Weary-Resistance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.30K

Unrealized P&L

-$74

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

303

Trades

4,438

lifetime

Volume

$700.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$158

Open exposure

$5.34K

1 position

First seen

2026-04-28

last 10-19 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Other

78% 96% +$1,688

Politics

13% 94% +$133

Sports

8% 95% +$366

Tech

1% 100% +$50

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$60

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 374 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No		+5,480	$5,414	97¢	$5.3K	-$74	10-19 16:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	34	$10.8K	5,453	5,453	+0	No	+$73	06-03 15:36
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	62	$10.7K	5,408	5,408	+0	No	+$86	10-19 14:57
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	11	$10.5K	5,304	5,304	+0	No	+$79	10-17 15:14
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	30	$10.3K	5,193	5,193	+0	No	+$82	10-16 14:46
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	2	$10.2K	5,122	5,122	+0	No	+$46	10-16 10:11
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	27	$10.0K	5,022	5,022	+0	No	+$58	10-13 15:46
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	68	$9.9K	4,967	4,967	+0	No	+$60	10-13 14:28
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	57	$9.6K	4,852	4,852	+0	Yes	+$57	10-04 23:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$9.4K	4,723	4,723	+0	No	+$43	09-16 18:00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	32	$9.3K	4,707	4,707	+0	Yes	+$56	10-14 15:15
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	33	$9.1K	4,614	4,614	+0	No	+$75	09-09 00:00
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%?	12	$8.5K	4,296	4,296	+0	No	+$81	08-28 18:37
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	6	$8.0K	4,033	4,033	+0	No	+$37	08-18 23:18
Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	98	$7.8K	3,918	3,918	+0	No	+$52	09-15 01:43
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	27	$7.6K	3,828	3,828	+0	Yes	+$62	08-03 14:48
will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	396	$7.6K	3,825	3,825	+0	No	+$60	08-14 19:33
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?	8	$7.4K	3,737	3,737	+0	No	+$34	08-30 22:03
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?	46	$7.4K	3,711	3,711	+0	Yes	+$36	08-02 06:25
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	11	$7.3K	3,670	3,670	+0	No	+$40	08-19 01:26
Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?	2	$7.3K	3,665	3,665	+0	No	+$33	09-06 16:42
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 3M Open?	6	$7.2K	3,623	3,623	+0	No	+$54	07-26 21:49
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	16	$7.1K	3,571	3,571	+0	No	+$35	07-24 10:30
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	305	$7.0K	3,496	3,496	+0	Yes	+$31	07-19 22:39
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	14	$6.9K	3,466	3,466	+0	Yes	+$39	07-19 22:20
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	9	$6.9K	3,458	3,458	+0	No	+$47	08-26 00:42
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?	23	$6.8K	3,430	3,430	+0	Yes	+$58	07-16 00:58
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	26	$6.6K	3,309	3,309	+0	Yes	+$55	09-28 02:32
iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	9	$6.4K	3,209	3,209	+0	No	+$33	07-10 11:01
world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	31	$6.3K	3,176	3,176	+0	Yes	+$50	07-06 22:36
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	5	$6.2K	3,103	3,103	+0	No	+$44	09-07 04:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 16:00:51	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	5,091	99¢	$5,030	0x9c8357…
10-19 16:00:42	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	389	99¢	$384	0x52542d…
10-19 15:57:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,316	100¢	$1,315	0x09be8f…
10-19 15:53:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xc306ea…
10-19 15:53:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,290	99¢	$1,277	0x820e20…
10-19 14:57:29	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x310f10…
10-19 14:57:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x45158f…
10-19 14:56:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x5dd2e9…
10-19 14:56:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x77854d…
10-19 14:55:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x47702e…
10-19 14:53:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc3221c…
10-19 14:53:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xea66c4…
10-19 14:52:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x535704…
10-19 14:52:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x73aeb3…
10-19 14:52:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0c261d…
10-19 14:52:05	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x481b5d…
10-19 14:49:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3fa8d8…
10-19 14:49:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x29251f…
10-19 14:47:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe6facc…
10-19 14:45:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x798bb8…
10-19 14:45:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfdc6b5…
10-19 14:44:33	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x31d186…
10-19 14:44:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xeffa95…
10-19 14:32:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xcc0414…
10-19 14:32:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xfa9373…
10-19 14:32:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x13884d…
10-19 14:30:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x5fd062…
10-19 07:57:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x4dc44d…
10-19 07:57:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x5cb3c0…
