Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 10?
open
Total volume
$190
$1,418 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$210
Latest YES mid
28¢
Latest NO mid
72¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 09:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $69 | $78 | $9 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $3 | $28 | $25 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $12 | $22 | $11 |
| Median | 4 | $3 | $10 | $7 |
| Below median | 5 | $10 | $10 | $0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $26 | $3 | +$23 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $15 | $4 | +$11 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frigid-Left 0x9a26…c335 | Yes | +48 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 00:59 |
| Impressive-Hoof 0xec7c…7ad4 | Yes | +46 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-10 07:01 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +37 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 00:00 |
| Extroverted-Sidewalk 0xcca3…7450 | No | +28 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-09 18:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xd356…d72f | Yes | +25 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 09:09 |
| Rundown-Thyme 0xde8a…a3fc | Yes | +25 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-08 04:58 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +21 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-10 06:22 |
| Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-10 01:11 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-09 04:05 |
| Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 07:23 |
| Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 04:58 |
| Shocking-Thread 0x1eea…00c5 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:46 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 11:00 |
| Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 09:45 |
| Measly-Meme 0x50d8…0a0e | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 17:59 |
| Big-Warren 0x1e43…259c | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 06:08 |
| Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 00:00 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 09:05 |
| Weekly-Interval 0x4517…0ed3 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 04:34 |
| Flashy-Pentagon 0x6db5…ac62 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 09:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 09:09:52 | (anonymous) 0xd356…d72f | Yes | BUY | 25 | 31¢ | $8 | 0x05a6cd… |
| 05-10 09:05:01 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xb55c85… |
| 05-10 07:23:56 | Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x097e2f… |
| 05-10 07:18:42 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x2f2d45… |
| 05-10 07:08:58 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x09a2d7… |
| 05-10 07:01:40 | Impressive-Hoof 0xec7c…7ad4 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 30¢ | $9 | 0x1fe614… |
| 05-10 07:01:39 | Impressive-Hoof 0xec7c…7ad4 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 30¢ | $4 | 0xdaafdb… |
| 05-10 06:22:20 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 15 | 69¢ | $10 | 0x49c0bf… |
| 05-10 04:46:52 | Shocking-Thread 0x1eea…00c5 | No | BUY | 8 | 68¢ | $5 | 0xd09221… |
| 05-10 03:26:34 | (anonymous) 0x8c2a…ba61 | No | SELL | 5 | 66¢ | $4 | 0x5f6f5b… |
| 05-10 01:11:18 | Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xd418ad… |
| 05-10 01:00:14 | Worse-Trinket 0x70cb…f527 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xa72f20… |
| 05-10 00:59:46 | Frigid-Left 0x9a26…c335 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 31¢ | $15 | 0xb850a1… |
| 05-10 00:47:44 | Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | No | BUY | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x77354f… |
| 05-10 00:00:32 | Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x11716c… |
| 05-10 00:00:25 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 37 | 18¢ | $7 | 0xa950d2… |
| 05-09 18:49:23 | Extroverted-Sidewalk 0xcca3…7450 | No | BUY | 28 | 65¢ | $18 | 0x00aaa6… |
| 05-09 17:59:31 | Measly-Meme 0x50d8…0a0e | No | BUY | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0xa977f2… |
| 05-09 15:03:54 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x5e44f9… |
| 05-09 11:00:21 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 7 | 58¢ | $4 | 0xa9d39f… |
| 05-09 09:45:08 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 6 | 57¢ | $3 | 0xaf5040… |
| 05-09 09:45:08 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xb506b8… |
| 05-09 09:45:06 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 6 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x3074a7… |
| 05-09 04:34:36 | Weekly-Interval 0x4517…0ed3 | No | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x3e139c… |
| 05-09 04:05:15 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xd2b5b3… |
| 05-09 03:34:06 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x9ba041… |
| 05-08 14:49:53 | Circular-Fat 0xe7fb…5fb7 | No | SELL | 6 | 65¢ | $4 | 0xde1657… |
| 05-08 12:44:57 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x589b0b… |
| 05-08 09:04:56 | Flashy-Pentagon 0x6db5…ac62 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xd44816… |
| 05-08 06:08:31 | (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x0dc786… |
| 05-08 06:00:15 | Big-Warren 0x1e43…259c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x9db138… |
| 05-08 05:53:17 | Big-Shopping 0x8302…8b44 | Yes | SELL | 203 | 14¢ | $29 | 0xecc60b… |
| 05-08 04:58:39 | Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x4dad7f… |
| 05-08 04:58:38 | Rundown-Thyme 0xde8a…a3fc | Yes | BUY | 25 | 50¢ | $12 | 0xa45559… |