Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
46.3%
Resolved
2
Trades
541
lifetime
Volume
$17.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$209
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 18:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Sports
49% 50% +$2
Other
24%
Politics
23%
Crypto
5%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026? No -106 $-105 98¢ $-104 +$1 06-15 18:11
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No +53 $49 94¢ $50 +$0 07-02 18:02
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No -38 $-35 92¢ $-35 $-0 07-02 17:00
US recession by end of 2026? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 06-30 23:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -74 $-6 $-5 +$1 06-29 17:32
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +4 $4 76¢ $3 $-1 06-07 22:16
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes -16 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-16 18:16
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +2 $2 24¢ $0 $-2 06-23 19:41
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026? Yes +20 $4 $0 $-3 06-27 01:32