Realized P&L
+$156
Unrealized P&L
-$2.09K
Hit rate
50.7%
Resolved
11
Trades
1,738
lifetime
Volume
$208.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$120
Open exposure
$5.41K
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 06-28 22:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
80% 75% $-125
Other
19% 100% +$369
Crypto
0% 67% $-88
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +3,167 $2,661 82¢ $2.6K $-49 06-24 16:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1,473 $822 72¢ $1.1K +$231 06-24 16:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,080 $580 36¢ $383 $-197 06-23 16:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +340 $300 86¢ $294 $-6 06-17 07:41
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -233 $-195 90¢ $-208 $-13 05-28 06:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +250 $200 80¢ $201 +$1 06-20 15:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +194 $227 100¢ $193 $-34 06-22 06:20
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes +25,168 $2,906 $113 $-2,793 06-28 22:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +105 $100 100¢ $105 +$5 06-01 08:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -213 $-91 42¢ $-90 +$1 06-01 07:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -80 $-78 100¢ $-80 $-2 05-28 17:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -77 $-849 100¢ $-77 +$773 06-20 04:31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +262 $5 $1 $-4 06-20 15:43