Beautiful-Limitation 0x1cea71…2df32a Create alert
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.71K
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
55.1%
Resolved
324
Trades
1,299
lifetime
Volume
$46.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$1.85K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 13:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 129 days
Categories
Politics
48% 33% -$1,086
Other
45% 36% -$1,631
Sports
6% 47% -$224
Crypto
1% 20% +$266
Tech
0% 0% -$37
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -527 -$432 98¢ $-516 -$84 08-21 00:25
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +864 $187 38¢ $333 +$145 11-04 13:48
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +230 $99 86¢ $197 +$98 08-22 05:56
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No -198 -$150 92¢ $-182 -$32 09-21 15:12
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes -774 -$242 22¢ $-170 +$72 10-18 16:24
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +1,415 $200 8¢ $113 -$87 10-21 19:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +94 $50 84¢ $80 +$30 05-20 08:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -3,098 -$112 2¢ $-54 +$57 09-26 00:38
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +633 $169 7¢ $44 -$125 11-02 07:41
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +345 $26 11¢ $36 +$10 11-03 13:02
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes -803 -$72 3¢ $-25 +$47 06-11 09:30
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No -199 -$95 11¢ $-22 +$73 05-20 08:41
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +294 $49 6¢ $19 -$30 10-21 19:57
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +19 $10 89¢ $17 +$7 08-27 12:57
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +557 $51 2¢ $11 -$40 05-11 04:35
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? Yes +300 $27 3¢ $10 -$17 05-25 02:05
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -64 -$8 13¢ $-8 +$0 09-11 14:10
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +272 $136 3¢ $7 -$129 10-25 11:25
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -37 -$2 4¢ $-1 +$1 09-17 10:44
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +2 $1 52¢ $1 +$0 11-01 18:16
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $0 11-01 18:17