Content-Equality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$161

Unrealized P&L

+$160

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$363

Open exposure

$2.21K

7 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 09-18 10:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

75% 91% +$339

Tech

13% 50% +$77

Politics

7% 50% +$22

Sports

4% 50% -$280

Crypto

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+754	$700	98¢	$738	+$38	05-25 16:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+595	$500	96¢	$571	+$71	05-09 08:10
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	+593	$504	96¢	$570	+$66	07-20 03:30
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+250	$237	96¢	$240	+$3	07-19 21:49
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+33	$30	96¢	$31	+$1	09-18 10:21
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	+32	$30	96¢	$31	+$1	09-03 11:00
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	Yes	+135	$50	22¢	$29	-$21	09-03 10:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$2.0K	1,022	1,022	+0	No	+$8	03-18 06:57
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$1.6K	1,647	0	+1,647	No	+$23	03-16 18:07
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$1.6K	0	1,586	-1,586	No	-$30	05-10 04:48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$1.5K	1,119	560	+560	Yes	+$101	05-17 16:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$700	754	0	+754	open	—	05-25 16:37
Trump out as President by June 30?	1	$531	0	538	-538	No	-$8	05-17 16:31
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	2	$504	593	0	+593	open	—	07-20 03:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$500	595	0	+595	open	—	05-09 08:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$500	526	0	+526	No	+$26	05-10 04:52
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$406	215	215	+0	No	+$6	03-18 06:57
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	1	$360	368	0	+368	No	+$8	05-17 16:53
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$320	563	0	+563	No	+$243	07-18 18:13
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$300	333	0	+333	No	-$300	07-16 08:57
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1	$300	330	0	+330	No	+$30	05-17 16:35
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$237	250	0	+250	open	—	07-19 21:49
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$220	286	286	+0	Yes	+$20	07-18 18:15
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$100	103	0	+103	No	+$3	05-25 16:47
Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	1	$70	76	0	+76	open	—	09-03 10:58
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	1	$50	135	0	+135	open	—	09-03 10:57
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	09-03 11:00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	1	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	09-18 10:21
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	1	$24	29	0	+29	Yes	-$24	05-25 16:31
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	1	$20	71	0	+71	No	+$51	05-25 16:48
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	1	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	07-20 03:29
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	1	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	07-20 03:29
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	1	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	07-20 03:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 10:21:54	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x30549d…
09-03 11:00:06	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x4a0040…
09-03 10:58:43	Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	76	92¢	$70	0xde43cd…
09-03 10:57:43	Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x763048…
07-20 03:30:49	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x0b80a4…
07-20 03:29:45	Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x49becf…
07-20 03:29:42	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x6eb1ad…
07-20 03:29:39	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x794b54…
07-19 21:49:01	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	250	95¢	$237	0x80b051…
07-18 18:15:45	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	286	42¢	$120	0xe73e67…
07-18 18:13:58	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	360	56¢	$200	0xd632a5…
07-16 08:57:04	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	333	90¢	$300	0xde0eec…
07-16 08:56:20	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	203	59¢	$120	0xc93c88…
07-16 08:54:17	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x8aaf59…
07-16 07:10:17	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0x115a19…
05-25 16:48:47	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xeb51a2…
05-25 16:47:27	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x1fa2cc…
05-25 16:37:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	214	93¢	$200	0x7bbeaa…
05-25 16:31:21	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	81¢	$24	0x1b3b1f…
05-17 16:53:02	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	No	BUY	368	98¢	$360	0x9315f8…
05-17 16:43:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	539	93¢	$500	0xeb9853…
05-17 16:35:12	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0xa5c255…
05-17 16:34:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	560	97¢	$541	0xf03915…
05-17 16:31:11	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	538	99¢	$531	0xeaaf9f…
05-10 04:52:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0xf8c3ef…
05-10 04:49:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,119	89¢	$1,000	0x94b258…
05-10 04:48:05	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,586	98¢	$1,556	0x7aaa55…
05-09 08:10:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0xaf1942…
03-18 06:57:43	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	215	96¢	$206	0x8749ff…
03-18 06:57:21	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	1,022	99¢	$1,008	0x5a25de…
03-16 18:07:09	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1,647	99¢	$1,624	0x5fd427…
03-16 18:02:45	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0xafc829…
03-16 18:02:27	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	1,022	98¢	$1,000	0xf2c48d…