Realized P&L
+$17
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
30.3%
Resolved
59
Trades
70
lifetime
Volume
$95
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$7
7 positions
First seen
2026-09-25
last 10-22 14:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
79% 21% +$23
Sports
12% 14% -$3
Politics
5% 33% $0
Tech
3% 0% -$1
Crypto
1% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +4 $3 76¢ $3 $0 10-16 16:28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +38 $1 4¢ $2 +$1 10-06 12:12
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 8¢ $1 +$0 10-06 12:09
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +8 $3 8¢ $1 -$2 09-25 23:23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1 $1 36¢ $1 $0 10-16 16:09
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +3 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 10-16 16:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +33 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-16 16:27