Cylindrical-Sunbonnet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

350

Trades

495

lifetime

Volume

$35.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 09-26 02:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

99% 98% +$21

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% 71% -$10

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 8?	5	$800	802	0	+802	Yes	+$2	05-08 21:15
highest temperature in karachi on april 20 2026 35corhigher	1	$654	655	0	+655	No	+$1	04-20 18:53
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 14?	11	$548	550	0	+550	No	+$2	05-14 21:45
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	2	$410	411	0	+411	Yes	+$1	04-28 03:18
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 25?	3	$400	401	0	+401	Yes	+$1	04-26 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 25?	1	$400	400	0	+400	Yes	+$0	04-25 20:38
highest temperature in karachi on april 21 2026 34c	2	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	04-21 16:23
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 27?	2	$400	401	0	+401	No	+$1	04-27 00:05
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 2?	3	$371	201	201	+0	No	-$29	05-02 13:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?	3	$353	355	0	+355	No	+$2	05-12 13:36
highest temperature in houston on april 20 2026 76 77f	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	04-21 02:43
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C or higher on May 13?	1	$300	303	0	+303	No	+$3	05-13 19:15
highest temperature in ankara on april 24 2026 14c	2	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	04-24 17:57
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 28?	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	04-28 13:02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 9?	2	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-09 23:48
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 12?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-13 03:40
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 23 2026 29c	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	04-23 13:25
highest temperature in chongqing on april 19 2026 28c	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	04-19 13:26
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 30?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	04-30 12:29
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 14c	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	04-21 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on April 27?	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	04-27 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on April 28?	2	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	04-28 13:16
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?	4	$286	287	0	+287	No	+$2	05-04 14:15
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on April 25?	4	$263	263	0	+263	No	+$0	04-26 02:43
highest temperature in chengdu on april 21 2026 15c	2	$250	250	0	+250	No	+$0	04-21 01:20
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C or below on May 1?	1	$250	250	0	+250	No	+$0	05-01 03:51
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$240	240	0	+240	Yes	+$0	04-23 13:27
highest temperature in jeddah on april 23 2026 35corhigher	1	$240	240	0	+240	No	+$0	04-23 19:01
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on April 25?	3	$230	230	0	+230	No	+$0	04-25 18:13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?	3	$206	206	0	+206	No	+$0	05-05 00:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-26 02:47:51	OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 25?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x802a30…
09-26 02:46:20	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xee6b18…
09-25 19:33:47	Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of September 21 above $345?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa760f2…
09-25 19:33:32	Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of September 21 above $335?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc01aab…
09-25 19:30:23	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of September 21 above $440?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x69b915…
09-25 19:30:08	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of September 21 above $430?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2012b6…
09-03 11:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x2e5315…
09-03 11:41:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x02c68c…
09-02 17:41:31	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x988616…
09-02 10:19:19	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 22°C on September 2?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x81e2af…
09-02 10:19:13	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 21°C on September 2?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xd10592…
09-02 09:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 2?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xff56ed…
09-02 09:11:49	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 22°C on September 2?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x8fb8bf…
09-02 09:11:43	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 21°C on September 2?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x9ea054…
09-01 12:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 1?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xc835ea…
07-12 16:15:01	iran successfully targets shipping on july 11	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x61958e…
07-12 15:57:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47d07c…
07-12 15:49:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xcb8966…
07-12 15:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 12?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x1dae81…
06-22 02:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 21?	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0xd50f62…
06-21 19:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 21?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb15279…
06-21 19:46:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x2ae1e6…
06-21 19:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0xede281…
06-21 19:42:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9da60d…
06-21 19:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x286bb5…
06-21 19:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 21?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x629106…
06-21 19:35:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 21?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x02c224…
06-21 19:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x10316e…
05-15 22:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 15?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x97716a…
05-15 22:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04f657…
05-14 21:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 14?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb76886…
05-14 21:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 14?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6b936a…
05-14 21:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 14?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf6603b…
05-14 21:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 14?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x34ee20…
05-14 21:44:56	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 14?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5fb9e3…
05-14 21:43:23	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 14?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x150836…
05-14 21:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 14?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0e7030…
05-14 21:42:45	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 14?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9dc30e…
05-14 21:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 14?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdf1e6a…
05-14 21:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcdbad4…
05-14 21:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 14?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8bb8c1…
05-14 21:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x835f9b…
05-14 21:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on May 14?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x3f1583…
05-14 21:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 14?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x982a53…
05-14 21:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1687fb…
05-13 23:45:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 13?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x017d15…
05-13 23:45:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 13?	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x648a5b…
05-13 23:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 13?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5d4610…
05-13 23:29:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 13?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x13715d…
05-13 19:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xa64e8e…
05-13 15:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on May 13?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xe49242…
05-13 03:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 12?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x8cba03…
05-13 00:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe5641e…
05-12 16:46:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 12?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xa0be52…
05-12 13:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbded0e…
05-12 13:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x60bbbe…
05-12 13:35:50	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x975dd9…
05-12 13:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 12?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8f6562…
05-12 13:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x248e6a…
05-12 13:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x47d1ad…
05-12 03:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xb13635…
05-12 00:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x96ca80…
05-12 00:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x40a1c6…
05-12 00:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 11?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xd95539…
05-12 00:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x08a3fa…
05-11 16:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe246f4…
05-11 01:00:50	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7c01bf…
05-11 00:59:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4ac9fb…
05-11 00:48:02	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x77a041…
05-10 16:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6cad6d…
05-10 16:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7491bc…
05-10 16:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x598ed0…
05-10 13:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa138a3…
05-10 13:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe5a45f…
05-10 01:11:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 9?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xde308b…
05-09 23:48:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 9?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4b25fc…
05-09 23:45:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 9?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xb3ca4d…
05-09 19:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 9?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa890a7…
05-09 19:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on May 9?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x07463f…
05-09 15:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 9?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xdac137…
05-09 12:59:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 9?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6ab474…
05-09 12:59:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7e7167…
05-09 12:57:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 9?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0160fb…
05-09 11:51:47	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x45ce4d…
05-09 11:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf792f0…
05-09 11:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 9?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xea4837…
05-09 11:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 9?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x0cd94d…
05-09 11:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 9?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xadb398…
05-09 11:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 9?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1ad1e9…
05-09 11:44:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8cd651…
05-09 11:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa47917…
05-09 01:51:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xc88aa8…
05-09 01:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc47f65…
05-09 01:25:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xadaf34…
05-09 00:52:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 8?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd008db…
05-09 00:16:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc7d9b4…
05-08 22:35:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 8?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x92bf81…
05-08 21:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x476fa4…
05-08 21:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 8?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x84bc5c…
05-08 21:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x391e5d…