Ancient-Phenomenon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.05K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

2,452

Trades

6,875

lifetime

Volume

$83.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 06-24 14:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 51% -$1,453

Other

28% 62% -$598

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	53	$798	632	523	+110	Down	+$249	05-04 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	27	$752	647	634	+13	Down	+$452	05-04 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	11	$679	572	402	+170	Down	+$142	05-04 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	21	$631	545	412	+133	Down	+$169	05-11 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	10	$599	464	391	+73	Down	+$217	05-04 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	30	$533	477	210	+267	Up	+$43	05-11 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	11	$527	772	60	+712	Up	+$302	05-11 13:14
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 16?	51	$501	335	331	+3	No	+$152	05-17 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	40	$498	572	347	+224	Down	+$362	05-04 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 26?	25	$484	575	330	+245	Yes	+$355	04-26 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	15	$452	522	522	+0	Down	+$392	05-12 12:34
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 25?	12	$448	513	161	+352	Yes	-$132	04-25 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	3	$436	286	271	+15	Down	+$93	05-05 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	8	$432	336	237	+98	Down	+$55	05-04 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	17	$406	512	221	+290	Down	+$138	05-04 02:23
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on April 25?	13	$405	223	221	+2	No	-$3	04-25 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	11	$391	592	0	+592	Down	-$391	05-11 17:54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 25?	38	$389	4,705	0	+4,705	No	-$389	04-25 20:13
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 25?	25	$388	251	186	+65	No	+$12	04-25 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	8	$385	659	0	+659	Up	-$385	05-05 13:44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 15?	21	$364	321	232	+89	No	+$180	05-15 22:55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 4?	9	$350	326	326	+0	No	-$3	05-04 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	22	$348	254	206	+48	Down	+$59	05-04 03:23
highest temperature in warsaw on april 24 2026 17c	14	$344	242	236	+6	Yes	+$97	04-25 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	15	$338	239	203	+36	Down	+$62	05-04 06:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$338	195	195	+0	Up	+$47	05-06 17:25
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 25?	28	$337	216	171	+44	No	+$15	04-25 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	21	$332	232	199	+33	Up	+$45	05-05 02:14
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 25?	8	$326	435	77	+357	No	-$105	04-25 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	6	$300	197	168	+29	Down	+$48	05-05 08:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 14:13:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x605757…
06-24 14:03:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3faf1c…
06-24 13:13:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcf725f…
06-24 02:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?	No	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0x003b0b…
06-23 14:33:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x845adc…
06-23 13:42:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xef0226…
06-23 12:53:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa392be…
06-23 11:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 23?	No	BUY	24	60¢	$15	0x615868…
06-23 07:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 23?	No	SELL	24	94¢	$23	0xcb6321…
06-23 06:21:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0bee75…
06-23 00:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 23?	No	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x679f5b…
06-22 15:52:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x537814…
06-22 07:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 22?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0xd9ef33…
06-22 01:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 22?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x295f60…
06-22 01:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 22?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xb86e0e…
06-22 01:40:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 22?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x19c6e7…
06-22 01:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 22?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x2083d7…
06-21 23:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 21?	No	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xf0d6d4…
06-21 23:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 21?	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x5fe82b…
06-21 22:32:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x164e16…
06-21 05:57:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 21?	No	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0xd4d8b8…
06-21 05:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 21?	No	BUY	23	58¢	$14	0x4dc47d…
06-21 05:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 21?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xda8be9…
06-20 19:17:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 20?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0xef6c3c…
06-20 14:51:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xee16f5…
06-20 11:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 20?	No	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0xb1b7c9…
06-20 06:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?	No	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0x7c2900…
06-20 06:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?	No	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x7fd0a7…
06-20 06:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x325825…
06-20 04:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 20?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0x434473…
06-20 04:31:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 20?	No	BUY	25	50¢	$13	0x1ac216…
06-19 11:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 19?	No	BUY	23	58¢	$14	0x965fc6…
06-19 06:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?	No	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x77a231…
06-18 16:33:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xed633c…
06-18 15:41:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa938f5…
06-18 15:23:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x644563…
06-18 15:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?	No	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0xa00997…
06-18 05:24:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?	No	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0xab1575…
06-18 04:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?	No	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0x1e2a88…
06-18 02:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?	No	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x1e3451…
06-17 19:43:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x708c8f…
06-17 19:32:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x93cf3b…
06-17 18:32:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf38adb…
06-17 18:01:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd33c9b…
06-17 08:32:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x12e6c9…
06-17 06:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 17?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xd5c3ec…
06-17 06:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 17?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x6b344c…
06-17 06:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 17?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xdc827f…
06-17 02:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?	No	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0xca4246…
06-17 02:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xeb47d4…
06-17 02:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x88c555…
06-17 00:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 17?	No	BUY	23	61¢	$14	0x953c42…
06-16 23:49:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 16?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0x6800ac…
06-16 11:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 16?	No	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x1fb8fb…
06-16 04:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 16?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xe5f220…
06-16 04:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 16?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x2cab52…
06-16 02:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 16?	No	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0x5a0a41…
06-16 01:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0xfc7f0f…
06-15 21:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 15?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x9a5a46…
06-15 11:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 15?	No	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0xa925e6…
06-15 03:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 15?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xe3679a…
06-15 03:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 15?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x88878c…
06-15 03:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x1ab933…
06-12 05:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12?	No	BUY	59	47¢	$28	0x3ffe5c…
06-12 05:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 12?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xfd6fab…
06-12 01:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12?	No	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xdd2110…
06-12 01:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12?	No	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x8b5302…
06-12 01:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12?	No	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x7bc45d…
06-12 01:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3be62a…
06-12 01:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12?	No	BUY	38	51¢	$20	0xc6952e…
06-12 01:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x46349b…
06-12 00:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 12?	No	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x400ee0…
06-11 22:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 11?	No	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0x7db7fa…
06-11 19:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 11?	No	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0x5e31b3…
06-11 19:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 11?	No	BUY	46	45¢	$21	0x54f379…
06-11 16:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 11?	No	BUY	46	59¢	$27	0x516055…
06-11 16:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 11?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6d47dd…
06-11 13:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x598712…
06-11 13:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x503ca3…
06-11 12:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 11?	No	BUY	56	51¢	$28	0x03ed0c…
06-11 12:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 11?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xd8ec7b…
06-11 08:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?	No	BUY	1	58¢	$0	0x05d39b…
06-11 08:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x3feaec…
06-11 08:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x134201…
06-11 08:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa40b9d…
06-11 08:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6e68d0…
06-11 08:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6d7248…
06-11 08:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xad54df…
06-11 08:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x81c6b4…
06-11 08:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x594d8a…
06-11 08:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x58807f…
06-11 08:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x2a4e59…
06-11 06:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 11?	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x608d21…
06-11 04:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 11?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x32344e…
06-11 02:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11?	No	BUY	47	58¢	$27	0xda56e4…
06-11 01:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 11?	No	BUY	43	66¢	$29	0xab3d51…
06-10 10:16:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xc06b3e…
06-10 10:16:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?	No	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x568d06…
06-10 10:15:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?	No	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x9548ae…
06-10 10:02:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xb62b9f…