10-19 07:50:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x698a48…
10-19 07:32:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x4f0073…
10-19 07:29:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x2f7797…
10-19 07:27:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0xc9e63f…
10-19 07:15:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	931	98¢	$914	0x9520e2…
10-19 07:10:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	182	99¢	$179	0x61e0cf…
10-19 07:05:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x2982de…
10-19 07:03:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xcbb711…
10-19 06:38:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0xcd2b26…
10-19 06:37:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x038ee0…
10-19 05:18:56	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	680	99¢	$673	0x227891…
10-19 05:18:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x8c434c…
10-19 05:13:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xf6484e…
10-19 04:52:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	98	98¢	$97	0xf02721…
10-19 04:52:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	98	98¢	$97	0xdfcfbe…
10-19 04:47:59	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0x42e34d…
10-19 04:47:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0x10f496…
10-19 04:33:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	154	98¢	$151	0x1aa5a7…
10-19 04:31:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0x34545f…
10-19 04:31:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	157	98¢	$154	0xd7b37a…
10-19 04:26:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1,893	98¢	$1,855	0x8f9dea…
10-19 04:26:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	135	98¢	$132	0x1dd9d0…
10-18 07:16:30	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xd196c8…
10-18 05:24:44	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x304a0a…
10-18 05:18:27	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x762884…
10-18 05:12:29	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x206d23…
10-18 04:45:41	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	255	98¢	$250	0x991d22…
10-18 04:42:39	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0x5f5b5c…
10-18 04:39:36	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0x20e607…
10-18 04:36:21	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	127	98¢	$125	0x55fb50…
10-18 04:33:15	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	127	98¢	$125	0x84d1d3…
10-18 04:21:26	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0xcd3365…
10-18 04:18:24	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0xbf36f5…
10-18 04:15:20	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa3fb13…
10-18 04:15:08	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x272859…
10-18 04:12:00	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0x6eb3d5…
10-18 04:11:51	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	167	98¢	$163	0xd07d9d…
10-18 04:05:57	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x231121…
10-17 15:14:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x09f56e…
10-17 04:37:14	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x0a8fc5…
10-17 04:37:05	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x73c62b…
10-17 04:18:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	3,634	98¢	$3,569	0x06e4a1…
10-17 04:15:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xb2131d…
10-17 04:14:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1,188	99¢	$1,176	0x35e3d1…
10-17 04:12:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	268	99¢	$265	0xa0faf6…
10-17 04:11:53	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$111	0x5c0ebe…
10-16 15:46:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	1,002	100¢	$1,001	0x4ef7a6…
10-16 15:46:03	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	551	100¢	$550	0x231e3e…
10-16 15:45:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	248	100¢	$248	0xb1d329…
10-16 15:29:15	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	248	99¢	$245	0x9d49cf…
10-16 15:26:27	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,553	98¢	$1,530	0xe490c0…
10-16 15:23:43	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	196	98¢	$193	0xd2bfd3…
10-16 15:23:34	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	280	98¢	$276	0xb732f6…
10-16 14:46:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0x9d81d7…
10-16 11:37:34	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x24a733…
10-16 11:32:16	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x9a170c…
10-16 11:19:19	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xb8243c…
10-16 11:11:39	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	98	98¢	$97	0xfe92a8…
10-16 11:01:22	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$39	0x01615d…
10-16 11:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,967	98¢	$1,934	0x9255c3…
10-16 10:58:10	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	353	98¢	$347	0xfa6d47…
10-16 10:48:39	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	111	98¢	$109	0x0c3528…
10-16 10:45:54	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	68	98¢	$66	0x878f3a…
10-16 10:38:04	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0xae9beb…
10-16 10:37:55	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	309	98¢	$304	0xe73960…
10-16 10:35:15	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	588	98¢	$579	0x829efe…
10-16 10:35:06	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x102fd9…
10-16 10:32:24	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0xcc8dd5…
10-16 10:24:34	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	222	98¢	$219	0x2438c9…
10-16 10:24:24	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	980	98¢	$963	0x941db9…
10-16 10:14:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xa2c4f0…