Realized P&L
+$79
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
95.2%
Resolved
3
Trades
945
lifetime
Volume
$37.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$148
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 04:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
48% 100% +$77
Other
45% 0% $-20
Sports
5% 100% +$21
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes -803 $-72 $-60 +$12 06-11 09:30
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? Yes +560 $61 10¢ $56 $-5 07-20 04:21
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? Yes +90 $39 24¢ $22 $-17 05-28 03:41
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $13 28¢ $8 $-4 06-01 19:36
Japan recession in 2026? Yes +10 $3 10¢ $1 $-2 05-31 17:03
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +8 $1 $1 $-0 06-26 16:37