Chief-Driveway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.82K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

516

Trades

2,680

lifetime

Volume

$36.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 08-18 07:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

65% 36% -$1,610

Politics

17% 43% -$163

Sports

10% 43% +$292

Tech

6% 75% +$15

Crypto

2% 40% -$353

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	5	$1.3K	755	755	+0	Yes	+$218	04-27 23:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$1.3K	739	739	+0	No	+$131	06-01 04:12
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	29	$1.2K	800	800	+0	No	+$183	07-26 13:49
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	51	$995	1,285	0	+1,285	Yes	+$289	05-06 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 6?	80	$948	1,212	898	+314	No	-$733	06-06 10:54
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 5?	25	$889	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$111	06-05 07:43
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	2	$858	502	502	+0	open	—	06-24 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on June 1?	9	$779	460	460	+0	No	+$140	06-01 13:55
Will SpaceX list on the NASDAQ?	5	$737	400	400	+0	Yes	+$17	05-14 06:06
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	3	$688	400	400	+0	open	—	05-12 13:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	6	$660	374	374	+0	No	+$83	05-31 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?	13	$627	350	350	+0	Yes	+$4	05-13 07:41
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$621	493	493	+0	No	+$49	07-18 22:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$553	400	400	+0	No	-$47	05-07 09:08
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	3	$432	600	0	+600	No	-$432	05-10 17:04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?	2	$416	216	216	+0	Yes	+$16	05-12 01:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$396	250	250	+0	Yes	-$25	06-14 22:00
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	3	$377	202	202	+0	Yes	+$2	05-14 10:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	5	$353	485	0	+485	Yes	-$353	04-29 13:00
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 7?	21	$349	300	300	+0	Yes	+$250	06-07 10:17
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	4	$344	200	200	+0	No	+$4	07-03 21:28
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 6?	40	$339	1,108	1,108	+0	No	-$325	06-06 06:37
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	18	$328	1,987	160	+1,827	No	-$207	05-21 05:40
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	11	$328	426	426	+0	No	-$89	05-15 04:31
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	6	$318	182	182	+0	open	—	05-05 14:12
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	4	$304	230	230	+0	Yes	+$7	07-24 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 13?	9	$277	162	162	+0	No	+$48	05-13 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 5?	45	$273	577	577	+0	No	-$85	06-05 05:38
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 3?	21	$268	400	200	+200	No	+$19	06-03 00:22
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	6	$265	161	161	+0	open	—	05-05 14:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 07:45:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	33	71¢	$23	0x27209d…
08-17 04:50:48	ufc tre9 drodri 2026 08 18	Douglas Rodrigues	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xdbb8c2…
08-17 03:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x9502ff…
08-16 15:03:39	ecs ars mci 2026 08 16 btts	Yes	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0xdccc79…
08-16 07:04:00	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x53e2d0…
08-16 05:00:57	ecs ars mci 2026 08 16 btts	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x02c915…
08-16 03:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$19	0x2f3b3e…
08-13 03:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x2ddfd6…
08-12 00:23:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x09509e…
08-07 08:47:09	ufc mat10 qui2 2026 08 08	Mateusz Gamrot	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x4b90c6…
08-06 07:01:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x049817…
08-05 01:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x6f3ebf…
08-05 01:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x652add…
08-05 01:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xc1d333…
08-04 05:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xde618d…
08-04 05:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x6f4ee0…
08-04 05:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	39	28¢	$11	0x875125…
08-04 05:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x8ea154…
08-04 02:51:06	mlb phi bal 2026 08 02	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe73d89…
08-03 23:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	32	12¢	$4	0xc0a4dc…
08-03 08:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x494004…
08-03 06:12:54	mlb pit mil 2026 08 03	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x818b7e…
08-03 06:10:15	mlb stl nyy 2026 08 03	New York Yankees	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xd7340d…
08-03 03:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 3?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x58c0d0…
08-03 01:50:06	mlb bos lad 2026 08 02 spread away 2pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0xa65caf…
08-03 00:48:15	mlb bos lad 2026 08 02	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x419719…
08-02 15:17:26	mlb kc col 2026 08 02	Colorado Rockies	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x9d0c3a…
08-02 15:12:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x32fda0…
08-02 15:09:33	mlb kc col 2026 08 02	Colorado Rockies	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x10256c…
08-02 15:09:21	mlb mil laa 2026 08 02	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x609c06…
08-02 15:09:14	mlb phi bal 2026 08 02	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x8c87c7…
