(anonymous) 0xd56e2f…a39457
new
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Realized P&L (30d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
—
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
41
41 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$263
$263 lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$252
29 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-11 13:54
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
98% — —
Politics
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes +625 $43 10¢ $63 +$20 05-11 07:39
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? No +58 $44 76¢ $44 $-0 05-11 10:12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes +525 $43 6¢ $34 $-8 05-11 10:26
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? No -33 $-19 56¢ $-19 +$0 05-11 10:51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 12? Yes +18 $10 57¢ $10 +$0 05-11 10:51
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 12? No +11 $7 66¢ $7 +$0 05-11 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 12? No -8 $-6 80¢ $-7 $-1 05-11 08:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12? Yes +28 $10 23¢ $6 $-3 05-11 10:30
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes +22 $4 24¢ $5 +$1 05-11 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 12? No -7 $-5 76¢ $-5 $-0 05-11 09:58
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes +467 $7 1¢ $5 $-2 05-11 13:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12? No +6 $5 80¢ $4 $-0 05-11 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 12? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 05-11 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12? No +4 $4 96¢ $4 +$0 05-11 10:37
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes +119 $5 3¢ $4 $-1 05-11 12:03
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12? Yes +10 $4 36¢ $3 $-0 05-11 10:12
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes +28 $3 12¢ $3 +$0 05-11 11:33
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 12? Yes -31 $-3 11¢ $-3 $-0 05-11 12:17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 12? No -5 $-4 64¢ $-3 +$0 05-11 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12? Yes +6 $3 45¢ $3 +$0 05-11 10:46
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 12? Yes +9 $2 28¢ $3 +$0 05-11 12:18
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12? Yes +3 $2 64¢ $2 +$0 05-11 10:51
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes -4 $-2 43¢ $-2 +$0 05-11 13:54
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 12? No -2 $-1 64¢ $-2 $-0 05-11 10:25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 12? No -3 $-1 47¢ $-1 $-0 05-11 11:33
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 12? Yes +9 $2 12¢ $1 $-1 05-11 11:33
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 12? Yes +9 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 05-11 10:50
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes -14 $-1 6¢ $-1 $-0 05-11 10:26
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 12? Yes +1 $0 22¢ $0 $-0 05-11 12:18