Delightful-Forecast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved

Trades

2,505

lifetime

Volume

$20.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 07-20 14:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

82% — —

Sports

9% 0% $-21

Crypto

4% 100% +$6

Politics

4% 100% +$1

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+35	$28	50¢	$18	$-10	06-04 14:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in nyc on march 30 2026 68forhigher	13	$296	181	181	+0	open	—	03-30 17:56
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	5	$266	150	144	+6	open	—	05-29 23:28
highest temperature in nyc on april 14 2026 84 85f	14	$227	181	181	+0	open	—	04-15 01:01
highest temperature in nyc on april 16 2026 90 91f	7	$207	109	109	+0	open	—	04-16 19:54
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	03-31 13:19
highest temperature in chicago on april 13 2026 74forhigher	5	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	04-13 18:57
highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 80forhigher	3	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	04-14 00:17
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 26?	5	$195	98	100	-2	open	—	04-27 02:18
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	5	$190	71	150	-79	open	—	05-26 14:50
highest temperature in nyc on march 31 2026 74forhigher	4	$185	95	95	+0	open	—	03-31 16:51
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 25?	12	$171	150	103	+47	open	—	04-25 21:36
highest temperature in atlanta on march 17 2026 48 49f	4	$160	85	85	+0	open	—	03-17 23:02
highest temperature in dallas on march 30 2026 80 81f	13	$154	88	88	+0	open	—	03-30 20:56
highest temperature in austin on april 4 2026 78 79f	5	$142	74	74	+0	open	—	04-04 22:29
highest temperature in seattle on march 22 2026 52 53f	5	$136	74	74	+0	open	—	03-23 01:18
highest temperature in nyc on april 9 2026 48 49f	7	$131	72	72	+0	open	—	04-10 03:48
highest temperature in nyc on april 14 2026 86 87f	5	$131	67	67	+0	open	—	04-15 00:18
highest temperature in miami on march 26 2026 82 83f	9	$129	70	70	+0	open	—	03-27 02:27
highest temperature in nyc on march 20 2026 52 53f	8	$122	89	89	+0	open	—	03-21 01:27
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 76 77f	4	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	04-14 19:54
highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 74 75f	7	$117	101	101	+0	open	—	03-28 02:59
highest temperature in nyc on april 9 2026 46 47f	4	$117	60	60	+0	open	—	04-09 18:53
highest temperature in nyc on march 26 2026 66forhigher	7	$111	60	60	+0	open	—	03-26 17:09
highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 74 75f	3	$109	60	60	+0	open	—	04-23 18:56
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	4	$108	100	100	+0	open	—	05-28 20:13
highest temperature in nyc on march 30 2026 62 63f	5	$107	90	90	+0	open	—	03-30 16:56
highest temperature in nyc on march 24 2026 48 49f	13	$107	72	72	+0	open	—	03-25 02:25
highest temperature in chicago on april 20 2026 58 59f	6	$107	55	55	+0	open	—	04-21 03:44
highest temperature in nyc on april 22 2026 55forbelow	10	$102	60	60	+0	open	—	04-23 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 27?	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	04-27 22:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 14:36:48	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xea0088…
07-20 14:10:37	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x3e0017…
07-17 15:20:15	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xae6712…
07-17 15:18:52	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x9720bf…
07-03 15:25:04	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xafcc02…
06-30 06:06:26	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x4739cb…
06-29 06:05:13	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe050d0…
06-28 14:08:25	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd1ddda…
06-28 03:56:22	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xe7257b…
06-27 21:29:14	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x09b851…
06-27 21:28:20	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x24d395…
06-27 21:27:40	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x1bfd13…
06-27 19:41:43	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	England	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xa08eda…
06-27 00:13:47	Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0xec4140…
06-27 00:09:38	Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x6d0f0c…
06-26 14:37:32	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x1ed601…
06-25 20:09:17	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xe40ebe…
06-24 01:17:37	Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd402e8…
06-22 19:04:05	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0bbfdd…
06-22 19:03:52	Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdb5838…
06-22 19:03:38	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcf4383…
06-22 19:03:25	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xecd002…
06-22 17:58:04	Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9c39de…
06-22 15:47:34	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xb16387…
06-22 15:05:08	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x68aeb2…
06-22 03:02:44	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x2d0d31…
06-22 02:58:38	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x8488cf…
06-21 17:12:32	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdda6f6…
06-20 15:03:14	Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x9fc32c…
