $233 +$74 10-10 17:59
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +102 $82 93¢ $94 +$13 10-25 14:32
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? No +263 $77 32¢ $84 +$7 10-30 19:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +118 $51 65¢ $77 +$26 08-01 06:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +77 $31 93¢ $71 +$40 05-24 03:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +188 $117 35¢ $66 -$51 07-17 21:41
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%? No +69 $21 87¢ $60 +$39 09-24 19:51
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +93 $18 63¢ $59 +$41 08-03 14:24
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? No +61 $54 92¢ $56 +$3 07-14 19:31
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +99 $62 55¢ $54 -$7 10-10 17:55
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +167 $73 30¢ $51 -$22 10-31 04:02
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +132 $62 37¢ $48 -$14 07-20 07:52
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +34 $16 90¢ $31 +$15 05-29 05:07
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +86 $53 36¢ $30 -$23 10-04 04:58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +60 $21 44¢ $26 +$5 07-12 07:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +163 $29 15¢ $24 -$6 10-12 23:14
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +233 $42 10¢ $23 -$18 08-28 02:43
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +24 $11 96¢ $23 +$12 05-11 06:11
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +24 $19 94¢ $22 +$3 08-12 21:38
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +32 $20 66¢ $21 +$1 11-03 02:53
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +82 $15 26¢ $21 +$6 09-21 13:09
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +23 $16 87¢ $20 +$5 10-17 02:26
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +21 $13 82¢ $17 +$5 10-30 19:59
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $12 97¢ $14 +$2 05-14 19:52
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +111 $24 12¢ $14 -$10 10-05 02:30
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? Yes +106 $27 13¢ $14 -$13 06-27 14:15
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +32 $11 33¢ $11 +$0 11-06 02:27