Rash-Theory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$679

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

2,196

Trades

9,511

lifetime

Volume

$48.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-11 06:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

97% 47% -$535

Crypto

3% 45% -$153

Politics

0% 67% +$9

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 24?	15	$228	165	165	+0	No	+$102	05-24 06:33
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 40-41°F on May 6?	13	$169	132	132	+0	No	+$95	05-07 04:59
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on May 26?	7	$166	120	120	+0	No	+$74	05-26 08:46
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?	7	$164	119	119	+0	No	+$73	05-30 07:33
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on May 29?	14	$164	119	119	+0	No	+$73	05-29 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on May 29?	11	$164	119	119	+0	No	+$73	05-29 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?	10	$164	119	119	+0	No	+$73	05-29 09:09
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 17?	7	$140	106	106	+0	No	+$71	05-17 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 21?	10	$136	103	101	+2	No	+$65	05-21 20:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 5?	10	$131	106	106	+0	No	+$81	05-05 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 2?	11	$130	103	103	+0	No	+$76	05-02 16:52
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 5?	12	$128	98	98	+0	No	+$68	05-05 17:39
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 2?	11	$125	99	99	+0	No	+$73	05-02 07:26
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 24?	8	$113	78	78	+0	No	+$43	05-24 06:33
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 6?	10	$109	78	78	+0	No	+$47	05-06 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 25?	5	$104	57	90	-33	No	+$43	04-25 12:19
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 22?	7	$100	72	72	+0	No	+$43	05-22 07:56
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 6?	8	$98	78	78	+0	No	+$54	05-06 23:15
highest temperature in moscow on april 24 2026 4c	7	$98	42	84	-42	No	+$28	04-24 13:56
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 17c	4	$95	46	91	-45	No	+$30	04-23 07:52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?	10	$94	70	70	+0	No	+$44	05-05 21:22
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on May 2?	8	$91	70	70	+0	No	+$48	05-02 11:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 29?	5	$90	65	65	+0	No	+$40	05-29 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 30?	4	$89	64	64	+0	No	+$39	05-31 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?	5	$89	64	64	+0	No	+$39	05-30 07:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 30?	5	$89	64	64	+0	No	+$39	05-30 07:33
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on May 30?	7	$89	64	64	+0	No	+$39	05-31 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 31?	4	$89	64	64	+0	No	+$39	05-31 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 30?	5	$89	64	64	+0	No	+$39	05-31 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 30?	6	$89	64	64	+0	No	+$39	05-31 07:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 06:40:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb6eaff…
06-11 06:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x1459ed…
06-11 06:30:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2af6c8…
06-11 06:25:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x1f329f…
06-11 05:55:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x880080…
06-11 05:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2f2581…
06-11 05:45:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x6b2961…
06-11 05:40:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xb55afe…
06-11 05:35:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xbf41a5…
06-11 05:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x0f94bf…
06-11 05:10:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xf40c29…
06-11 04:55:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x92103d…
06-11 04:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe6c46c…
06-11 04:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x44bce6…
06-11 04:30:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xfa3aed…
06-11 04:15:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x0725e7…
06-11 03:55:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf86fcd…
06-11 03:45:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xecb8ef…
06-11 03:40:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x728692…
06-11 03:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xac2eda…
06-11 03:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xc8196e…
06-11 02:51:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xbd63b5…
06-11 02:41:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x96d209…
06-11 02:20:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x192940…
06-11 02:05:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x9e1d22…
06-11 02:01:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xe33128…
06-11 01:55:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xf3f5bd…
06-11 01:45:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x54564d…
06-11 01:41:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x5e4949…
06-11 01:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x020c54…
06-11 01:25:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xcdbb83…
06-11 01:20:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x1bb8ee…
06-11 01:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xc3312c…
06-11 01:10:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x4054d5…
06-11 01:05:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf633f4…
06-11 01:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc40161…
06-11 00:55:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x2f2a9d…
06-11 00:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x8d1097…
06-11 00:45:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xebfcac…
06-11 00:35:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x291389…
06-11 00:10:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x00ed25…
06-11 00:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa67f10…
06-10 23:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1b5aea…
06-10 23:35:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xc8ce32…
06-10 23:30:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x6246be…
06-10 23:25:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x038080…
06-10 23:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x92315d…
06-10 23:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x3a77e9…
06-10 22:55:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xec2678…
06-10 22:45:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x8ed5a4…
06-10 22:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xc5df24…
06-10 22:10:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xfb7f15…
06-10 22:05:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x67353b…
06-10 21:51:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	68	12¢	$8	0xbdea85…
06-10 21:41:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xee574f…
06-10 21:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5cf86d…
06-10 21:25:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xdb50f8…
06-10 21:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xa5ef95…
06-10 21:10:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x620e91…
06-10 21:06:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x649949…
06-10 21:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x791f31…
06-10 20:30:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xe04a0e…
06-10 20:10:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xbca527…
06-10 19:55:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x15d0cc…
06-10 19:45:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xced1ee…
06-10 19:40:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xc10d77…
06-10 19:20:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x19fb2d…
06-10 19:10:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xdec9d2…
06-10 18:55:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xf8cb61…
06-10 18:35:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x69c519…
06-10 18:05:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa1a017…
06-10 17:50:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x75dd2a…
06-10 17:45:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xcd600c…
06-10 17:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x1c6901…
06-10 17:10:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf9bf9f…
06-10 17:05:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x92382d…
06-10 16:50:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x02a21c…
06-10 16:40:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb1863d…
06-10 16:10:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x5dfa34…
06-10 16:05:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x96f4dd…
06-10 15:55:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xc612f0…
06-10 15:35:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x1a12b3…
06-10 15:20:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x5714da…
06-10 15:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x41c477…
06-10 14:45:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x17cfd8…
06-10 14:35:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xbc59bb…
06-10 14:30:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8760cd…
06-10 14:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7127fa…
06-10 13:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x691783…
06-10 13:35:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x9705f9…
06-10 13:31:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd42cc3…
06-10 13:25:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x0c985d…
06-10 12:50:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7eee65…
06-10 12:40:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x39e702…
06-10 12:31:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	195	4¢	$8	0x5dce9d…
06-10 12:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9f8f25…
06-10 12:16:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x3d2010…
06-10 11:50:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xdadf68…
06-10 11:30:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xa27eb3…
06-10 11:01:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x03e622…