Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
90.2%
Resolved
16
Trades
3,048
lifetime
Volume
$11.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$12
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 07-01 06:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
85% 73% +$10
Other
9% 67% +$0
Crypto
5% 0% $-4
Tech
1%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-20 15:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5 $-4 86¢ $-4 $-0 06-11 20:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 44¢ $2 $-0 06-11 23:28
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +18 $3 $1 $-3 07-01 05:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -2 $1 $-0 $-1 06-20 14:42
Will Elon register any party before 2027? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-06 21:28