Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$160
$418 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$1,496
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 13:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $71 | $71 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $14 | $69 | $54 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $58 | $58 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $6 | $24 | $17 |
| Median | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 5 | $1 | $16 | $15 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $5 | $33 | $29 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 09:11 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-14 00:57 |
| Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | No | +24 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-14 10:45 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | +23 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 07:09 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +18 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-15 09:44 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 13:17 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-13 21:18 |
| Weepy-Man 0xe87a…9064 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 13:04 |
| Yawning-Inheritance 0xfff7…60f4 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 08:04 |
| Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 13:00 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 09:45 |
| Bland-Pounding 0x25af…8cde | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 11:26 |
| Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 15:14 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 08:09 |
| Numb-Birthday 0x1e40…1405 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 23:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 13:26:44 | Constant-Knife 0xf7a8…9f68 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa51aee… |
| 05-15 13:20:52 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xba7d6d… |
| 05-15 13:20:52 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf2832b… |
| 05-15 13:04:27 | Weepy-Man 0xe87a…9064 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xbf9bf1… |
| 05-15 11:26:28 | Bland-Pounding 0x25af…8cde | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x970e79… |
| 05-15 09:45:19 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 7 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xbd2fc9… |
| 05-15 09:44:36 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0xfa2147… |
| 05-15 09:41:48 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xa966b8… |
| 05-15 08:09:27 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x13d9d6… |
| 05-15 08:09:24 | Constant-Knife 0xf7a8…9f68 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xc294a1… |
| 05-15 08:04:38 | Yawning-Inheritance 0xfff7…60f4 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x248560… |
| 05-15 07:19:19 | Constant-Knife 0xf7a8…9f68 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x08d69f… |
| 05-15 06:44:21 | Constant-Knife 0xf7a8…9f68 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x4cb3f3… |
| 05-14 23:27:03 | Numb-Birthday 0x1e40…1405 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x428fea… |
| 05-14 15:14:34 | Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xb8485d… |
| 05-14 13:17:59 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xdfba06… |
| 05-14 13:17:58 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 16 | 85¢ | $14 | 0xac2890… |
| 05-14 13:17:58 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x33aadb… |
| 05-14 13:17:58 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xcac551… |
| 05-14 13:00:38 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0xc949ca… |
| 05-14 10:45:25 | Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | No | BUY | 24 | 91¢ | $22 | 0xbfd447… |
| 05-14 07:09:11 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x4ff7cc… |
| 05-14 00:57:15 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x49f351… |
| 05-13 21:18:49 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xd1b042… |
| 05-13 21:18:37 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x9477d4… |
| 05-13 16:12:34 | Wavy-Detector 0xa9ff…bfd7 | No | SELL | 3 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x952175… |
| 05-13 09:11:34 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | BUY | 33 | 90¢ | $30 | 0x8c9d58… |