(anonymous) 0x1b2901…cd5ad7
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Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
50.4%
Resolved
11
Trades
174
lifetime
Volume
$277
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$6
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 06-25 14:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
41% — —
Other
30% — —
Sports
29% 27% $-4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -12 $-2 15¢ $-2 +$0 05-30 15:17
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026? Yes -15 $-0 6¢ $-1 $-1 05-30 15:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -6 $-1 14¢ $-1 +$0 06-12 15:52
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 8¢ $-1 +$0 06-12 15:51
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 13¢ $-1 +$0 06-13 15:17
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 14¢ $-1 +$1 05-30 15:06
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026? Yes -36 $-0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-30 15:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? Yes -33 $-0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-14 00:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June? Yes -59 $-0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-14 00:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes -31 $-2 0¢ $-0 +$2 05-28 03:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June? Yes -34 $-0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-14 00:44
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30? Yes -7 $-0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-14 00:47