Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
+$174
Hit rate
4.8%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,195
lifetime
Volume
$212.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$1.53K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 07-21 16:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
58% 0% $-14
Politics
33% 100% +$26
Crypto
7%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +645 $578 95¢ $613 +$35 07-14 08:14
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +300 $265 92¢ $274 +$9 06-29 12:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -200 $-147 72¢ $-145 +$2 07-21 16:07
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,200 $86 12¢ $138 +$52 07-19 10:04
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No -88 $-95 90¢ $-79 +$15 07-17 04:57
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No -95 $-87 78¢ $-74 +$14 07-13 13:59
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +100 $69 66¢ $66 $-4 07-16 19:18
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +102 $21 62¢ $63 +$42 07-13 19:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +100 $78 54¢ $54 $-24 07-14 15:53
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +286 $-3 $26 +$29 07-21 19:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +100 $-2 $1 +$3 07-04 12:31