Realized P&L
+$70
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
63.8%
Resolved
7
Trades
5,074
lifetime
Volume
$27.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$103
7 positions
First seen
2026-02-12
last 07-19 21:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
58% 75% +$98
Crypto
26%
Other
15% 0% $-28
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -117 $-100 72¢ $-84 +$16 07-12 15:35
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No -10 $-8 82¢ $-8 $-0 07-12 15:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -20 $-2 29¢ $-6 $-4 06-18 13:42
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-20 15:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 37¢ $0 $-0 06-18 13:42
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? Yes +0 $1 36¢ $0 $-1 07-12 15:32
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +0 $3 16¢ $0 $-3 07-12 10:37