Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 9?
open
Total volume
$453
$2,239 in 24h
Trades
54
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$2,952
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 13:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-9.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $6
vs crowd: 9% YES on $330)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $155 | $155 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $30 | $145 | $116 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $58 | $58 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $6 | $159 | $153 |
| Median | 3 | $6 | $24 | $18 |
| Below median | 7 | $11 | $5 | +$6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $31 | $31 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $18 | $18 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frugal-Vibration 0xa8ae…7f3e | Yes | +122 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 11:04 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +86 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-08 10:13 |
| Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | +63 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 05-08 00:11 |
| Repentant-Compulsion 0x9208…193d | No | +27 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-08 01:37 |
| Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | +25 | $26 | $272 | 6 | 05-08 10:13 |
| Fatherly-Squirrel 0x325e…5308 | Yes | +25 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-08 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x31ff…e042 | Yes | +24 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-08 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 16 | 05-08 00:11 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-08 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf424…6e3e | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-08 01:22 |
| Snappy-Quart 0x63bd…3480 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-08 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-08 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a48…5474 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-08 00:11 |
| Grubby-Pagan 0x17e0…64e7 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 08:40 |
| Artistic-Hosiery 0x0893…5f52 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f65…3146 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 00:11 |
| Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 00:11 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 12:59 |
| Wary-Resistance 0x167e…ee43 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 01:07 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 23:41 |
| Gleaming-Fat 0xf608…e098 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 13:34 |
| Numb-Trouble 0x2e5e…d651 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 13:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 13:55:05 | Numb-Trouble 0x2e5e…d651 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xfb7d9c… |
| 05-08 13:34:54 | Gleaming-Fat 0xf608…e098 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x729a17… |
| 05-08 12:59:32 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x517432… |
| 05-08 11:04:45 | Frugal-Vibration 0xa8ae…7f3e | Yes | BUY | 122 | 5¢ | $6 | 0xd7feef… |
| 05-08 10:13:32 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 64 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xb846ef… |
| 05-08 10:13:31 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | BUY | 101 | 98¢ | $99 | 0xa6bf98… |
| 05-08 10:10:30 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | SELL | 104 | 96¢ | $100 | 0xfe2f63… |
| 05-08 10:01:07 | Burly-Parenthesis 0xe939…7383 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x704119… |
| 05-08 08:51:03 | Artistic-Hosiery 0x0893…5f52 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa6c5b7… |
| 05-08 08:40:16 | Grubby-Pagan 0x17e0…64e7 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0xbf6eac… |
| 05-08 03:39:53 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0xd9da72… |
| 05-08 03:32:12 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | SELL | 24 | 95¢ | $23 | 0x62b3e0… |
| 05-08 01:37:17 | Repentant-Compulsion 0x9208…193d | No | BUY | 27 | 90¢ | $24 | 0xe3c0d7… |
| 05-08 01:22:18 | (anonymous) 0xf424…6e3e | No | BUY | 17 | 90¢ | $15 | 0xb3a7c3… |
| 05-08 01:07:20 | Wary-Resistance 0x167e…ee43 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x577b2d… |
| 05-08 00:11:50 | Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | BUY | 63 | 84¢ | $53 | 0x115c8f… |
| 05-08 00:11:43 | (anonymous) 0x31ff…e042 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xae0474… |
| 05-08 00:11:43 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | BUY | 17 | 84¢ | $15 | 0x29dc93… |
| 05-08 00:11:41 | (anonymous) 0x31ff…e042 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x9df39a… |
| 05-08 00:11:39 | (anonymous) 0x7a48…5474 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb8ddad… |
| 05-08 00:11:39 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x9f0f21… |
| 05-08 00:11:39 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x5636cc… |
| 05-08 00:11:39 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x58a6d1… |
| 05-08 00:11:39 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x2f5b23… |
| 05-08 00:11:39 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 22 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x69ac42… |
| 05-08 00:11:39 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xc84fac… |
| 05-08 00:11:38 | (anonymous) 0x31ff…e042 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x6a6eb4… |
| 05-08 00:11:38 | Fatherly-Squirrel 0x325e…5308 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x0af0b2… |
| 05-08 00:11:38 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x6027a1… |
| 05-08 00:11:38 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xfa2476… |
| 05-08 00:11:38 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xa83e08… |
| 05-08 00:11:38 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x19dfb4… |
| 05-08 00:11:38 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x5f5464… |
| 05-08 00:11:38 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x2b6581… |
| 05-08 00:11:38 | Snappy-Quart 0x63bd…3480 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x79f953… |
| 05-08 00:11:38 | (anonymous) 0x4f65…3146 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xff53df… |
| 05-08 00:11:38 | Fatherly-Squirrel 0x325e…5308 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xe854ab… |
| 05-08 00:11:36 | (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x214613… |
| 05-08 00:11:36 | Snappy-Quart 0x63bd…3480 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x93d8e2… |
| 05-08 00:11:36 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x2173a1… |
| 05-08 00:11:36 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x8f6b39… |
| 05-08 00:11:36 | Fatherly-Squirrel 0x325e…5308 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x1dfede… |
| 05-08 00:11:36 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x1f9427… |
| 05-08 00:11:36 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x2851e6… |
| 05-08 00:11:34 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x73b0e5… |
| 05-08 00:11:34 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x55049f… |
| 05-08 00:11:34 | (anonymous) 0x7a48…5474 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x6dc6ed… |
| 05-08 00:11:34 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x55f43e… |
| 05-08 00:11:34 | (anonymous) 0x31ff…e042 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x64f6b4… |
| 05-08 00:11:34 | Fatherly-Squirrel 0x325e…5308 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x996f4e… |
| 05-08 00:11:34 | (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x07132f… |
| 05-07 23:41:32 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x62fe3c… |
| 05-07 13:51:05 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x73125e… |
| 05-07 13:11:25 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x160391… |