Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$338

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved

100

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$34.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$168

Open exposure

$307

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-31 02:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

66% 93% +$19

Politics

30% 93% -$361

Crypto

4% 88% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 67% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+160	$153	97¢	$156	+$2	07-31 02:41
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+149	$139	97¢	$145	+$6	05-25 06:25
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	+149	$10	3¢	$4	-$6	06-02 03:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+17	$8	16¢	$3	-$5	05-25 02:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	15	$4.7K	2,369	2,405	-36	No	+$2	03-11 11:57
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$4.0K	2,025	2,025	+0	No	+$2	03-11 12:38
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	7	$3.1K	1,553	1,553	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 13:58
will the announcers say white house or trump during holloway vs oliveira 2	5	$2.7K	1,341	1,341	+0	No	+$21	03-08 07:56
will the announcers say knockout or knock out or knocked out during holloway vs oliveira 2	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$19	03-08 06:01
us strikes iraq by march 7	1	$1.4K	1,393	0	+1,393	Yes	+$1	03-11 14:22
will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by march 31 656 625 393	1	$1.4K	1,384	0	+1,384	Yes	+$2	03-10 02:50
will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	1	$1.4K	1,381	0	+1,381	Yes	+$1	03-09 12:06
will israel strike lebanon on march 8 2026	1	$1.3K	1,331	0	+1,331	Yes	+$1	03-08 03:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	6	$1.1K	535	535	+0	No	+$3	05-17 12:17
will trump say supreme court during kentucky visit	3	$995	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$5	03-12 02:05
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	4	$906	455	455	+0	No	+$0	02-23 16:23
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	5	$690	349	349	+0	No	+$1	03-22 04:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$518	346	173	+173	Yes	+$1	04-08 14:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$507	514	411	+103	Yes	-$401	03-02 14:28
will trump say million or billion or trillion 15 times during the 2026 state of the union address 296	1	$469	470	0	+470	Yes	+$1	02-25 03:35
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	2	$371	189	189	+0	No	+$0	05-14 12:42
Trump out as President by May 31?	2	$363	184	184	+0	No	+$2	05-02 14:34
Netanyahu out by April 30?	3	$351	177	177	+0	No	+$1	04-21 06:07
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$348	176	176	+0	No	+$1	04-20 01:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	2	$348	175	175	+0	No	+$0	04-12 06:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	3	$347	179	179	+0	No	-$1	04-07 03:30
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	9	$336	177	177	+0	Yes	+$1	03-16 05:29
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$336	168	168	+0	No	+$0	01-20 13:30
will wti reach 120 in july 2026	2	$306	156	156	+0	No	+$5	07-26 13:00
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$269	136	135	+1	No	+$1	03-25 13:39
will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	3	$239	121	121	+0	No	+$1	03-29 13:15
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$201	101	101	+0	Yes	$0	03-01 01:51
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	4	$191	96	96	+0	Yes	+$1	02-14 05:50
will trump say cheat during kentucky visit	1	$175	177	0	+177	No	+$2	03-12 02:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 02:41:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	160	96¢	$153	0x287a3f…
07-26 13:00:22	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	156	100¢	$155	0xa9d843…
07-23 10:34:49	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	156	97¢	$151	0xadc986…
07-08 13:22:16	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x02ff27…
07-05 13:15:19	will wti dip to 35 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7aa0fd…
06-27 12:23:59	will ethereum reach 2700 in june 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7a3dc0…
06-27 12:23:32	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2168bf…
06-25 03:04:14	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x585de6…
06-21 02:56:40	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xf48a61…
06-21 02:53:50	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe8ea1b…
06-10 10:45:46	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x91ec58…
06-08 03:29:09	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	165	1¢	$2	0x4149fc…
06-02 12:11:46	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	165	98¢	$162	0x11cbfb…
06-02 03:08:09	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x125650…
06-02 03:05:56	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	149	7¢	$10	0xa1231d…
05-31 03:46:27	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcdd21c…
05-27 13:05:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x4bb272…
05-27 13:03:54	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc19ab7…
05-27 13:03:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x66b43a…
05-25 06:25:21	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	149	93¢	$139	0x25ccb7…
05-25 02:31:12	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.80 in May?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdcd31e…
05-25 02:30:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x302ecf…
05-25 02:30:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xbe6bda…
05-22 10:57:25	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x2b7432…
05-22 04:22:06	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x801f8d…
05-22 03:36:43	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x473e0d…
05-21 08:35:36	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x653992…
05-17 12:17:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	164	100¢	$163	0xc2ba05…
05-17 05:18:20	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xe09764…
05-15 02:46:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	164	99¢	$163	0x4c8363…
