Unfinished-Cupboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.90K

Unrealized P&L

+$26

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

Trades

288

lifetime

Volume

$32.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

$3.88K

8 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 10-25 12:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

50% 82% -$1,842

Politics

47% 93% +$3,030

Tech

2% 50% -$398

Crypto

1% 100% +$1,109

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	+1,700	$1,388	97¢	$1.6K	+$257	10-01 09:03
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+700	$675	97¢	$676	+$2	10-25 03:43
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	+500	$430	90¢	$452	+$22	07-19 09:31
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	+400	$348	98¢	$390	+$42	07-01 12:33
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	+342	$313	96¢	$327	+$14	07-19 09:26
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$185	93¢	$185	+$1	10-25 12:49
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	+183	$115	84¢	$153	+$38	06-29 13:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+500	$402	11¢	$53	-$350	07-05 06:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	20	$5.1K	3,031	2,144	+887	No	+$28	06-01 05:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	12	$5.0K	4,400	4,400	+0	Yes	+$2,790	06-16 01:28
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	5	$3.4K	1,700	1,700	+0	Yes	+$14	05-30 14:24
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	6	$2.1K	2,100	400	+1,700	open	—	10-01 09:03
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	61	$2.1K	5,100	1,015	+4,085	No	-$1,235	06-24 13:15
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	13	$1.0K	1,100	175	+925	No	+$218	07-22 12:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$777	790	0	+790	No	+$13	05-31 12:52
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	9	$748	1,067	0	+1,067	Yes	-$381	06-24 23:08
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	3	$717	1,100	0	+1,100	Yes	-$717	07-20 13:49
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	6	$681	700	0	+700	Yes	+$19	06-22 17:08
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	7	$680	500	300	+200	Yes	+$66	07-17 16:15
Iran leadership change by May 31?	3	$675	683	0	+683	No	+$7	05-30 08:21
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$675	700	0	+700	open	—	10-25 03:43
will trump speak to xi jinping in june	8	$592	338	378	-40	No	+$48	06-21 15:31
will trump speak to kim jong un in june	6	$511	550	0	+550	No	+$39	06-15 13:31
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?	3	$506	520	0	+520	No	+$14	05-31 13:53
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	1	$430	500	0	+500	open	—	07-19 09:31
spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	7	$409	584	0	+584	No	-$409	06-11 21:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$402	500	0	+500	open	—	07-05 06:37
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	3	$379	400	0	+400	Yes	+$21	05-12 17:43
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	1	$348	400	0	+400	open	—	07-01 12:33
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	4	$344	380	0	+380	Yes	+$36	05-31 10:49
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?	5	$316	180	180	+0	Yes	+$8	06-02 15:25
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	1	$313	342	0	+342	open	—	07-19 09:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$308	200	200	+0	No	+$76	06-22 05:20
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$291	1,400	0	+1,400	No	+$1,109	06-01 12:45
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	3	$282	400	0	+400	Yes	-$282	06-02 23:23
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	7	$242	322	0	+322	No	+$80	06-30 05:17
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	2	$196	200	0	+200	Yes	+$4	05-16 04:10
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	5	$189	200	0	+200	No	+$11	08-04 02:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 12:49:15	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$185	0x2472e9…
10-25 03:43:48	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0xab524e…
10-01 09:03:03	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	76	93¢	$71	0xf2a04a…
09-28 17:17:17	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	324	93¢	$302	0x3cda1d…
09-28 06:38:41	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0x9f8511…
08-04 02:19:54	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0xf44814…
08-04 02:19:54	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x8b267a…
08-04 02:19:51	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	24	95¢	$22	0x9913e3…
08-03 18:58:26	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	102	95¢	$96	0xe54ffc…
08-01 08:47:09	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x29335a…
07-22 12:34:36	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	BUY	88	86¢	$76	0x6e4741…
07-22 12:29:18	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	BUY	312	86¢	$269	0x0a827d…
07-20 13:49:25	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	500	51¢	$255	0x9be192…
07-20 13:46:55	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	SELL	174	90¢	$157	0x7d0ded…
07-20 13:22:06	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xfc00ef…
07-20 13:22:03	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xe46e3b…
07-20 13:22:03	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x914eef…
07-20 13:22:03	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x7b0fbb…
07-20 13:22:03	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x1e87b6…
07-20 13:20:57	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xb678eb…
07-20 11:22:58	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x5080e5…
07-19 09:31:37	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0x6154f8…
07-19 09:26:25	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	342	91¢	$313	0x27f6bd…
07-17 16:15:58	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x91a3d1…
07-17 06:03:49	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xbf9097…
07-17 04:56:13	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0xfffc0b…
