Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 13?
open
Total volume
$92
$1,832 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$303
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
77¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 07:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $14 | $14 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $15 | $15 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $45 | $7 | +$37 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $5 | $14 | $10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| Median | 7 | $10 | $12 | $2 |
| Below median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $13 | $4 | +$9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wee-Baseball 0xc67f…5115 | Yes | +34 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-12 21:05 |
| Exhausted-Tie 0x635a…cccb | Yes | +31 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 03:08 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | +30 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 05-13 04:13 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +24 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 23:08 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +17 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 05-13 01:07 |
| Extra-Large-Principal 0x6adf…b216 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 00:07 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 07:39 |
| Outrageous-Kendo 0xf585…aae1 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 09:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e65…1c87 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 05:43 |
| Awesome-Vengeance 0x5e2f…f9ba | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 23:07 |
| Whole-Jodhpurs 0x6760…6409 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 10:17 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 02:59 |
| Spherical-Poppy 0xae8f…c820 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 03:58 |
| Fancy-Outset 0x6a32…cab6 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 06:56 |
| Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:46 |
| Memorable-Relaxation 0xaf13…eb99 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 16:32 |
| Insidious-Stem 0xb7b1…ef08 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 13:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 07:39:44 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xbab41f… |
| 05-13 07:39:44 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 11 | 79¢ | $9 | 0xe2e5cf… |
| 05-13 06:56:25 | Fancy-Outset 0x6a32…cab6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x4bb42f… |
| 05-13 04:13:57 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x7cf902… |
| 05-13 03:58:25 | Spherical-Poppy 0xae8f…c820 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xb14197… |
| 05-13 03:11:24 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x74ab25… |
| 05-13 03:08:04 | Exhausted-Tie 0x635a…cccb | Yes | BUY | 31 | 27¢ | $8 | 0x55940d… |
| 05-13 01:07:44 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xb5339f… |
| 05-13 00:57:49 | Corrupt-Drawing 0xd2e5…6fe6 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x3dde46… |
| 05-13 00:11:23 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xb54615… |
| 05-12 22:11:11 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x24f704… |
| 05-12 21:05:56 | Wee-Baseball 0xc67f…5115 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 35¢ | $10 | 0x471ad1… |
| 05-12 16:32:12 | Memorable-Relaxation 0xaf13…eb99 | No | BUY | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xe59f54… |
| 05-12 16:06:55 | Wee-Baseball 0xc67f…5115 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xa9186f… |
| 05-12 15:03:13 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x751f30… |
| 05-12 13:52:14 | Insidious-Stem 0xb7b1…ef08 | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x4b4daf… |
| 05-12 10:17:32 | Whole-Jodhpurs 0x6760…6409 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x165e21… |
| 05-12 02:59:04 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x851e69… |
| 05-12 02:57:40 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x0cc7bc… |
| 05-12 00:07:45 | Extra-Large-Principal 0x6adf…b216 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x1f1890… |
| 05-11 23:38:33 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x39dbec… |
| 05-11 23:21:17 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xc93243… |
| 05-11 23:13:37 | Fond-Warmth 0xef98…b586 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xf3e2c7… |
| 05-11 23:08:01 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 24 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x40ce45… |
| 05-11 23:07:41 | Awesome-Vengeance 0x5e2f…f9ba | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x4b450d… |
| 05-11 13:55:57 | Sparkling-Interject 0xc9de…81d9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x38ccb1… |
| 05-11 10:46:43 | Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x6027ec… |
| 05-11 09:14:57 | Outrageous-Kendo 0xf585…aae1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x1e42fb… |
| 05-11 05:43:59 | (anonymous) 0x6e65…1c87 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x296c01… |
| 05-11 05:33:35 | Sparkling-Interject 0xc9de…81d9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xb6f99c… |