06-20 04:05:55	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf64c5d…
06-19 19:55:08	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc5470a…
06-19 12:42:32	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0xbac83f…
06-19 06:55:35	Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1a387a…
06-19 03:31:38	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x825152…
06-19 02:56:32	Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x186a94…
06-19 02:55:41	Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x898d25…
06-19 01:24:11	Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8fccc9…
06-18 20:34:55	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xab5ba7…
06-18 13:13:55	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x25f38e…
06-18 01:01:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf00657…
06-17 19:14:44	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xe6d2df…
06-17 15:15:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe4ca35…
06-17 12:45:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8e3085…
06-17 12:43:59	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x356da2…
06-17 08:42:58	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x02fadf…
06-17 04:31:32	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1b36ae…
06-17 03:06:01	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xfb1476…
06-16 20:02:04	spy up or down on june 16 2026	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6a05c7…
06-16 18:03:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd20e07…
06-16 17:36:40	spy up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x836849…
06-16 17:36:16	spy up or down on june 16 2026	Up	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0x9ac444…
06-15 19:43:25	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x304ddb…
06-15 12:42:16	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x13a63c…
06-15 12:41:31	spx up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x7b9303…
06-15 12:36:06	spy up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x8a18b6…
06-14 19:32:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0b7343…
06-14 19:32:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xac20fa…
06-14 16:37:22	Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xeec0ce…
06-13 18:25:31	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xcb33de…
06-12 11:07:16	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x89e1ef…
06-11 09:46:39	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x9adaf5…
06-11 04:44:12	Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x4fb53e…
06-10 13:49:51	Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xe90bb7…
06-09 14:30:49	Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x4a935b…
06-09 14:07:27	Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5adad1…
06-09 02:27:18	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x52b6fc…
06-08 21:32:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x74d99e…
06-08 21:31:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x5a1029…
06-08 20:37:51	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xe8103e…
06-08 20:12:48	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x8469ad…
06-08 20:10:31	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xae66cc…
06-07 16:57:27	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xbda22d…
06-07 16:48:48	Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa4a526…
06-07 16:47:54	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x1b42fc…
06-07 16:45:30	Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe43b47…
06-07 12:55:36	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x344650…
06-07 12:20:46	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xb5b9ed…
06-07 07:00:00	Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x69bf03…
06-07 06:04:07	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xac005c…
06-07 00:01:49	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x033c09…
06-06 22:33:07	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x2bfece…
06-06 21:56:00	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x84bf2b…
06-06 21:17:06	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd46c85…
06-06 19:11:10	Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x4d4d17…
06-06 18:28:07	Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xa61737…
06-06 18:28:06	Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x25c210…
06-06 17:54:51	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xe13108…
06-06 16:58:46	Spread: Portugal (-1.5)	Portugal	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x9f7d61…
06-06 16:58:40	Spread: Portugal (-1.5)	Portugal	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x84d446…
06-06 16:58:40	Spread: Portugal (-1.5)	Portugal	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0x0908f8…
06-06 16:26:22	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xdf5b60…
06-06 15:46:30	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x19fc61…
06-04 14:17:04	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x313032…
06-04 13:29:04	will hyperliquid reach 80 in june	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7ab0b6…
06-03 18:38:07	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xfa24e6…
06-02 17:14:15	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xbe09a6…
06-02 06:13:34	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0x05171b…
06-01 03:06:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x479fbb…
05-31 21:02:55	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x0e0505…
05-30 22:39:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xbdde61…