Crowded-Millstone 0xf3ca90…0f60ae
whale 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
+$101
Hit rate
4.8%
Resolved
5
Trades
2,361
lifetime
Volume
$173.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$2.49K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 06-09 04:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
56% 0% $-14
Politics
34% 100% +$26
Crypto
9% — —
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +950 $901 99¢ $943 +$41 06-07 05:22
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +474 $430 92¢ $436 +$6 06-09 04:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -300 $-203 68¢ $-202 +$0 06-01 14:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +200 $196 98¢ $197 +$1 06-07 15:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $180 92¢ $183 +$3 05-30 14:58
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +100 $85 98¢ $98 +$13 06-02 16:46
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No +100 $86 89¢ $89 +$3 06-06 07:01
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +100 $71 80¢ $80 +$10 06-03 21:32
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +100 $76 80¢ $80 +$4 05-28 19:37
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +100 $70 76¢ $76 +$6 06-05 03:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +100 $43 62¢ $62 +$19 06-06 07:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $41 36¢ $36 $-4 06-05 23:45
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No -12 $-13 99¢ $-12 +$1 06-04 00:57