Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

92.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$887

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$196

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 11-05 17:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

87% 44% +$2

Politics

11% 100% +$7

Sports

2% 0% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-200	-$187	98¢	$-196	-$10	05-27 09:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	8	$390	500	500	+0	Yes	+$0	06-24 17:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$187	0	200	-200	open	—	05-27 09:15
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$95	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	03-28 17:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$74	40	40	+0	No	+$0	05-21 10:23
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 360 379	1	$29	47	0	+47	No	+$18	02-02 08:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$23	30	0	+30	No	+$7	05-21 10:18
nba mil atl 2026 01 19	1	$22	40	0	+40	Bucks	-$22	01-19 14:39
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	1	$16	100	0	+100	Canada	-$16	06-24 18:49
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	08-07 19:28
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	11-05 17:06
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	07-03 14:34
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	3	$3	20	0	+20	No	-$3	05-21 11:33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$3	20	0	+20	No	-$3	05-21 14:34
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$2	20	0	+20	No	-$2	05-21 10:34
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$2	10	0	+10	Yes	+$8	05-21 11:32
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	-$2	05-21 10:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 17:06:06	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x9a227f…
08-07 19:28:07	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x94fa71…
07-03 14:34:40	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x8cdf73…
06-26 10:22:07	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$7	0xc94234…
06-24 18:49:02	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Switzerland	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x3bb6e7…
06-24 17:46:31	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	SELL	27	39¢	$11	0xd61623…
06-24 17:46:11	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	SELL	28	39¢	$11	0xc64fbb…
06-24 17:46:07	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	SELL	128	39¢	$50	0x37ca39…
06-24 17:45:59	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	SELL	301	39¢	$117	0xf184f5…
06-24 17:45:58	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x47b5a4…
06-24 17:45:56	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x294159…
06-24 17:45:52	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xf54250…
06-24 15:12:17	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	500	39¢	$195	0x86f66b…
05-27 18:33:57	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xdec445…
05-27 09:15:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$187	0x24b6cc…
05-24 22:44:12	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x7faccd…
05-24 21:08:19	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x0b1d29…
05-21 14:34:02	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xabed88…
05-21 11:33:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x17305b…
05-21 11:33:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd3175d…
05-21 11:33:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x0c44c9…
05-21 11:32:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x9d8cec…
05-21 10:51:41	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x4a44a8…
05-21 10:34:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xbc7da1…
05-21 10:23:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x17aba6…
05-21 10:18:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xd73ae7…
05-21 10:14:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xa82a2b…
03-28 17:08:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x8f090e…
03-10 13:58:35	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x09dce1…
02-02 08:33:52	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 360 379	No	BUY	47	62¢	$29	0x6d5f24…
01-19 14:39:32	nba mil atl 2026 01 19	Hawks	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x78f4a6…