0xfb9d38cac5c3b0936413b78f30664d3c224bd78e — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$265

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,315

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-11 18:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

38% 75% +$182

Crypto

32% — —

Politics

16% 100% +$109

Sports

12% 0% $-26

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	41	$769	2,773	0	+2,773	open	—	07-31 04:38
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	13	$378	1,298	0	+1,298	open	—	03-30 11:54
will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	26	$354	856	0	+856	open	—	07-28 07:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$332	417	0	+417	open	—	07-30 14:48
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	21	$330	977	0	+977	open	—	03-16 23:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	22	$298	957	0	+957	open	—	05-28 23:17
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	7	$273	523	0	+523	open	—	03-29 14:55
will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	16	$270	739	0	+739	open	—	06-27 06:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	9	$259	563	0	+563	open	—	04-07 20:21
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	5	$224	262	0	+262	open	—	03-18 01:23
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$223	1,082	0	+1,082	open	—	02-28 01:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$212	385	0	+385	open	—	07-31 21:14
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	10	$200	448	0	+448	open	—	07-21 06:37
Will Jonas Sulzbach win Big Brother Brasil 26?	5	$189	217	0	+217	open	—	03-20 12:01
will ira sachs peter hujars day win best director at the 41st film independent spirit awards	5	$188	200	0	+200	open	—	02-12 22:36
will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	10	$182	448	0	+448	open	—	06-27 04:05
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	9	$173	746	0	+746	open	—	03-12 20:53
will come see me in the good light win best documentary at the 41st film independent spirit awards	1	$172	184	0	+184	open	—	02-11 01:50
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$171	261	110	+151	open	—	06-14 04:39
will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	15	$164	770	0	+770	open	—	07-13 03:06
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	9	$155	802	0	+802	open	—	03-05 13:09
will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	8	$152	310	0	+310	open	—	03-21 04:28
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	11	$149	544	0	+544	open	—	07-12 05:48
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	12	$141	308	0	+308	open	—	03-30 11:48
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	9	$137	560	0	+560	open	—	05-12 04:51
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	4	$137	408	0	+408	No	+$122	04-24 21:23
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	13	$120	659	0	+659	open	—	03-31 20:04
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	8	$118	363	0	+363	open	—	04-27 03:04
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$116	222	0	+222	open	—	06-16 06:30
will jane levy win best supporting performance at the 41st film independent spirit awards	2	$115	125	0	+125	open	—	02-12 15:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 18:36:24	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	53	42¢	$22	0x281732…
08-11 14:39:07	will hyperliquid dip to 40 in august	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x1f8876…
08-11 11:41:33	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	15	77¢	$11	0xb8ff0a…
08-11 06:39:39	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0xa0d18c…
08-11 03:35:30	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x90112e…
08-11 03:31:37	will solana dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x8034a3…
08-11 03:30:07	will ethereum reach 2100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x6826dc…
08-11 03:27:57	will solana dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x87fa5b…
08-11 02:32:09	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	No	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x1af4e1…
08-11 02:30:52	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xc1175c…
08-11 02:28:04	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	BUY	7	81¢	$5	0x9e3e7c…
08-11 02:25:19	will xrp dip to 1 in august 2026	No	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0x095f38…
08-11 02:17:37	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc21278…
08-11 02:17:31	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x4228be…
08-10 23:49:54	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xeba6d8…
08-10 23:43:10	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x91cf93…
08-10 18:11:07	will hyperliquid dip to 44 in august	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0xa77a52…
08-10 18:10:00	will hyperliquid dip to 36 in august	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x924406…
08-10 18:08:42	will hyperliquid dip to 48 in august	Yes	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xe72160…
08-07 14:50:22	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	No	BUY	216	15¢	$32	0x9d01d1…
08-06 05:05:48	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x69eee2…
08-04 16:00:35	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	No	BUY	91	9¢	$8	0xbcb7ab…
08-04 14:33:03	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	No	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xdc4bdd…
08-03 14:23:02	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x96f497…
07-31 21:14:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0x7167cc…
07-31 04:38:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	86	44¢	$38	0xc88773…
07-30 14:48:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	76¢	$21	0x32a8b1…
07-29 19:56:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	63¢	$31	0x1e4fa7…
