Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
90.2%
Resolved
16
Trades
3,093
lifetime
Volume
$11.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$16
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 07-12 04:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
84% 73% +$10
Other
9% 67% +$0
Crypto
5% 0% $-4
Tech
1%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-20 15:20
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -4 $-4 97¢ $-4 +$0 07-12 04:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5 $-4 70¢ $-4 +$1 06-11 20:09
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes -5 $-1 30¢ $-2 $-0 07-12 04:16
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? Yes -2 $-1 50¢ $-1 $-0 07-12 04:17
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -1 $-0 62¢ $-0 $-0 07-12 04:17
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 07-12 04:17
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-12 04:18
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -0 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-12 04:18
Will Elon register any party before 2027? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-06 21:28