Realized P&L
+$265
Unrealized P&L
-$277
Hit rate
91.6%
Resolved
6
Trades
1,151
lifetime
Volume
$12.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$481
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 06-29 14:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
43% 75% +$182
Crypto
24%
Politics
19% 100% +$109
Sports
14% 0% $-26
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,997 $559 16¢ $329 $-230 06-28 17:44
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +182 $40 22¢ $39 $-1 06-29 14:56
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +136 $58 25¢ $34 $-24 06-26 02:04
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? Yes +90 $23 24¢ $21 $-1 06-27 14:15
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +38 $17 39¢ $15 $-2 06-23 03:11
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +30 $13 42¢ $12 $-1 06-24 13:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +16 $7 60¢ $9 +$2 05-29 05:07
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? Yes +56 $15 15¢ $8 $-6 06-21 15:09
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $7 25¢ $6 $-1 06-02 04:17
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +8 $5 55¢ $4 $-0 06-13 02:46
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 05-27 21:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +85 $12 $0 $-11 06-07 22:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +43 $2 $0 $-2 05-31 03:18