Realized P&L
+$21
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
56.4%
Resolved
616
Trades
3,448
lifetime
Volume
$13.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$78
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 07-12 04:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Politics
81% 56% +$37
Other
11% 51% -$18
Crypto
5% 39% +$0
Tech
1% 61% +$2
Sports
1% 44% -$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -41 -$32 82¢ $-34 -$2 06-11 20:09
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -5 -$5 99¢ $-5 $0 05-05 22:54
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -5 -$5 99¢ $-5 $0 05-27 17:39
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 05-25 15:26
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 +$0 05-03 12:53
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 05-27 17:39
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 $0 05-27 17:39
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -5 -$4 97¢ $-5 $0 05-27 17:39
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -5 -$3 90¢ $-5 -$2 05-27 17:39
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes -5 -$1 84¢ $-4 -$3 07-12 04:16
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -5 -$3 20¢ $-1 +$2 05-27 17:39
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -7 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 07-12 04:18
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -1 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 07-12 04:18