Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
90.2%
Resolved
16
Trades
2,189
lifetime
Volume
$7.89K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$7
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 06-10 00:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
87% 73% +$10
Other
8% 67% +$0
Crypto
5% 0% $-4
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5 $-4 82¢ $-4 +$0 06-07 02:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +5 $2 30¢ $2 +$0 06-09 14:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +8 $2 10¢ $1 $-1 06-08 02:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +4 $0 10¢ $0 $-0 06-03 07:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +0 $2 16¢ $0 $-2 06-09 19:17
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $0 $0 $-0 06-07 19:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +1 $0 $0 +$0 06-05 21:46
Will Elon register any party before 2027? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-06 21:28
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +1 $0 $0 $-0 06-07 21:18