Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
-$273
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
1,654
lifetime
Volume
$37.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$815
24 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 07-01 00:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
57% 0% $-8
Politics
38%
Tech
4%
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -6,300 $-400 $-243 +$158 06-02 22:11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +1,887 $323 10¢ $179 $-144 06-22 04:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +450 $62 15¢ $65 +$4 06-22 21:32
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -695 $-78 $-59 +$18 06-30 23:45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +8,245 $183 $37 $-145 06-18 05:15
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes -667 $-27 $-37 $-10 07-01 00:19
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026? Yes +118 $44 31¢ $36 $-8 06-06 04:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +50 $-40 70¢ $35 +$75 06-26 18:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +200 $37 18¢ $35 $-2 06-25 15:10
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -50 $-32 58¢ $-29 +$2 06-26 18:49
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +224 $39 $16 $-23 06-02 22:13
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes +255 $15 $14 $-1 05-27 23:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +15 $6 70¢ $10 +$4 06-25 15:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Yes +3,600 $42 $4 $-39 06-11 10:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Yes +3,000 $22 $3 $-19 06-12 06:42
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? Yes +2,342 $61 $2 $-59 06-01 10:41
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? Yes +2,253 $-101 $2 +$103 06-25 17:54
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? Yes +200 $18 $2 $-16 06-01 18:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes +1,500 $35 $2 $-34 05-30 05:30
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes +17 $1 $1 $-0 06-02 15:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes +961 $33 $1 $-32 06-09 23:42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes +916 $33 $1 $-32 06-05 20:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +756 $53 $1 $-52 06-11 18:06
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? Yes +500 $22 $0 $-21 06-02 23:41