Ancient-Phenomenon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.84K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

539

Trades

5,326

lifetime

Volume

$68.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 06-05 15:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 52% $-1,843

Other

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 527 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	53	$798	632	523	+110	open	—	05-04 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	11	$679	572	402	+170	open	—	05-04 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	21	$631	545	412	+133	Down	+$169	05-11 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	10	$599	464	391	+73	open	—	05-04 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	30	$533	477	210	+267	Up	+$43	05-11 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	11	$527	772	60	+712	Up	+$302	05-11 13:14
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 26?	25	$484	575	330	+245	open	—	04-26 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	15	$452	522	522	+0	Down	+$392	05-12 12:34
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 25?	12	$448	513	161	+352	open	—	04-25 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	3	$436	286	271	+15	Down	+$93	05-05 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	8	$432	336	237	+98	open	—	05-04 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	17	$406	512	221	+290	open	—	05-04 02:23
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on April 25?	13	$405	223	221	+2	open	—	04-25 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	11	$391	592	0	+592	Down	$-391	05-11 17:54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 25?	38	$389	4,705	0	+4,705	open	—	04-25 20:13
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 25?	25	$388	251	186	+65	open	—	04-25 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	8	$385	659	0	+659	Up	$-385	05-05 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	22	$348	254	206	+48	open	—	05-04 03:23
highest temperature in warsaw on april 24 2026 17c	14	$344	242	236	+6	open	—	04-25 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	15	$338	239	203	+36	open	—	05-04 06:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$338	195	195	+0	Up	+$47	05-06 17:25
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 25?	28	$337	216	171	+44	open	—	04-25 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	21	$332	232	199	+33	Up	+$45	05-05 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	34	$330	0	347	-347	open	—	05-04 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 25?	8	$326	435	77	+357	open	—	04-25 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	6	$300	197	168	+29	Down	+$48	05-05 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	13	$297	191	170	+22	open	—	05-04 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	22	$295	289	156	+133	Down	+$116	05-05 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	9	$288	214	182	+33	Down	+$66	05-05 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	12	$283	298	225	+73	open	—	05-03 20:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 15:42:36	btc updown 5m 1780674000	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xeaa01b…
06-05 14:02:34	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x25a350…
06-04 21:41:51	btc updown 5m 1780609200	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x5e012d…
06-04 18:52:36	btc updown 5m 1780599000	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x50e448…
06-04 12:12:37	btc updown 5m 1780575000	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xb80c9d…
06-04 10:32:36	btc updown 5m 1780569000	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x4a8e1f…
06-04 06:02:36	btc updown 5m 1780552800	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xa6b175…
06-04 00:47:21	btc updown 15m 1780533900	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xdc728a…
06-04 00:24:46	btc updown 15m 1780532100	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xdf37bc…
06-03 23:55:52	btc updown 15m 1780530300	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xb20669…
06-03 19:42:36	btc updown 5m 1780515600	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x5c053c…
06-03 16:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xb5cd53…
06-03 16:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x8678e3…
06-03 14:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xf675fd…
06-03 14:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x4a8cc0…
06-03 13:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xb90c17…
06-03 01:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xdc485f…
06-02 22:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x4768e3…
06-02 22:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x02865b…
06-02 22:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0f87f9…
06-02 22:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x25011c…
06-02 20:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x7c53f3…
06-02 19:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf91b7f…
06-02 19:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x34310f…
06-02 19:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf39c99…
06-02 15:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x9722b7…
06-02 15:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x6821be…
06-02 15:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xb68981…
06-02 15:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x274644…
06-02 14:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc8d578…
06-02 14:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x45ef1e…
06-02 14:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x05ab74…
06-02 13:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0xdca01d…
06-02 13:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x132330…
06-02 10:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xece855…
06-02 08:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x95b3fc…
06-02 08:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x7c4b31…
06-02 08:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x8b6b45…
06-02 08:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x0e411a…
06-02 07:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x4f5add…
06-02 07:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xbe59a4…
06-02 06:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xe65b76…
06-02 03:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x9d1259…
06-02 02:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xb9dd7d…
06-02 02:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb9e32e…
06-02 01:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xdf813e…
06-02 01:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x34ede8…
06-02 00:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x2d38f8…
06-02 00:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x2da8ad…
06-01 23:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x5fddfa…
06-01 19:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x041998…
06-01 17:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xe4a5d1…
06-01 16:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xaa4803…
06-01 15:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xf75579…
06-01 14:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x9c7a22…
06-01 14:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x0a8926…
06-01 14:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xe4f7d3…
06-01 13:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xcafcb9…
06-01 13:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xbbf0b0…
06-01 13:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xcd8265…
06-01 12:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x9e25e0…
06-01 10:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xdd958d…
06-01 09:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0x9959d9…
06-01 09:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xc07692…
06-01 08:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x6f3dc2…
06-01 08:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x970003…
06-01 04:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x77156e…
06-01 04:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x24ef10…
06-01 01:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x2750e2…
05-31 23:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x352146…
05-31 18:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf6afe1…
05-31 18:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x4f4b9b…
05-31 17:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x64ee2f…
05-31 15:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe0ac86…
05-31 07:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x3bfdf2…
05-31 05:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x9df506…
05-31 05:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	70¢	$11	0x53d1d2…
05-31 04:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0e8a62…
05-31 03:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb5eb78…
05-30 23:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x6209c4…
05-30 23:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0x296803…
05-30 23:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0x00e650…
05-30 18:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x760e61…
05-30 16:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xdd3046…
05-30 15:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x985e23…
05-30 14:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x074508…
05-30 13:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xa85038…
05-30 12:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf80e21…
05-30 08:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x907dbd…
05-29 23:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xde45a4…
05-29 23:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x388723…
05-29 22:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8ff8cd…
05-29 20:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x62e979…
05-29 19:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x4c5264…
05-29 19:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xcab5c4…
05-29 19:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$3	0x18010f…
05-29 18:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xcfd9d3…
05-29 18:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x833a9e…
05-29 17:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x230fc3…
05-29 15:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x265d78…