Yawning-Casement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$200

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,115

lifetime

Volume

$9.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 05-11 18:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 34% $-201

Other

2% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 982 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	55	$304	595	+595	Down	$-19	05-11 04:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	66	$291	604	+604	open	—	04-27 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	45	$285	561	+561	open	—	04-27 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	44	$283	563	+563	open	—	04-27 20:02
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	35	$282	541	+541	open	—	04-27 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	46	$266	522	+522	Down	+$0	05-11 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	71	$230	465	+465	open	—	05-04 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	47	$224	454	+454	open	—	04-27 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	44	$217	422	+422	Down	+$11	05-11 04:29
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	48	$216	409	+409	open	—	04-27 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	33	$212	403	+403	Down	$-4	05-11 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	37	$210	419	+419	open	—	04-27 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	43	$207	401	+401	open	—	05-04 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	24	$190	350	+350	Down	$-3	05-11 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	26	$188	365	+365	Up	$-2	05-11 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	39	$186	366	+366	open	—	04-27 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	36	$182	369	+369	Down	+$28	05-11 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	40	$170	328	+328	Down	$-3	05-10 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	35	$153	314	+314	Up	$-2	05-11 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	14	$148	291	+291	open	—	04-27 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	30	$148	353	+353	Down	$-28	05-11 05:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	26	$142	308	+308	open	—	04-27 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	25	$135	283	+283	open	—	04-27 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	28	$132	270	+270	Up	+$6	05-11 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	27	$131	300	+300	Up	$-31	05-11 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	28	$131	273	+273	Up	$-13	05-11 18:21
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	28	$124	234	+234	open	—	04-27 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	29	$124	239	+239	open	—	05-04 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	26	$121	230	+230	Down	+$4	05-11 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	37	$114	223	+223	Up	$-8	05-11 00:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 18:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x56851a…
05-11 18:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x08e65f…
05-11 18:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x049e10…
05-11 18:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xedba57…
05-11 18:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x96f726…
05-11 18:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x157927…
05-11 18:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x150d09…
05-11 18:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	27	61¢	$16	0xe1403d…
05-11 18:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xf0fcfc…
05-11 18:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x394d10…
05-11 18:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xe43bf5…
05-11 18:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x9c90a1…
05-11 18:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xdccc10…
05-11 18:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x6922d8…
05-11 18:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	67¢	$15	0xec5aa3…
05-11 18:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xeda610…
05-11 18:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xe1307d…
05-11 18:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0x7f1b56…
05-11 18:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd607e2…
05-11 18:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x904b8c…
05-11 18:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x38e46c…
05-11 18:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x32fcf4…
05-11 18:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xb8cc85…
05-11 18:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x5806f3…
05-11 18:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x547756…
05-11 18:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0x52dd72…
05-11 18:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xba945c…
05-11 18:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xf998fb…
05-11 18:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0xc9a478…
05-11 18:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x322eb7…
05-11 18:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xae8d38…
05-11 18:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x5bd9c8…
05-11 18:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xd32cf1…
05-11 18:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x500a3c…
05-11 18:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x2499bf…
05-11 18:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0x90b242…
05-11 18:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x12d560…
05-11 18:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0x1eaa38…
05-11 18:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0xb24c32…
05-11 18:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	76¢	$21	0x4fff8e…
05-11 18:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb7fd6e…
05-11 18:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0485c4…
05-11 18:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xd497ba…
05-11 18:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xd163f3…
05-11 18:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0bda45…
05-11 18:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x6e680f…
05-11 18:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xdcffc0…
05-11 18:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xc99504…
05-11 18:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0xd77efa…
05-11 18:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	58¢	$16	0x16191f…
05-11 18:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xf2662a…
05-11 18:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7abcfd…
05-11 18:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0xfee0be…
05-11 18:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x39144b…
05-11 18:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xafa5e2…
05-11 18:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x946ecd…
05-11 18:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x464fce…
05-11 18:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xd4f6b7…
05-11 18:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	70¢	$18	0x8805f8…
05-11 18:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0xf8e80e…
05-11 18:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x7a6d2c…
05-11 18:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	83¢	$22	0xa25574…
05-11 18:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x916cc6…
05-11 18:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8d7a78…
05-11 18:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0x05ace5…
05-11 18:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x9e65a1…
05-11 18:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x93d832…
05-11 18:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x83d944…
05-11 18:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	34¢	$9	0xab6991…
05-11 18:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0xce9036…
05-11 18:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	32¢	$5	0xa2385f…
05-11 18:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x913b38…
05-11 18:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x126b79…
05-11 18:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x084c75…
05-11 18:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xbc5d8a…
05-11 18:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x00dd77…
05-11 18:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x9dcc07…
05-11 18:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x68227a…
05-11 18:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0x1728e9…
05-11 18:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	65¢	$0	0x009814…
05-11 18:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x767cb3…
05-11 18:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x976ef8…
05-11 18:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0871ed…
05-11 18:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x2d04c0…
05-11 18:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x640899…
05-11 18:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc0af5f…
05-11 18:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xbd4bd7…
05-11 18:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xdc7f2f…
05-11 18:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0xaed933…
05-11 18:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x6e85aa…
05-11 18:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x35eee5…
05-11 18:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x03d40e…
05-11 18:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	46¢	$7	0x71b345…
05-11 18:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x6038e7…
05-11 18:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x54f871…
05-11 18:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xfe9f07…
05-11 18:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xb06508…
05-11 18:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x9ab6af…
05-11 18:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	44¢	$7	0xf187ad…
05-11 18:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x85360e…