Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
+$518
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
1,934
lifetime
Volume
$43.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$1.81K
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 07-20 09:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
52% 0% $-8
Politics
36%
Tech
12%
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +2,121 $375 26¢ $551 +$176 07-17 09:01
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1,347 $490 38¢ $512 +$22 07-16 22:36
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -6,300 $-400 $-205 +$196 06-02 22:11
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -2,872 $-253 $-187 +$67 07-04 20:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +450 $62 29¢ $128 +$67 06-22 21:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +200 $37 46¢ $93 +$56 06-25 15:10
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes -667 $-27 $-37 $-10 07-01 00:19
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -50 $-32 68¢ $-34 $-2 06-26 18:49
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? Yes +200 $21 10¢ $21 $-0 07-12 03:54
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +224 $39 $18 $-20 06-02 22:13
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026? Yes +118 $44 13¢ $15 $-29 06-06 04:00
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes +255 $15 $11 $-4 05-27 23:03
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes +17 $1 $1 $-0 06-02 15:09