Realized P&L (7d)
-$6
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
62.4%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
54
54 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$172
$172 lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$107
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 00:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
90% 33% $-6
Politics
6%
Tech
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes +25 $12 48¢ $12 +$0 05-05 12:15
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes +550 $2 $9 +$6 05-06 00:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? Yes +100 $11 $8 $-2 05-05 15:12
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026? Yes +20 $6 37¢ $7 +$2 05-05 14:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? Yes +20 $5 26¢ $5 $-0 05-05 23:00
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes +15 $5 33¢ $5 $-0 05-05 17:34
Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$295 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8? Yes +25 $1 17¢ $4 +$3 05-05 13:57
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in May? Yes -15 $-4 27¢ $-4 $-0 05-05 18:02
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes +10 $3 39¢ $4 +$1 05-05 15:14
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $670 Week of May 4 2026? Yes +117 $3 $4 +$1 05-06 00:13
Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes +100 $1 $4 +$3 05-05 14:24
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes +20 $2 18¢ $4 +$2 05-05 13:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? Yes +55 $10 $3 $-7 05-05 11:25
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of May 4 above $265? No +15 $2 22¢ $3 +$2 05-05 13:50
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of May 4 2026? Yes -7 $-9 44¢ $-3 +$6 05-06 00:22
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May? Yes +50 $3 $3 +$0 05-05 23:45
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 in May? Yes +15 $3 19¢ $3 +$0 05-05 13:45
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of May 4 2026? Yes +30 $2 $3 +$1 05-05 15:32
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May? Yes +16 $3 16¢ $3 $-1 05-05 11:35
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes +10 $2 24¢ $2 +$0 05-05 17:34
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? Yes +25 $2 $2 +$0 05-05 15:17
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May? Yes +10 $2 21¢ $2 +$0 05-05 14:00
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of May 4 2026? Yes +5 $2 34¢ $2 $-0 05-05 20:44
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +50 $1 $1 $-0 05-05 15:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +24 $1 $1 $-0 05-05 11:30
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? Yes +20 $1 $1 $-0 05-05 16:49
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 in May? Yes +15 $1 $1 $-0 05-05 14:22
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX? Yes +80 $1 $1 $-0 05-05 15:47
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +254 $16 $1 $-15 05-06 00:28
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? Yes +10 $1 $1 $-0 05-05 16:49