Aggressive-Stain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$86

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,904

lifetime

Volume

$4.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-29 15:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

66% — —

Other

23% 0% $-4

Politics

10% 100% +$91

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 680 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$249	988	988	+0	No	+$91	05-06 10:46
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	9	$211	0	1,240	-1,240	open	—	05-28 20:07
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	4	$175	450	0	+450	open	—	05-16 19:39
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	6	$107	2,547	2,547	+0	No	$-4	04-23 20:36
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$105	238	238	+0	open	—	04-18 14:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	2	$103	500	482	+18	open	—	04-18 18:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	2	$90	1,718	1,718	+0	open	—	04-27 19:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$71	5,756	0	+5,756	open	—	05-29 15:47
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	5	$59	179	179	+0	open	—	04-23 14:15
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	3	$40	219	0	+219	open	—	05-13 00:22
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$34	263	0	+263	open	—	05-08 15:06
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	3	$31	4,154	0	+4,154	open	—	05-16 17:48
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 21?	6	$28	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	05-21 16:05
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	2	$28	446	446	+0	open	—	04-20 13:56
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	2	$26	134	0	+134	open	—	05-12 20:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$25	1,053	1,053	+0	open	—	04-23 13:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	2	$24	625	600	+25	open	—	04-18 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	10	$23	62	15	+47	open	—	04-25 17:19
btc updown 5m 1776619200	3	$22	46	25	+22	open	—	04-19 17:24
btc updown 5m 1776875100	7	$21	241	0	+241	open	—	04-22 16:29
btc updown 5m 1776589800	3	$21	89	84	+5	open	—	04-19 09:14
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	1	$20	1,117	0	+1,117	open	—	04-29 20:12
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	1	$20	200	0	+200	open	—	05-16 17:19
will spy reach 715 by april 13 2026	1	$20	1,429	0	+1,429	open	—	04-15 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	10	$19	27	27	+0	open	—	04-25 15:05
btc updown 5m 1776594000	8	$19	20	19	+1	open	—	04-19 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	9	$19	28	28	+0	open	—	04-25 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	7	$19	21	15	+6	open	—	04-27 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	9	$19	22	15	+7	open	—	04-27 11:33
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	1	$17	1,247	0	+1,247	open	—	05-29 15:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 15:53:30	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,247	1¢	$17	0x992d2c…
05-29 15:52:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	654	2¢	$14	0xa6f251…
05-29 15:47:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,615	1¢	$33	0xbd82de…
05-29 15:47:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,641	1¢	$13	0xa5136a…
05-29 14:17:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	800	2¢	$13	0x30c7d8…
05-28 20:07:30	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	56	17¢	$10	0x1d07b1…
05-28 19:30:40	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0xba62b0…
05-28 19:29:12	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	76	17¢	$13	0xfcd1a6…
05-28 19:04:53	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	81	17¢	$14	0x2ef234…
05-28 18:25:53	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x6a6fae…
05-28 15:02:58	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	210	17¢	$36	0x901cfd…
05-28 14:52:07	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0x08b4c8…
05-28 14:41:20	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	181	17¢	$31	0xe8a6d9…
05-28 14:34:11	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	426	17¢	$72	0x737ec8…
05-21 16:05:45	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 21?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x578dbf…
05-21 16:05:45	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 21?	No	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x1e694f…
05-21 16:05:45	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 21?	No	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0x0c72dd…
05-21 15:59:22	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 21?	No	BUY	975	1¢	$10	0xa0cc8e…
05-21 15:20:17	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 21?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xbc2bf2…
05-21 15:02:37	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 21?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4e4fe6…
05-18 13:45:23	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	4,976	0¢	$5	0xf18d2e…
05-18 13:32:23	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xabc49e…
05-18 13:21:02	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3404cd…
05-18 13:18:42	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	2,750	0¢	$3	0x2da396…
05-18 12:53:46	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x6bd562…
05-18 12:43:14	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	478	0¢	$0	0x438dcd…
05-18 12:13:38	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xbc3a23…
05-18 11:56:09	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xa06589…
05-18 11:47:02	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	153	0¢	$0	0x196901…
05-18 11:15:07	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x503c3c…
05-18 11:13:38	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x38aee2…
05-18 11:12:52	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xa5b91d…
05-18 11:11:32	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x3e30fd…
05-18 10:06:01	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	101	0¢	$0	0x915bea…
05-18 10:06:00	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xe402b2…
05-18 10:06:00	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xbe6afc…
05-18 10:06:00	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x957c77…
05-18 09:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x77b925…
05-18 09:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x954d3c…
05-18 09:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x49c3f3…
05-18 09:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0xd070d3…
05-18 09:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xfe57f0…
05-18 09:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x50fe0e…
05-18 09:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x49e547…
05-18 09:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x2a83c2…
05-18 09:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xbe0819…
05-18 09:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x08a824…
05-18 09:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x85c01e…
05-18 09:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x5e4060…
05-18 09:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x36d7e2…
05-18 09:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xa06e1a…
05-18 09:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6498e2…
05-18 09:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe6176c…
05-18 09:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x837cf2…
05-18 09:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x7ee90a…
05-18 09:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4b627a…
05-18 09:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x95e6be…
05-18 09:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1fd150…
05-18 09:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x869ab8…
05-18 09:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x5fdd6f…
05-18 09:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x33db2f…
05-18 09:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xcc2c83…
05-18 09:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xd638f1…
05-18 09:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xc0a282…
05-18 09:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x74a405…
05-18 09:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8ba8d9…
05-18 09:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb4060e…
05-18 09:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xadb104…
05-18 09:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x33a541…
05-18 09:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x95ed27…
05-18 09:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9e3142…
05-18 09:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xffbbc1…
05-18 09:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x3af051…
05-18 09:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xb10562…
05-18 09:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x21ec96…
05-18 09:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xed0209…
05-18 09:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xa5b8ef…
05-18 09:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x8730cc…
05-18 09:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x0ecae5…
05-18 09:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc061f1…
05-18 09:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x86d56c…
05-18 09:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0xf725d4…
05-18 09:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x9d5125…
05-18 09:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x7f42ec…
05-18 09:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x78989b…
05-18 09:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6a60d4…
05-18 09:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x0f6b43…
05-18 09:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0692a5…
05-18 09:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x7ac304…
05-18 09:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x310d02…
05-18 09:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x007c5d…
05-18 09:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0xedf80f…
05-18 09:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0xa761e3…
05-18 09:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x71a3b5…
05-18 09:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa218a9…
05-18 09:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe5e530…
05-18 09:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xacb1f2…
05-18 09:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc0d250…
05-18 09:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x7e27f2…
05-18 09:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x70367f…