07-17 02:38:31	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	63	86¢	$54	0xe9fda6…
07-17 02:27:42	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	86¢	$32	0x8a4b34…
07-16 22:27:22	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x8606be…
07-15 14:34:19	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x438005…
07-15 12:48:01	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$143	0x8c44b4…
07-13 22:54:23	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x840746…
07-05 12:51:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x4233e6…
07-05 08:45:47	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x06af9a…
07-05 06:37:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xaca661…
07-01 12:33:25	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	400	87¢	$348	0xe772f1…
06-30 05:17:04	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	27	66¢	$17	0xeebc88…
06-30 05:17:04	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xe6f13a…
06-30 05:14:46	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x8df9e9…
06-30 05:12:01	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	72	66¢	$47	0xfda1d0…
06-29 13:52:49	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	183	63¢	$115	0x6a690e…
06-29 07:02:14	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	95	80¢	$76	0xe741a9…
06-29 06:56:25	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x4fc562…
06-29 06:56:07	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x053fea…
06-28 12:12:29	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xc8cb28…
06-28 05:37:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x01d1af…
06-26 20:11:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x120a29…
06-24 23:08:20	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	367	84¢	$308	0x6a3065…
06-24 13:24:20	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xf75b5b…
06-24 13:15:44	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	338	7¢	$24	0x3bddba…
06-24 13:11:34	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0x5ca216…
06-24 13:10:23	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	94	7¢	$7	0x2180eb…
06-24 09:20:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x055894…
06-23 12:01:43	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0xd12ee2…
06-23 11:51:58	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x8a81b6…
06-23 11:51:25	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x4e0c20…
06-23 00:54:02	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0xeac7a0…
06-23 00:24:22	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	53	19¢	$10	0x08230a…
06-23 00:19:41	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	32	19¢	$6	0x91d05f…
06-22 23:59:40	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	57	85¢	$49	0xf4fec5…
06-22 23:59:29	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	543	85¢	$462	0xd5b799…
06-22 22:57:44	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0xe40af2…
06-22 22:57:41	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x043c22…
06-22 22:15:34	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0xf30ef4…
06-22 22:15:34	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x344998…
06-22 22:10:19	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	327	19¢	$62	0x033514…
06-22 17:08:13	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xd2436f…
06-22 17:08:13	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	237	97¢	$231	0x876b43…
06-22 17:03:52	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x2d13cb…
06-22 16:32:50	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x2774df…
06-22 16:29:28	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xf2a5de…
06-22 16:26:40	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	97¢	$390	0x9cd4a1…
06-22 13:04:35	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	48	14¢	$7	0x48737f…
06-22 13:04:34	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0xec91ce…
06-22 13:04:26	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x71fb16…
06-22 13:04:26	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x4db5ee…
06-22 13:04:14	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0x265810…
06-22 13:03:53	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x02b002…
06-22 13:03:13	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	14¢	$4	0x35fdda…
06-22 13:02:49	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	48	14¢	$7	0xebb394…
06-22 13:00:07	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	68	14¢	$10	0x8dc404…
06-22 12:57:41	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	96	18¢	$17	0x8c6962…
06-22 12:57:26	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x6698df…
06-22 12:57:26	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	184	18¢	$33	0x2d25b5…
06-22 10:31:56	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	377	21¢	$79	0x207634…
06-22 10:21:52	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	356	25¢	$89	0xe58dd5…
06-22 10:18:50	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0xa08af2…
06-22 10:17:37	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0xd37e45…
06-22 09:52:05	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	176	56¢	$98	0x0878f6…
06-22 09:50:11	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	56¢	$21	0xad424d…
06-22 09:49:13	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	86	56¢	$48	0xc49c4c…
06-22 09:13:40	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	265	64¢	$169	0x3ad040…
06-22 09:13:16	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0xd90f63…
06-22 09:12:26	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	221	64¢	$142	0x136d51…
06-22 08:54:23	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	300	63¢	$189	0xef634e…
06-22 08:54:20	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x0e02b6…
06-22 08:45:40	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x869812…
06-22 08:44:46	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x3426f0…
06-22 08:42:49	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x35a04b…
06-22 08:42:32	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x8a0604…