Realized P&L
+$156
Unrealized P&L
+$364
Hit rate
50.7%
Resolved
11
Trades
1,499
lifetime
Volume
$188.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$126
Open exposure
$10.2K
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 06-09 14:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
82% 75% $-125
Other
18% 100% +$369
Crypto
0% 67% $-88
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +3,329 $2,730 86¢ $2.9K +$149 06-08 09:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -3,466 $-2,737 68¢ $-2339 +$398 06-07 22:45
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +1,541 $1,075 80¢ $1.2K +$166 06-09 14:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,391 $1,151 76¢ $1.0K $-102 06-09 14:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1,061 $530 51¢ $541 +$11 06-04 08:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +605 $480 82¢ $499 +$19 06-08 09:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +411 $349 90¢ $372 +$23 06-07 17:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +423 $250 64¢ $273 +$23 06-08 07:15
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes +2,206 $576 12¢ $254 $-323 06-08 19:39
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -233 $-195 86¢ $-201 $-6 05-28 06:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +152 $100 68¢ $104 +$4 06-04 06:01
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +118 $100 86¢ $101 +$1 06-01 10:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +105 $100 94¢ $98 $-2 06-01 08:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -213 $-91 44¢ $-95 $-3 06-01 07:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -80 $-78 98¢ $-79 $-1 05-28 17:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +91 $50 62¢ $56 +$6 06-01 15:17