Realized P&L
-$3.10K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.26K
Hit rate
62.7%
Resolved
216
Trades
2,075
lifetime
Volume
$96.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$11.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 19:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Sports
64% 29% -$496
Politics
22% 48% -$105
Other
11% 25% -$2,705
Crypto
1% 50% -$125
Tech
1% 67% +$334
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +17,917 $9,084 44¢ $7.8K -$1,291 10-30 15:49
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +1,687 $1,134 72¢ $1.2K +$72 10-28 16:09
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +4,697 $210 15¢ $707 +$497 10-31 15:00
Trump out as President before 2027? No +463 $439 97¢ $449 +$10 10-28 14:16
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes -488 -$258 82¢ $-397 -$139 10-30 16:59
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,018 $644 16¢ $321 -$323 10-31 06:56
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +293 $138 100¢ $292 +$154 10-24 22:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +3,057 $214 4¢ $138 -$77 09-23 20:35
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No +112 $99 85¢ $96 -$3 08-12 04:44
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No +56 $52 97¢ $54 +$2 07-02 18:02
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +10,160 $80 0¢ $46 -$34 09-26 21:40
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +43 $42 98¢ $42 +$0 10-30 15:43
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No -38 -$35 94¢ $-36 -$1 07-02 17:00
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +791 $39 3¢ $24 -$15 10-28 13:47
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +472 $53 4¢ $21 -$32 10-30 16:44
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? No -18 -$14 95¢ $-17 -$3 10-24 06:13
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +82 $44 15¢ $12 -$31 10-25 23:06
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? No +60 $23 18¢ $11 -$12 10-30 19:57
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +71 $11 16¢ $11 $0 10-22 23:18
US recession by end of 2026? No +11 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 06-30 23:42
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes +194 $11 5¢ $10 -$2 10-23 19:14
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +7 $6 97¢ $6 +$0 10-24 06:12
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? Yes +75 $30 7¢ $5 -$24 10-31 19:47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -40 -$3 12¢ $-5 -$2 09-07 14:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? No +8 $5 56¢ $4 -$1 10-09 20:23
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +248 $2 1¢ $3 +$1 04-28 23:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +67 $2 3¢ $2 $0 10-30 21:03
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes +55 $3 3¢ $2 -$1 09-29 00:35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +4 $3 36¢ $1 -$1 09-18 21:04
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +14 $5 11¢ $1 -$3 09-24 18:02