Merry-Pressurisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$313

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

1,567

Trades

4,292

lifetime

Volume

$211.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 10-29 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 217 days

Categories

Other

100% 87% -$310

Crypto

0% 86% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 4?	3	$3.0K	1,498	1,498	+0	Yes	+$33	09-05 03:08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 15?	10	$2.9K	1,449	1,449	+0	Yes	+$35	09-16 02:42
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 19?	4	$2.8K	1,431	1,431	+0	Yes	+$31	09-20 04:13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18?	18	$2.8K	1,430	1,430	+0	Yes	+$34	09-19 05:48
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 30?	5	$2.4K	1,225	1,225	+0	Yes	+$45	08-31 05:10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 21?	5	$2.2K	1,094	1,094	+0	Yes	+$30	09-22 04:27
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 31?	4	$2.1K	1,054	1,054	+0	Yes	+$39	09-01 02:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?	6	$2.0K	1,021	1,021	+0	Yes	+$19	09-22 09:48
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 24?	7	$2.0K	994	994	+0	Yes	+$26	08-25 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 30?	2	$1.9K	949	949	+0	Yes	+$28	08-30 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 8?	8	$1.8K	888	888	-0	Yes	+$17	09-09 04:34
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 11?	2	$1.7K	868	868	+0	Yes	+$16	08-12 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 12?	5	$1.7K	850	850	+0	Yes	+$25	10-12 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 29?	4	$1.6K	802	802	+0	Yes	+$21	08-30 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 4?	2	$1.5K	774	774	+0	Yes	+$23	08-05 04:32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 5?	6	$1.5K	756	756	+0	Yes	+$16	09-06 01:21
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 28?	5	$1.5K	751	751	+0	Yes	+$14	08-28 22:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 31?	3	$1.5K	749	749	+0	Yes	+$13	08-31 10:43
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 3?	9	$1.4K	715	715	+0	Yes	+$14	08-04 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 9?	24	$1.4K	710	710	+0	Yes	+$15	09-10 01:42
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 2?	4	$1.4K	701	701	+0	Yes	+$23	09-03 01:51
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6?	2	$1.3K	670	670	+0	Yes	+$17	08-07 03:20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?	4	$1.3K	669	669	+0	Yes	+$6	08-01 10:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?	6	$1.3K	663	663	+0	Yes	+$12	07-31 12:54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 22?	6	$1.3K	648	648	+0	Yes	+$13	08-23 02:28
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 12?	9	$1.3K	646	646	+0	Yes	+$13	09-13 03:07
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 26?	8	$1.2K	617	617	+0	Yes	+$15	08-27 03:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?	31	$1.2K	594	594	+0	Yes	+$18	07-06 10:27
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 3?	4	$1.2K	591	591	+0	Yes	+$17	09-04 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 28?	14	$1.2K	589	589	+0	Yes	+$19	07-29 04:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 04:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5f7e35…
10-29 22:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x76c5ec…
10-28 19:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9e71bd…
10-28 19:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xccf254…
10-28 19:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf4ac18…
10-28 17:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x513783…
10-28 17:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3d2c7b…
10-28 16:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x177d40…
10-28 15:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0e911e…
10-28 13:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbf4146…
10-28 11:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x83195f…
10-28 11:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2028d5…
10-28 11:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1e06cd…
10-28 11:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe6ab34…
10-28 11:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x63ed64…
10-28 10:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x95d21d…
10-28 10:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x85a03e…
10-28 10:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xed81dc…
10-28 10:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc07058…
10-28 10:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc9414c…
10-28 10:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x04b702…
10-28 10:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5978b6…
10-28 09:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe0d9cc…
10-28 09:18:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd3f83d…
10-28 08:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa00c65…
10-28 08:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6401a9…
10-28 06:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc304e1…
10-28 06:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdd72fa…
10-28 06:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa37fa8…
10-28 05:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x983316…
10-28 03:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2d8cea…
10-27 22:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa97510…
10-27 22:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0b716b…
10-27 21:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3cb6f6…
10-27 20:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3e7346…
10-27 18:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdcba92…
10-27 17:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc7bb40…
10-27 17:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x195ada…
10-27 06:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5ef11a…
10-27 06:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8d5aa5…
10-27 05:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcddc59…
10-27 05:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6f7391…
10-27 04:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf3f5ad…
10-27 04:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x429115…
10-27 03:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa388e0…
10-27 02:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9227da…
10-27 01:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xea2692…
10-27 01:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x661c39…
10-27 00:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xdbe50f…
10-27 00:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x51781c…
10-27 00:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa40ed3…
10-26 23:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4dcf17…
10-26 23:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7b186d…
10-26 23:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x118096…
10-26 22:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9eb2c4…
10-26 22:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6295c2…
10-26 22:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9a62af…
10-26 22:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x182cb9…
10-26 22:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x90edae…
10-26 21:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x55c148…
10-26 21:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9cbfca…
10-26 21:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x773c3a…
10-26 21:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x44f017…
10-26 21:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x42aebb…
10-26 21:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7b5deb…
10-26 20:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa9be40…
10-26 20:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x346d69…
10-26 20:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x47b655…
10-26 18:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf41bd8…
10-26 18:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xaf08b2…
10-26 18:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe5e0f3…
10-26 17:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa7edd2…
10-26 16:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9d19fc…
10-26 16:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x54f0ae…
10-26 10:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc622f3…
10-26 10:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1324f1…
10-26 09:13:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x85d379…
10-26 09:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8eaaa2…
10-26 09:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbddd57…
10-26 08:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x26f515…
10-26 08:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe069a7…
10-26 07:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xca60c4…
10-26 06:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x332b92…
10-26 06:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x07f8a0…
10-26 05:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfe27eb…
10-26 05:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd1982b…
10-26 05:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xac10d0…
10-26 04:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0a67bc…
10-26 04:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe8c5c0…
10-26 04:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xca0c7c…
10-26 04:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9566aa…
10-26 04:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa0a681…
10-26 04:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9c721b…
10-26 02:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xcc56d1…
10-26 02:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1f88d6…
10-26 02:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x13627c…
10-26 00:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x837583…
10-25 23:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2a82fe…
10-25 23:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2b3bc2…
10-25 21:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf9edf9…