Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
46.3%
Resolved
2
Trades
551
lifetime
Volume
$17.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$305
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-23 19:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Sports
48% 50% +$2
Other
24%
Politics
22%
Crypto
5%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +554 $188 29¢ $158 $-30 07-22 19:46
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No +53 $49 96¢ $51 +$1 07-02 18:02
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No -38 $-35 94¢ $-36 $-1 07-02 17:00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +26 $26 96¢ $25 $-0 07-21 19:57
US recession by end of 2026? No +11 $10 89¢ $10 +$0 06-30 23:42
Trump out as President before 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 $-0 07-21 19:56
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +8 $7 96¢ $7 $-0 07-20 22:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -74 $-6 $-4 +$2 06-29 17:32
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +4 $4 67¢ $3 $-1 06-07 22:16
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes -16 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-16 18:16
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +2 $2 18¢ $0 $-2 06-23 19:41