08-02 14:50:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa06249…
08-01 00:46:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 00:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x33510d…
08-01 00:45:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf48db6…
07-31 01:23:45	mlb bos oak 2026 07 30	Boston Red Sox	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xcd8de8…
07-31 00:52:17	mlb mil laa 2026 07 31	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x1e7d03…
07-31 00:45:47	mlb wsh atl 2026 07 30	Atlanta Braves	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x93fd71…
07-31 00:35:15	mlb stl tor 2026 07 31	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x0c382e…
07-30 06:51:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xbcb3d4…
07-30 06:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x7602b5…
07-30 06:40:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0xa29f5c…
07-30 01:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x599ccb…
07-30 01:11:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xce72ab…
07-30 01:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xa3da3d…
07-30 01:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9832d8…
07-30 01:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x644b10…
07-28 06:59:45	mlb atl nym 2026 07 28	Atlanta Braves	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xe012b5…
07-28 06:57:54	mlb sea lad 2026 07 28	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x6d1cc3…
07-28 06:56:52	mlb bal det 2026 07 28	Detroit Tigers	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x18feea…
07-28 06:52:34	mlb cle cin 2026 07 27	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0x6bf263…
07-28 06:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xfab583…
07-27 05:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x7a0610…
07-27 02:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	27	38¢	$10	0x445d55…
07-27 01:51:58	mlb mil sf 2026 07 27	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xad53d1…
07-27 01:51:42	mlb nyy cws 2026 07 27	New York Yankees	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xd78b8c…
07-27 01:51:15	mlb bos oak 2026 07 27	Boston Red Sox	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x7ebb09…
07-27 01:51:01	mlb cle cin 2026 07 27	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xc75d02…
07-27 01:50:54	mlb phi mia 2026 07 27	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x7faad9…
07-26 13:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0xee8046…
07-26 13:49:01	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$399	0x64ca18…
07-26 00:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x93ed84…
07-25 13:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	32	42¢	$13	0xed4006…
07-24 18:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x5c8f2a…
07-24 17:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xf72cee…
07-24 17:02:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x549416…
07-21 09:40:21	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0xadd4a4…
07-21 07:07:52	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x03f9f8…
07-20 18:21:36	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	255	1¢	$2	0xac9dcc…
07-20 09:05:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x11d9d1…
07-20 09:01:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf500e8…
07-20 08:58:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$2	0x8af0bd…
07-20 08:55:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb519df…
07-20 08:53:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf1c986…
07-20 08:44:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1fcd9e…
07-20 04:19:03	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x251f61…
07-20 04:17:54	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 19 20260717052446992	No	SELL	93	0¢	$0	0x0b203f…
07-20 00:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 20?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xc8f84d…
07-20 00:37:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0xd1fe21…
07-20 00:37:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xcf0eb6…
07-20 00:37:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x24c80d…
07-20 00:36:55	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x70b7b0…
07-20 00:36:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x04b6e6…
07-20 00:36:48	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x429cbb…
07-19 23:20:04	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$1	0xb1fa68…
07-19 17:21:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x17e99d…
07-19 15:44:07	Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	52	71¢	$37	0xdfedaf…
07-19 15:12:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x74d8d0…
07-19 14:49:55	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x96885f…
07-19 13:38:07	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 19 20260717052446992	No	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x5fde11…
07-19 12:29:07	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 19 20260717052446992	No	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x275b74…
07-19 09:56:45	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$2	0x1ae713…
07-19 08:36:49	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	103	8¢	$8	0x74de85…
07-19 08:36:39	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x9b5661…
07-19 08:36:15	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xc1fa6f…
07-19 08:35:52	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	87	8¢	$7	0x6bf46b…
07-19 08:13:21	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	8¢	$17	0x65ac60…
07-19 07:54:40	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x7bc7ea…
07-19 04:18:55	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd17ec7…
07-19 03:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x28ca2d…
07-19 03:15:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	130	69¢	$90	0x300db4…