Realized P&L (30d)
+$5
Unrealized P&L
-$995
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
1
Trades (30d)
0
2,305 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$0
$287.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$125
Open exposure
$3.27K
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 08-13 03:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 88 days
Categories
Politics
73% 64% +$1,277
Other
26% 63% +$506
Tech
1% 78% +$23
Crypto
0% 56% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1,473 $822 96¢ $1.4K +$598 06-24 16:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +699 $600 80¢ $559 -$41 06-17 07:41
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,920 $180 16¢ $314 +$134 05-24 17:27
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +250 $200 94¢ $236 +$36 06-20 15:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2,044 $2,019 12¢ $235 -$1,784 07-28 17:36
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +218 $100 68¢ $147 +$47 06-20 05:08
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +123 $100 92¢ $114 +$14 06-19 20:11
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +122 $100 84¢ $103 +$3 05-25 23:57
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No -235 -$83 25¢ $-59 +$24 05-15 17:30
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +60 $50 94¢ $56 +$6 06-01 17:52
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -270 -$22 5¢ $-14 +$8 05-25 11:35
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +106 $50 8¢ $9 -$41 05-24 22:54