(anonymous) 0x1b2901…cd5ad7
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Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
50.4%
Resolved
11
Trades
196
lifetime
Volume
$300
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$6
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 07-12 01:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
38% — —
Other
36% — —
Sports
26% 27% $-4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -6 $-1 28¢ $-2 $-1 06-12 15:52
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -12 $-2 12¢ $-1 +$0 05-30 15:17
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026? Yes -15 $-0 6¢ $-1 $-1 05-30 15:15
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 8¢ $-1 +$0 06-12 15:51
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 13¢ $-1 +$0 06-13 15:17