Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

50.4%

Resolved

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$256

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-31 06:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

42% — —

Sports

31% 27% $-4

Other

27% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	-12	$-2	16¢	$-2	$-0	05-30 15:17
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	-5	$-1	20¢	$-1	+$0	05-30 15:06
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?	Yes	-15	$-0	4¢	$-1	$-0	05-30 15:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	-31	$-2	1¢	$-0	+$2	05-28 03:40
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	-36	$-0	1¢	$-0	+$0	05-30 15:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	2	$26	28	28	+0	open	—	05-22 05:41
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)	3	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-26 02:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 16:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	6	$9	43	35	+9	open	—	05-10 12:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	2	$8	53	0	+53	open	—	04-22 01:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$7	39	39	+0	open	—	04-29 00:06
Spread: Spurs (-20.5)	2	$6	4	4	+0	Spurs	+$3	05-13 03:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$5	4	8	-4	open	—	05-26 02:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$5	117	117	+0	open	—	05-14 16:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	4	$5	106	106	+0	open	—	05-11 07:18
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$5	56	0	+56	open	—	04-22 01:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$4	8	8	+0	open	—	05-26 02:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	2	$4	17	17	+0	open	—	04-24 16:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$4	83	0	+83	open	—	05-22 06:04
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-25 02:22
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	05-25 23:53
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-26 02:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$4	167	27	+140	open	—	05-29 04:33
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$4	33	0	+33	open	—	04-22 01:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$4	11	11	+0	open	—	05-24 02:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-25 23:52
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)	2	$3	10	10	+0	open	—	05-26 00:49
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	2	$3	13	13	+0	open	—	05-26 00:48
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	2	$3	5	2	+2	open	—	05-25 02:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	05-06 03:35
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3	2,010	0	+2,010	open	—	04-24 16:20
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$3	136	0	+136	open	—	04-22 01:53
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	1	$3	29	0	+29	open	—	04-22 01:55
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$3	65	0	+65	open	—	04-22 01:53
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	1	$3	24	0	+24	open	—	04-22 01:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 06:08:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd3fd76…
05-31 04:40:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x9f2516…
05-31 04:39:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0xb15e3b…
05-30 15:36:45	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x9f1f7a…
05-30 15:34:23	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x7364f4…
05-30 15:32:40	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x10332a…
05-30 15:31:48	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xaf101b…
05-30 15:17:34	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x426811…
05-30 15:15:19	Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xf32ad3…
05-30 15:12:48	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8a46e9…
05-30 15:07:49	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0x3be4da…
05-30 15:06:16	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x750461…
05-29 04:48:02	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x7374dc…
05-29 04:33:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x317242…
05-29 04:32:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x5f409c…
05-28 03:42:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x59ca5b…
05-28 03:40:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	31	8¢	$2	0x0a13fb…
05-27 22:52:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xed333d…
05-27 22:51:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xc37f2e…
05-27 00:25:55	Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline	Spurs	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xd2879a…
05-26 02:12:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xb24ab0…
05-26 02:12:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x253c4c…
05-26 02:12:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcd5da0…
05-26 02:07:02	Spread: Knicks (-12.5)	Knicks	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xb79e5c…
05-26 02:06:55	Spread: Knicks (-9.5)	Knicks	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xb2ff46…
05-26 02:05:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x280167…
05-26 02:05:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xe7a210…
05-26 00:52:52	Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 112.5	Under	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9a9903…
05-26 00:49:48	Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x43949c…
05-26 00:49:17	Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)	Cavaliers	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xc2c347…
05-26 00:48:59	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Cavaliers	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xb11cd6…
05-26 00:32:37	Spread: Knicks (-12.5)	Knicks	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4dbb52…
05-26 00:31:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x603149…
05-26 00:29:16	Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x7e129b…
05-25 23:53:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x9faa38…
05-25 23:52:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xae6a59…
05-25 12:18:18	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xe9d60e…
05-25 12:18:04	Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xe6f362…
05-25 12:17:39	Spread: Knicks (-12.5)	Knicks	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfd2e03…
05-25 12:17:34	Spread: Knicks (-9.5)	Knicks	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x68aad4…
05-25 02:52:01	Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf68a56…
05-25 02:51:46	Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6ef857…
05-25 02:28:03	Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)	Los Angeles FC	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb6f6ec…
05-25 02:26:49	Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc82922…
05-25 02:22:23	Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	Spurs	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x2a0b73…
05-25 02:22:11	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5	Under	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x3cc3f8…
05-24 13:55:15	Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x0df1d2…
05-24 13:52:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x62b8f6…
05-24 13:51:31	Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	Spurs	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x4c92d3…
05-24 13:50:51	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x241ff4…
05-24 13:43:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x2e873f…
05-24 09:56:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0xd6a0f4…
05-24 08:39:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x07ad58…
05-24 07:52:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0xb34b4e…
05-24 03:37:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0xb1643e…
05-24 03:09:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x03a5f9…
05-24 02:38:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x9a2ffd…
05-24 02:35:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xe52270…
05-24 02:34:11	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x0f7e8c…
05-23 00:24:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0xec8df8…
05-23 00:23:55	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x21df50…
05-22 17:11:08	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	Yes	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0xd6de95…
05-22 10:57:25	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$1	0x2b7432…
05-22 06:04:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x7e8b80…
05-22 06:04:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2923c2…
05-22 05:57:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xcfa4fb…
05-22 05:56:59	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd529ee…
05-22 05:56:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x88eea6…
05-22 05:47:56	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x92b782…
05-22 05:47:47	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xe7db47…
05-22 05:47:42	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x027a7e…
05-22 05:44:03	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x43f894…
05-22 05:41:19	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	SELL	28	91¢	$25	0x1b7f09…
05-14 16:53:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	117	0¢	$0	0x548cd5…
05-14 11:30:03	Will Trump say "Hottest" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x653ccf…
05-14 10:48:01	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xadf813…
05-14 10:46:58	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa4c562…
05-14 10:39:25	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x95a7bf…
05-14 10:39:16	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf9d3f5…
05-14 10:36:59	Will Trump say "Paper" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xcb4de7…
05-14 10:36:54	Will Trump say "Dynasty" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x20c269…
05-14 08:51:52	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0xd5ea0e…
05-14 08:51:16	Will Trump say "Hottest" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb2b2a6…
05-14 08:49:50	Will Trump say "Paper" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xda42cd…
05-14 08:48:42	Will Trump say "Dynasty" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb3ca57…
05-14 02:46:35	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5b24ed…
05-13 23:32:15	Spread: Pistons (-11.5)	Pistons	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc8d3e7…
05-13 23:32:10	Spread: Pistons (-14.5)	Pistons	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x370b1d…
05-13 08:07:19	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x43cea3…
05-13 08:07:12	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe44624…
05-13 03:06:49	Spread: Spurs (-20.5)	Spurs	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x06605f…
05-13 02:11:47	Spread: Spurs (-20.5)	Spurs	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x83493e…
05-12 16:15:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	Yes	SELL	144	1¢	$1	0xa1aed5…
05-11 07:18:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	SELL	67	3¢	$2	0x901166…
05-10 12:49:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x57b249…
05-10 12:48:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9c7609…
05-09 01:31:35	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1fb77d…
05-09 01:27:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0x871432…
05-08 14:05:10	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x7f7bab…
05-08 14:00:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x46ee33…