Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 12?
open
Total volume
$166
$568 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$1,891
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 18:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+88.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $4
vs crowd: 12% YES on $143)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $13 | $126 | $114 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | $13 | $11 |
| Median | 11 | $7 | $34 | $26 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $22 | $22 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | $32 | $31 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | $6 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | No | +36 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-10 13:27 |
| Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 14:08 |
| Dental-Effectiveness 0x1831…6c99 | Yes | +25 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 04:03 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +15 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-10 22:41 |
| Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 13:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e5e…40fb | No | +14 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-11 03:39 |
| Colossal-Facet 0xaeaf…9ce1 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 11:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x17f2…adca | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 04:32 |
| Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 04:48 |
| Extroverted-Sidewalk 0xcca3…7450 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 10:58 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-11 13:19 |
| Sentimental-Naming 0x1efd…2cbd | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a35…bc44 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xc323…4408 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xaae3…f897 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 03:01 |
| Partial-Candidate 0xbbaa…88a2 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 12:29 |
| Awesome-Vengeance 0x5e2f…f9ba | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 12:17 |
| Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-10 07:38 |
| Memorable-Relaxation 0xaf13…eb99 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 14:44 |
| Defiant-Species 0xa7a3…7846 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 07:59 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 10:58 |
| Thankful-Witness 0xb00b…e0aa | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 03:34 |
| Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 12:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 18:57:56 | Stable-Safari 0xd34c…f04c | No | SELL | 21 | 88¢ | $19 | 0x3e133c… |
| 05-11 14:44:16 | Memorable-Relaxation 0xaf13…eb99 | No | BUY | 3 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xae7ed7… |
| 05-11 14:08:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 18 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x9e573b… |
| 05-11 14:08:12 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xd1d00f… |
| 05-11 14:01:55 | (anonymous) 0xc323…4408 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x56fed8… |
| 05-11 13:19:41 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x7996f8… |
| 05-11 13:19:41 | Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xa60433… |
| 05-11 13:19:31 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xe432fb… |
| 05-11 13:19:31 | Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x956129… |
| 05-11 12:49:48 | Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xdf5a81… |
| 05-11 12:29:35 | Partial-Candidate 0xbbaa…88a2 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x3ce11c… |
| 05-11 12:18:54 | Sentimental-Naming 0x1efd…2cbd | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x81e230… |
| 05-11 12:17:43 | Awesome-Vengeance 0x5e2f…f9ba | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x842bdd… |
| 05-11 05:29:14 | Single-Poultry 0xd33c…48bf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x08ee6b… |
| 05-11 04:48:48 | Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xeb6647… |
| 05-11 04:32:35 | (anonymous) 0x17f2…adca | No | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x33b9c9… |
| 05-11 04:03:38 | Dental-Effectiveness 0x1831…6c99 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 17¢ | $4 | 0xb32090… |
| 05-11 03:39:09 | (anonymous) 0x1e5e…40fb | No | BUY | 14 | 81¢ | $11 | 0xccec51… |
| 05-11 03:34:26 | Thankful-Witness 0xb00b…e0aa | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xd15055… |
| 05-11 03:01:18 | (anonymous) 0xaae3…f897 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xeb1662… |
| 05-10 22:41:50 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 15 | 81¢ | $12 | 0xd67335… |
| 05-10 14:01:54 | (anonymous) 0x3a35…bc44 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x8a3c6c… |
| 05-10 13:27:33 | Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | No | BUY | 36 | 88¢ | $32 | 0xebb170… |
| 05-10 11:15:29 | Colossal-Facet 0xaeaf…9ce1 | No | BUY | 13 | 79¢ | $10 | 0x3555d5… |
| 05-10 10:58:18 | Extroverted-Sidewalk 0xcca3…7450 | No | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x5f5243… |
| 05-10 10:58:18 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 2 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x39da83… |
| 05-10 07:59:46 | Defiant-Species 0xa7a3…7846 | No | BUY | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x65b5f3… |
| 05-10 07:38:04 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | BUY | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x11c4d9… |
| 05-10 07:22:30 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | BUY | 3 | 81¢ | $2 | 0x0bdc36… |
| 05-10 06:41:50 | Single-Poultry 0xd33c…48bf | Yes | BUY | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x7946c7… |