Crowded-Millstone 0xf3ca90…0f60ae
whale 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$477
Unrealized P&L
+$1.28K
Hit rate
75.0%
Resolved
693
Trades
11,279
lifetime
Volume
$455.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$41.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 10-29 10:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 179 days
Categories
Other
69% 61% +$312
Politics
24% 63% -$300
Crypto
6% 74% +$223
Tech
1% 71% +$77
Sports
1% 82% +$166
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1129 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +15,206 $14,526 97¢ $14.7K +$201 10-26 23:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +14,184 $13,593 98¢ $13.9K +$301 09-25 15:38
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +5,338 $5,245 99¢ $5.3K +$27 09-14 17:45
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +3,000 $2,849 97¢ $2.9K +$55 10-05 09:44
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +39,985 $1,016 2¢ $820 -$196 10-29 03:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +800 $512 88¢ $708 +$196 08-26 12:10
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -620 -$570 97¢ $-599 -$29 05-14 00:17
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +16,006 $616 3¢ $504 -$111 10-28 13:30
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +24,759 -$6 2¢ $446 +$452 10-29 07:54
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +6,641 $330 6¢ $432 +$102 10-28 14:33
Trump out as President before 2027? No +300 $279 96¢ $287 +$8 08-28 18:13
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +200 $109 90¢ $179 +$70 09-21 12:45
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +3,616 $68 3¢ $116 +$48 10-29 11:21
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +100 $18 100¢ $100 +$82 08-24 04:43
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +100 $98 99¢ $99 +$2 09-26 21:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +800 $355 12¢ $92 -$263 09-20 18:15
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +126 $84 70¢ $88 +$4 10-19 23:26
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +881 -$112 10¢ $84 +$196 10-20 03:21
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +100 $54 82¢ $82 +$27 10-11 22:26
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +100 $63 67¢ $67 +$4 10-28 03:02
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +5,338 $58 1¢ $67 +$8 10-08 13:16
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +50 $39 97¢ $48 +$10 08-11 14:18
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +50 $14 94¢ $47 +$34 08-14 12:27
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +50 $42 92¢ $46 +$3 10-25 04:45
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Yes +357 $13 12¢ $43 +$30 10-29 01:02
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $37 70¢ $35 -$2 10-25 22:47
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $34 68¢ $34 $0 10-24 00:05
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $33 68¢ $34 +$1 10-23 20:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +802 $6 3¢ $28 +$22 10-29 05:18
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +400 $28 6¢ $24 -$4 10-19 09:26