Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?
open
Total volume
$589
$2,036 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$9,281
Latest YES mid
33¢
Latest NO mid
67¢
End date
2026-05-22
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 13:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $436 | $138 | +$298 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $170 | — | +$170 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $78 | — | +$78 |
| Median | 2 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| Below median | 5 | $70 | $5 | +$65 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $100 | $100 |
| unranked | 7 | $102 | $33 | +$70 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | +500 | $165 | $165 | 1 | 05-14 06:01 |
| Clever-Lyrics 0x0486…2a2f | Yes | +171 | $78 | $78 | 4 | 05-12 20:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x88da…15c6 | Yes | +170 | $63 | $63 | 1 | 05-13 08:54 |
| Wary-Octagon 0x403f…1679 | No | +152 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-13 05:26 |
| Jubilant-Cord 0x3c31…b0b0 | Yes | +103 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-14 13:05 |
| Muddy-Consignment 0x0843…131e | Yes | +96 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 05-13 05:21 |
| Scornful-Cupcake 0x8386…bb8f | No | +47 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-13 23:11 |
| Imperturbable-Spelt 0x9e36…508f | Yes | +33 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 01:26 |
| United-Ethnicity 0x43e2…5fbd | Yes | +30 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 09:19 |
| Superficial-Swanling 0xd2fc…5bd4 | Yes | +24 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 12:42 |
| Worn-Word 0xf05f…ed10 | Yes | +21 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 15:28 |
| Solid-Batting 0x9970…ce0a | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 02:11 |
| Sticky-Adult 0x2d0a…a3b9 | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 21:25 |
| Rosy-Health 0x81b2…a7ea | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 22:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a35…bc44 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 04:15 |
| Deep-Lady 0xa739…725a | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 03:02 |
| Broken-Silly 0xd90e…27a4 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 10:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 13:05:44 | Jubilant-Cord 0x3c31…b0b0 | Yes | BUY | 103 | 34¢ | $35 | 0x1bd2b1… |
| 05-14 12:42:30 | Superficial-Swanling 0xd2fc…5bd4 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 34¢ | $8 | 0x550211… |
| 05-14 10:49:06 | Broken-Silly 0xd90e…27a4 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x1c8c74… |
| 05-14 09:19:14 | United-Ethnicity 0x43e2…5fbd | Yes | BUY | 30 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x503bb1… |
| 05-14 06:01:34 | Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 33¢ | $165 | 0xd09d4f… |
| 05-14 04:15:29 | (anonymous) 0x3a35…bc44 | No | BUY | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0xfff9b5… |
| 05-14 03:02:10 | Deep-Lady 0xa739…725a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x70f19f… |
| 05-14 02:11:39 | Solid-Batting 0x9970…ce0a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x5e0679… |
| 05-14 01:26:28 | Imperturbable-Spelt 0x9e36…508f | Yes | BUY | 33 | 31¢ | $10 | 0x6c2305… |
| 05-13 23:11:03 | Scornful-Cupcake 0x8386…bb8f | No | BUY | 47 | 69¢ | $33 | 0x823469… |
| 05-13 22:05:48 | Rosy-Health 0x81b2…a7ea | Yes | BUY | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x4f5a33… |
| 05-13 21:25:33 | Sticky-Adult 0x2d0a…a3b9 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xbdac30… |
| 05-13 15:28:30 | Worn-Word 0xf05f…ed10 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x041d9c… |
| 05-13 08:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x88da…15c6 | Yes | BUY | 170 | 37¢ | $63 | 0xac29f2… |
| 05-13 07:09:39 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x843d96… |
| 05-13 06:59:25 | Satisfied-Effacement 0xf41c…ba2f | Yes | SELL | 27 | 34¢ | $9 | 0x1e293a… |
| 05-13 05:26:10 | Wary-Octagon 0x403f…1679 | No | BUY | 152 | 66¢ | $100 | 0x9c71c8… |
| 05-13 05:21:27 | Muddy-Consignment 0x0843…131e | Yes | BUY | 51 | 37¢ | $19 | 0xe36edf… |
| 05-13 04:38:12 | Muddy-Consignment 0x0843…131e | Yes | BUY | 45 | 37¢ | $17 | 0x61e5c5… |
| 05-13 04:01:13 | Satisfied-Effacement 0xf41c…ba2f | Yes | BUY | 14 | 37¢ | $5 | 0xb4d655… |
| 05-12 20:45:52 | Clever-Lyrics 0x0486…2a2f | Yes | BUY | 27 | 44¢ | $12 | 0xd75b51… |
| 05-12 20:45:49 | Clever-Lyrics 0x0486…2a2f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 44¢ | $4 | 0xd84e6a… |
| 05-12 20:45:45 | Clever-Lyrics 0x0486…2a2f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 47¢ | $47 | 0xe98acd… |
| 05-12 20:45:42 | Clever-Lyrics 0x0486…2a2f | Yes | BUY | 36 | 44¢ | $16 | 0x2be782… |