Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 13?
open
Total volume
$151
$379 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$1,595
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 02:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $25 | $25 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $34 | $87 | $53 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $18 | $15 | +$4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $2 | $12 | $10 |
| Median | 7 | — | $66 | $66 |
| Below median | 6 | $4 | $20 | $16 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| unranked | 3 | $6 | — | +$6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acclaimed-Terminal 0x828b…87a6 | Yes | +133 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-13 00:05 |
| Mad-Beastie 0x9151…a93e | Yes | +40 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 12:07 |
| Anxious-Wording 0xe731…55b9 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-12 17:46 |
| Arid-Socialism 0xe481…32a3 | Yes | +29 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 21:12 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +19 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-13 01:11 |
| Sugary-Wrapping 0x3a17…c24f | No | +18 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 01:43 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-13 01:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a62…ace3 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-11 13:18 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-13 02:03 |
| Elderly-Immigrant 0x7699…817c | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 20:31 |
| Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 15:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x62a8…2132 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-13 01:17 |
| Upright-Logistics 0x75b9…0893 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 17:22 |
| Worldly-Curriculum 0xddfa…014f | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 13:33 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 02:58 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 04:10 |
| Uniform-Wrench 0xe196…b2b8 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 02:43 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xba6e…e245 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 01:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1863…1a8c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 01:00 |
| Utter-Deficit 0xbc3e…cefd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 17:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 02:58:28 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xafc099… |
| 05-13 02:43:06 | Uniform-Wrench 0xe196…b2b8 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xa1607e… |
| 05-13 02:42:59 | Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | No | BUY | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0xe21966… |
| 05-13 02:03:49 | (anonymous) 0x0c8f…5846 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x36c97a… |
| 05-13 02:03:47 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 13 | 85¢ | $11 | 0x1a268c… |
| 05-13 01:43:47 | Sugary-Wrapping 0x3a17…c24f | No | BUY | 18 | 85¢ | $15 | 0xa332e4… |
| 05-13 01:41:09 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 16 | 85¢ | $14 | 0x79fdf2… |
| 05-13 01:17:42 | (anonymous) 0x62a8…2132 | No | BUY | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0x582254… |
| 05-13 01:11:33 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 19 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x4dae82… |
| 05-13 01:11:33 | (anonymous) 0x62a8…2132 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x0aac54… |
| 05-13 01:00:59 | (anonymous) 0xba6e…e245 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x192424… |
| 05-13 01:00:54 | (anonymous) 0x1863…1a8c | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xa388f5… |
| 05-13 00:05:38 | Acclaimed-Terminal 0x828b…87a6 | Yes | BUY | 133 | 14¢ | $18 | 0x44e777… |
| 05-12 23:56:27 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x87a2ac… |
| 05-12 21:51:10 | Arid-Preservation 0x2dc1…1e47 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x31dce2… |
| 05-12 21:41:33 | Arid-Preservation 0x2dc1…1e47 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x130091… |
| 05-12 21:12:44 | (anonymous) 0x4624…d4bf | Yes | SELL | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xcb9139… |
| 05-12 21:12:42 | Arid-Socialism 0xe481…32a3 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x260f8d… |
| 05-12 21:12:42 | (anonymous) 0x0c8f…5846 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x76b145… |
| 05-12 20:31:35 | Elderly-Immigrant 0x7699…817c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x86d822… |
| 05-12 20:31:35 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe8aa57… |
| 05-12 20:31:33 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc284be… |
| 05-12 20:31:33 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xfdefbc… |
| 05-12 17:56:30 | Utter-Deficit 0xbc3e…cefd | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x7d03ee… |
| 05-12 17:46:37 | Anxious-Wording 0xe731…55b9 | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xf581e7… |
| 05-12 17:22:17 | Upright-Logistics 0x75b9…0893 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xaf7f47… |
| 05-12 15:23:05 | Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa08a3d… |
| 05-12 13:33:02 | Worldly-Curriculum 0xddfa…014f | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x66db07… |
| 05-12 12:07:47 | Mad-Beastie 0x9151…a93e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xaba914… |
| 05-12 12:07:38 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x26de35… |
| 05-12 04:10:54 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x867cef… |
| 05-11 13:18:12 | (anonymous) 0x8a62…ace3 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xc09324… |