Realized P&L
+$82.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.42K
Hit rate
86.2%
Resolved
1,031
Trades
8,931
lifetime
Volume
$1.46M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$163
Open exposure
$17.3K
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-22
last 11-03 10:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 203 days
Categories
Politics
57% 71% +$51,759
Other
37% 64% +$28,713
Tech
4% 72% +$2,745
Sports
1% 42% -$830
Crypto
1% 50% -$220
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +14,603 $10,035 65¢ $9.5K -$543 11-03 08:19
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No — +6,015 $4,283 76¢ $4.6K +$318 11-03 08:42
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,531 $978 92¢ $1.4K +$431 09-12 00:58
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +3,161 $833 25¢ $790 -$43 10-28 18:22
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +340 $185 80¢ $274 +$89 10-20 08:34
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,013 $421 12¢ $242 -$179 08-20 13:08
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,993 $267 4¢ $200 -$68 09-29 04:42
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes +1,200 $536 12¢ $144 -$392 08-28 19:17
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +340 $108 20¢ $66 -$42 10-07 09:53
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +5,000 $875 1¢ $42 -$833 10-31 07:52
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +62 $72 59¢ $37 -$35 10-18 09:08
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +258 $100 11¢ $27 -$73 05-31 17:58
military action against saudi oil pipeline east west by november 30 Yes +0 $29 39¢ $0 -$28 10-14 11:37
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 No +0 -$105 94¢ $0 +$105 06-29 00:50
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +0 -$5 96¢ $0 +$5 05-08 09:57
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1,128 3¢ $0 -$1,128 09-29 06:02