Second-Hand-Follower — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$81.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.70K

Hit rate

85.7%

Resolved

1,014

Trades

8,802

lifetime

Volume

$1.34M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$152

Open exposure

$17.3K

16 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 11-01 11:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 201 days

Categories

Politics

56% 71% +$51,983

Other

38% 63% +$27,593

Tech

4% 72% +$2,745

Sports

1% 42% -$830

Crypto

1% 50% -$220

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	+12,806	$8,885	64¢	$8.2K	-$689	10-28 08:48
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	+6,267	$5,648	99¢	$6.2K	+$556	11-01 11:24
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+1,531	$978	68¢	$1.0K	+$71	09-12 00:58
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	+3,161	$833	22¢	$711	-$122	10-28 18:22
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,013	$421	15¢	$292	-$129	08-20 13:08
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	+340	$185	81¢	$276	+$90	10-20 08:34
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+4,993	$267	4¢	$202	-$65	09-29 04:42
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	+1,200	$536	12¢	$138	-$398	08-28 19:17
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+340	$108	19¢	$65	-$43	10-07 09:53
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	+5,000	$875	1¢	$50	-$825	10-31 07:52
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	+62	$72	58¢	$36	-$36	10-18 09:08
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	+258	$100	13¢	$34	-$66	05-31 17:58
military action against saudi oil pipeline east west by november 30	Yes	+0	$29	36¢	$0	-$28	10-14 11:37
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	+0	-$105	93¢	$0	+$105	06-29 00:50
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+0	-$5	95¢	$0	+$5	05-08 09:57
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$1,128	4¢	$0	-$1,128	09-29 06:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	87	$40.5K	34,857	13,004	+21,853	No	+$2,775	08-01 02:48
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	164	$36.0K	33,749	6,439	+27,310	No	+$3,584	09-14 03:25
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	47	$35.9K	26,915	12,432	+14,482	No	+$1,883	10-23 05:33
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	22	$21.8K	23,097	0	+23,097	No	+$1,078	09-01 07:30
iran closes its airspace by june 8	93	$19.1K	16,485	16,485	+0	Yes	+$1,068	06-08 01:15
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	53	$18.7K	11,324	11,324	+0	No	+$2,506	08-25 17:42
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	46	$17.0K	14,895	14,859	+36	Yes	+$246	07-20 18:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	46	$16.7K	20,051	18,001	+2,050	No	+$3,020	05-23 14:15
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	5	$15.8K	8,066	8,066	+0	Yes	+$267	07-28 03:47
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	29	$14.8K	14,468	11,447	+3,021	Yes	+$951	08-19 12:46
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	31	$13.3K	9,502	4,663	+4,838	No	-$1,094	08-27 01:11
iran full airspace closure by august 15	30	$13.3K	13,473	3,087	+10,386	No	+$3,154	08-15 21:44
will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	16	$13.1K	16,369	1,043	+15,326	Yes	-$92	08-09 18:37
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 13, 2026?	17	$13.1K	13,784	0	+13,784	Yes	+$684	08-13 21:41
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	37	$13.0K	8,072	8,072	+0	Yes	+$3,083	10-24 23:19
israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	10	$13.0K	7,123	7,123	+0	Yes	+$954	07-17 03:28
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	24	$12.4K	9,081	9,081	+0	Yes	-$938	08-12 20:23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	56	$12.0K	17,826	16,683	+1,144	No	+$539	05-29 20:50
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	18	$11.8K	11,501	11,501	+0	No	+$34	06-13 06:50
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	16	$11.8K	9,332	4,000	+5,332	No	+$244	07-16 03:07
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	54	$10.9K	13,750	8,493	+5,257	No	+$73	06-02 21:20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	50	$10.6K	11,460	8,447	+3,013	No	+$1,673	05-24 13:12
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	14	$10.6K	8,797	3,688	+5,109	Yes	+$435	09-04 05:09
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	22	$10.6K	5,547	5,546	+0	No	+$118	06-01 01:53
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	17	$10.3K	10,645	230	+10,415	No	+$523	08-08 03:21
israel closes its airspace by august 15	11	$10.2K	9,852	652	+9,200	No	+$285	08-15 21:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	71	$10.1K	6,076	6,076	+0	Yes	+$399	09-22 19:07
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	4	$9.6K	9,676	0	+9,676	No	+$89	07-16 02:02
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?	15	$9.2K	9,625	0	+9,625	No	+$435	07-25 03:43
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	43	$8.9K	12,806	0	+12,806	open	—	10-28 08:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 11:24:18	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31?	Yes	BUY	563	100¢	$561	0x4f7e8a…
11-01 11:24:10	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,288	99¢	$1,280	0x346e96…
11-01 11:24:03	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,361	99¢	$1,347	0xf22049…
11-01 11:23:57	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,918	98¢	$1,888	0x76be47…
10-31 23:50:01	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x165fda…
10-31 22:34:00	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	841	67¢	$563	0x88d9ed…
10-31 22:30:27	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xb3121a…
10-31 22:30:03	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0x76a0a3…
10-31 22:29:51	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0x108498…
10-31 22:29:10	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x9dd1e8…
10-31 22:28:30	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x4645c0…
10-31 22:28:30	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	23	67¢	$15	0x451cd9…
10-31 22:25:16	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0xdaa51d…
10-31 21:40:30	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	443	69¢	$306	0xafe8f5…
10-31 21:40:15	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	832	69¢	$574	0x476f71…
10-31 18:01:16	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,508	69¢	$1,041	0x83f369…
10-31 11:06:01	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	Yes	BUY	274	100¢	$273	0x293dbf…
10-31 11:01:21	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	Yes	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0xd73d1a…
10-31 07:52:57	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	BUY	3,000	4¢	$120	0xbe1c18…
10-30 21:57:10	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x94e76b…
10-30 21:57:10	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x724d9a…
10-30 18:41:16	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	BUY	84	5¢	$4	0x7dc155…