07-29 17:57:09	Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xd44cb2…
07-28 16:21:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	78	82¢	$64	0xe8347d…
07-28 07:56:28	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	36	59¢	$21	0x083ced…
07-28 07:48:27	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	49	59¢	$29	0x962765…
07-28 05:03:03	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0xd356d0…
07-28 03:41:30	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x7d630d…
07-28 03:31:09	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xda7eeb…
07-28 03:16:19	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	279	2¢	$4	0xca3806…
07-27 06:06:18	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	45	10¢	$5	0x099ee2…
07-27 06:05:51	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x559746…
07-27 06:04:51	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x936088…
07-27 05:11:51	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	97	10¢	$10	0x52baa8…
07-27 04:19:55	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x51db6b…
07-27 04:18:21	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x02bf05…
07-26 22:00:07	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x9fbefd…
07-26 21:36:03	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x11f78d…
07-26 14:36:55	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x724d46…
07-26 09:45:58	Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$3	0x7c80df…
07-25 09:32:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	103	83¢	$86	0xf5d3ed…
07-25 04:16:51	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x93f222…
07-24 23:07:31	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	193	69¢	$134	0x24ace8…
07-24 23:02:18	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	135	2¢	$3	0x966794…
07-24 17:22:36	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x4ddd55…
07-24 12:53:09	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	Yes	BUY	117	0¢	$0	0xc6cb89…
07-24 12:27:52	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x324ad4…
07-24 08:03:52	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x9784d6…
07-24 08:03:49	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xaa5f6a…
07-24 07:37:15	Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x84a00a…
07-23 19:40:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	84¢	$38	0xca4e57…
07-23 18:05:45	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	No	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0x913856…
07-23 16:25:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xbb2d1b…
07-22 12:29:51	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x32dcf5…
07-22 10:16:22	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xb5d80c…
07-21 06:37:25	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	Yes	BUY	164	2¢	$4	0xb76b0e…
07-21 03:07:00	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	28	19¢	$5	0xd49beb…
07-20 11:11:43	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe8b678…
07-20 11:11:43	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x72dcad…
07-20 10:25:16	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	71	26¢	$18	0xe40fdd…
07-20 02:56:16	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x3abc9d…
07-18 22:02:19	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0x2136a0…
07-18 12:44:00	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0x2fddee…
07-17 22:12:42	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x7570d6…
07-17 21:59:07	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x90d3d0…
07-17 21:45:21	Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	32¢	$5	0x6f0e17…
07-17 10:10:43	Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x931b9f…
07-16 21:47:22	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	Yes	BUY	93	2¢	$1	0x5fbca2…
07-15 17:04:34	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x943d15…
07-15 14:31:07	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	43	27¢	$12	0x602cc9…
07-14 20:20:07	Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xf02b79…
07-14 03:23:32	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	66	43¢	$29	0x5ff1ea…
07-13 16:19:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0xc576d9…
07-13 13:30:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	76¢	$27	0x4735c6…
07-13 12:18:55	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xccf1c5…
07-13 06:00:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	114	76¢	$86	0x0225c0…
07-13 03:34:10	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	51	48¢	$24	0x3c3c75…
07-13 03:06:49	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	104	71¢	$74	0x35c479…
07-12 23:15:40	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x18a2b3…
07-12 23:12:04	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	96	21¢	$20	0x9d0171…
07-12 22:09:32	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x2c1e08…
07-12 21:20:28	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x25fccf…
07-12 21:00:46	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xb617fd…
07-12 12:08:19	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x75e997…
07-12 07:43:37	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	36¢	$21	0x6e891e…
07-12 05:48:47	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x12ae4b…
07-12 05:41:44	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x7e7f84…
07-12 04:23:43	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x0bc259…
07-12 04:23:10	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x33b2da…
07-12 04:22:56	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xb7e63d…
07-12 04:17:56	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x6d02de…
07-12 04:17:47	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xc2dd61…
07-11 17:19:08	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x1d2de4…
07-11 17:18:08	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x0ac2c7…