05-15 02:34:16	Will Trump Leave China on May 16?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb8ca31…
05-15 02:33:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x5fa626…
05-14 12:42:51	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	189	98¢	$186	0x2f6720…
05-09 12:04:40	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	189	98¢	$185	0x079cde…
05-08 14:03:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	186	99¢	$184	0x359e3c…
05-07 21:16:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	186	99¢	$183	0x0f27d0…
05-06 10:24:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	185	99¢	$183	0x416a9b…
05-03 12:37:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	185	98¢	$181	0x4eeded…
05-02 14:34:42	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	184	99¢	$183	0x57e490…
04-30 15:38:44	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	184	98¢	$180	0x464ca8…
04-23 13:11:56	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2fdb6e…
04-21 06:07:20	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	63	99¢	$63	0xf24739…
04-21 05:58:46	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	114	99¢	$113	0xe46f8e…
04-20 05:01:50	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	177	99¢	$175	0xe5cd61…
04-20 01:44:16	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	176	99¢	$174	0x587491…
04-15 21:53:22	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	176	99¢	$174	0x3b7475…
04-12 06:27:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	No	SELL	175	99¢	$174	0xfb5527…
04-12 04:39:25	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xd3d235…
04-11 04:52:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	No	BUY	175	99¢	$174	0x37b511…
04-11 03:07:33	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6791fc…
04-08 14:05:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x73a1e3…
04-08 03:58:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	173	100¢	$173	0x46dc39…
04-07 04:24:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	173	100¢	$172	0x1f2442…
04-07 03:30:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	179	97¢	$173	0xc68d7c…
04-06 13:49:43	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x091ae7…
04-05 05:18:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	172	97¢	$167	0x336242…
04-05 02:05:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x37ce67…
03-29 13:19:06	Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x084b8a…
03-29 13:18:44	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2446bd…
03-29 13:18:20	will russia test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x96afe7…
03-29 13:17:32	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x6c0e75…
03-29 13:17:08	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xef7385…
03-29 13:16:48	will trump meet with putin by march 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7bd504…
03-29 13:16:20	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt0 by march 31	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x27b34b…
03-29 13:15:24	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	SELL	121	100¢	$120	0x606756…
03-27 13:59:05	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0x7165d2…
03-27 12:18:11	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x8d5d67…
03-27 12:17:45	maduro exiled to russia by march 31	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x417416…
03-25 13:58:23	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 29c	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x46804e…
03-25 13:42:01	will russia join the board of peace	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xfc0474…
03-25 13:41:17	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd61fbe…
03-25 13:39:59	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x16acdd…
03-25 13:39:27	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0x0052e7…
03-24 15:23:53	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	136	99¢	$135	0x542403…
03-24 09:23:15	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xef471b…
03-24 09:22:51	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0xd85236…
03-24 09:21:39	will gas hit low 3pt00 by march 31	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x2fa2a3…
03-22 04:15:17	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x82cb1f…
03-22 04:12:07	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0xc5fcef…
03-20 04:08:33	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	175	99¢	$173	0x2b1ae6…
03-20 02:42:29	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	174	99¢	$172	0xd5c978…
03-19 10:58:11	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	174	99¢	$172	0xc206a8…
03-16 05:29:19	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x74dd9f…
03-16 04:58:25	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x114b26…
03-16 04:56:49	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xf20648…
03-15 21:34:47	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xaf821c…
03-15 12:41:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xd8fd2b…
03-14 05:02:35	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x248457…
03-13 14:51:59	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	104	95¢	$99	0x101d4d…
03-13 14:51:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x637ce8…
03-13 14:51:15	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xa1d36b…
03-13 14:50:59	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	24	95¢	$22	0xb225b9…
03-13 13:58:03	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	163	99¢	$162	0x43dced…
03-12 07:13:41	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	163	99¢	$162	0xa91361…
03-12 02:06:23	will trump say cheat during kentucky visit	No	BUY	177	99¢	$175	0x5f8e39…
03-12 02:05:07	will trump say supreme court during kentucky visit	No	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0x3a347d…
03-12 02:04:55	will trump say supreme court during kentucky visit	No	BUY	610	100¢	$607	0x1467e6…
03-12 02:01:53	will trump say hormuz or red sea during kentucky visit	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xb39806…
03-12 02:01:37	will trump say ceasefire during kentucky visit	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x0b03f0…
03-12 02:01:27	will trump say supreme court during kentucky visit	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x044463…