10-30 16:45:51	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x5cd0e7…
10-30 16:20:42	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x05f6dd…
10-30 16:09:09	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	BUY	275	5¢	$14	0x4266d7…
10-30 15:01:37	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x3e4533…
10-30 15:01:34	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	272	68¢	$185	0x0af197…
10-30 15:01:33	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0xa727bd…
10-30 14:11:19	Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x4b1ca4…
10-30 13:23:01	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	BUY	113	5¢	$6	0x2a0949…
10-30 13:02:15	Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xb72637…
10-30 12:18:06	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	66¢	$15	0xc8abea…
10-30 11:56:00	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	BUY	641	5¢	$32	0x2ad76f…
10-30 11:46:39	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x61824d…
10-30 11:31:45	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	62	68¢	$42	0xc6b797…
10-30 07:25:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x75f123…
10-30 07:25:27	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	BUY	120	80¢	$96	0xd2277a…
10-30 04:38:03	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	276	68¢	$188	0xcd4530…
10-30 04:16:45	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,131	93¢	$1,056	0x0f4614…
10-30 04:16:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	Yes	SELL	466	92¢	$431	0x84c07d…
10-30 04:02:06	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x9d4e03…
10-30 03:53:58	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	Yes	BUY	183	90¢	$165	0xb252a4…
10-30 03:14:19	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	347	99¢	$344	0xaefb4f…
10-30 03:08:10	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x8ba8d6…
10-30 03:05:19	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 30?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x23f8c8…
10-30 03:05:06	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 30?	No	BUY	296	81¢	$240	0x868743…
10-30 02:38:00	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 28?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xca0fea…
10-30 02:31:49	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	BUY	110	92¢	$101	0x10eb95…
10-30 02:06:33	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	BUY	307	91¢	$280	0x0297e3…
10-30 01:22:03	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 25?	No	BUY	171	97¢	$165	0xb63ffa…
10-30 01:15:19	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24?	Yes	BUY	88	98¢	$87	0xb4fa7b…
10-30 00:19:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	550	55¢	$304	0x07eff4…
10-29 17:36:41	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	BUY	207	5¢	$10	0xf954a4…
10-29 16:16:08	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 23?	Yes	BUY	173	97¢	$167	0xca7a74…
10-29 16:04:32	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 22?	No	BUY	201	97¢	$194	0x6c4b52…
10-29 16:01:07	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 21?	No	BUY	332	82¢	$273	0xc9870b…
10-29 01:12:14	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	350	92¢	$320	0xfcaca2…
10-29 01:07:37	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27?	Yes	BUY	293	89¢	$260	0x6b07c6…
10-29 00:29:59	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,059	90¢	$956	0xf08058…
10-29 00:29:58	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	Yes	SELL	193	95¢	$183	0x73f21c…
10-29 00:29:16	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3045c7…
10-29 00:27:47	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x98ffca…
10-29 00:26:40	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	Yes	BUY	442	96¢	$426	0xeb710b…
10-28 20:43:17	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	66¢	$62	0x9b678d…
10-28 18:22:22	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	23¢	$230	0xe403fd…
10-28 13:09:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x478504…
10-28 13:04:53	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	99	68¢	$67	0xfd1623…
10-28 08:48:13	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xf2face…
10-28 08:22:43	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	48	58¢	$28	0x76f8c8…
10-28 05:39:13	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9eb91e…
10-28 05:13:02	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcf7544…
10-28 03:56:16	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc8db8b…
10-28 03:49:58	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xb94fcb…
10-28 02:00:09	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	210	58¢	$122	0xc74a87…
10-27 16:47:59	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x3fe51a…
10-27 15:40:35	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x678cd4…
10-27 15:35:14	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xf6fb76…
10-27 15:29:12	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xa0e621…
10-27 12:35:29	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	1,416	61¢	$865	0x495e52…
10-27 07:45:42	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	400	21¢	$85	0x664129…
10-27 07:42:14	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1,557	86¢	$1,340	0x3d2648…
10-27 07:41:41	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	733	82¢	$604	0x13123d…
10-26 22:04:41	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 23?	No	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x3541b7…
10-26 21:30:17	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	106	82¢	$87	0xe00242…
10-26 21:30:09	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	Yes	BUY	452	84¢	$379	0xc45a54…
10-26 21:17:33	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 19?	Yes	BUY	243	94¢	$229	0xd3977c…
10-26 21:07:14	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 23?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$83	0x9e9fba…
10-26 20:19:41	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x5bc90c…
10-26 20:19:41	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x4a2e91…
10-26 20:17:59	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,444	22¢	$324	0x57ed9d…
10-26 19:50:06	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,161	28¢	$603	0xb9e50c…
10-26 19:37:44	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xceaf50…
10-26 17:43:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3,591	97¢	$3,497	0x280f13…
10-26 17:39:08	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24?	Yes	BUY	126	99¢	$124	0xb12586…
10-26 17:38:18	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24?	Yes	BUY	235	73¢	$172	0xc84e36…
10-26 17:17:42	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0xa6449a…
10-26 08:51:14	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0xca2724…
10-26 07:16:36	Will Iran target Iraq by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	78¢	$71	0x6a6dae…
10-26 06:57:41	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0xd9ec2d…
10-26 02:56:42	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	250	59¢	$148	0x301080…