Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$111
$758 in 24h
Trades
23
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$2,434
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
77¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 10:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $5 | $74 | $70 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $24 | $24 |
| Median | 4 | — | $13 | $13 |
| Below median | 10 | $5 | $26 | $21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peppery-Plunger 0x58aa…3112 | Yes | +45 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 05:12 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-11 00:39 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +12 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 09:58 |
| Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 04:49 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 00:39 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 07:11 |
| Ripe-Chives 0x4ecd…36fd | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 07:06 |
| Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 00:39 |
| Scary-Peacoat 0xab88…ca75 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 10:43 |
| Criminal-Uncertainty 0x87a2…2250 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 00:39 |
| Pointed-Hazel 0x9770…d57d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 00:39 |
| Kooky-Barn 0xf075…3f43 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 00:39 |
| Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 00:39 |
| Electric-Usher 0x9d0c…dff2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 00:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 10:43:04 | Scary-Peacoat 0xab88…ca75 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x90844f… |
| 05-11 09:58:28 | (anonymous) 0xd56e…9457 | No | SELL | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x153bee… |
| 05-11 09:58:26 | Awesome-Vengeance 0x5e2f…f9ba | Yes | SELL | 8 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x79f804… |
| 05-11 09:58:14 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 23¢ | $14 | 0x885b8b… |
| 05-11 09:58:11 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 24¢ | $3 | 0xeff5fd… |
| 05-11 09:58:11 | Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | Yes | SELL | 3 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x43a97c… |
| 05-11 05:12:36 | Peppery-Plunger 0x58aa…3112 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x87e351… |
| 05-11 04:49:08 | Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xb7e489… |
| 05-11 01:24:51 | Peppery-Plunger 0x58aa…3112 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4e3e66… |
| 05-11 00:40:01 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x5a0a37… |
| 05-11 00:39:52 | Kooky-Barn 0xf075…3f43 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xd4ff5e… |
| 05-11 00:39:49 | Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x4b4085… |
| 05-11 00:39:49 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xc33864… |
| 05-11 00:39:49 | Criminal-Uncertainty 0x87a2…2250 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x470978… |
| 05-11 00:39:49 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x34da52… |
| 05-11 00:39:49 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xd3f099… |
| 05-11 00:39:49 | Electric-Usher 0x9d0c…dff2 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc7f5b3… |
| 05-11 00:39:49 | Pointed-Hazel 0x9770…d57d | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x46fc9e… |
| 05-11 00:39:49 | Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x4aafea… |
| 05-11 00:01:34 | Elated-Cactus 0xd1a7…2bdc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1153ed… |
| 05-10 08:43:30 | Ripe-Chives 0x4ecd…36fd | Yes | SELL | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaf1c3e… |
| 05-10 07:11:28 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xf43c8c… |
| 05-10 07:06:31 | Ripe-Chives 0x4ecd…36fd | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xf35995… |