Lumbering-Material — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

1,611

Trades

16,558

lifetime

Volume

$271.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-23 19:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Other

100% 28% +$42,078

Politics

0% 43% -$22

Crypto

0% 0% -$103

Sports

0% 0% -$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will metas q1 headcount be above 75000	20	$9.6K	9,930	9,930	+0	Yes	+$7,173	04-11 10:46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?	35	$8.4K	11,410	9,980	+1,430	Yes	+$5,958	04-25 05:50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	38	$5.4K	5,893	5,728	+165	No	+$2,971	04-25 05:51
highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 19corhigher	62	$5.4K	9,743	4,611	+5,132	Yes	+$2,688	04-03 06:00
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 17c	58	$4.5K	7,536	5,455	+2,081	Yes	+$1,930	04-17 07:40
will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	19	$3.2K	3,159	3,159	+0	Yes	+$761	04-11 19:33
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 27 2026 25c	106	$3.1K	7,489	5,658	+1,831	Yes	+$1,524	03-27 16:17
highest temperature in taipei on march 30 2026 25corbelow	50	$3.0K	4,011	3,879	+132	Yes	+$1,915	03-30 11:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 1?	43	$2.8K	2,019	2,019	+0	Yes	+$990	05-01 07:53
highest temperature in shanghai on april 6 2026 27corhigher	20	$2.8K	2,833	2,744	+89	Yes	+$2,739	04-06 05:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?	30	$2.7K	2,414	2,414	+0	Yes	+$1,657	06-11 10:06
Will Chicago Bears draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?	9	$2.2K	2,304	1,300	+1,004	No	-$1,659	04-10 23:19
Will SOFR hit 3.76% (High) between April 1 and April 30?	8	$2.0K	1,964	1,964	+0	No	+$1,451	04-11 19:43
highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 18c	89	$2.0K	4,387	1,628	+2,759	No	-$556	04-03 05:58
highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 21c	26	$2.0K	6,060	1,972	+4,088	Yes	+$1,620	04-01 07:50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	16	$2.0K	2,132	2,040	+93	No	+$1,512	04-28 05:41
Will Las Vegas Raiders draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?	2	$1.9K	1,997	0	+1,997	No	-$880	04-10 16:40
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?	10	$1.8K	1,665	1,665	+0	Yes	+$958	05-01 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 5?	25	$1.8K	3,625	1,793	+1,832	Yes	+$2,120	06-05 15:10
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 11c	63	$1.8K	4,135	3,542	+593	No	+$67	04-06 06:27
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 4?	20	$1.8K	1,477	1,477	+0	Yes	+$283	06-04 11:31
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 26 2026 28c	26	$1.8K	1,764	1,764	+0	No	+$540	03-26 07:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 1?	61	$1.6K	2,106	1,577	+528	No	-$169	05-01 06:15
highest temperature in munich on april 12 2026 11c	40	$1.6K	1,474	1,144	+329	Yes	+$987	04-12 14:47
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	59	$1.6K	6,002	2,089	+3,913	No	+$421	04-17 07:40
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 22?	32	$1.5K	6,224	0	+6,224	No	-$1,509	06-22 06:22
Will Atlanta Falcons draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?	4	$1.5K	1,502	1,498	+5	No	-$1,172	04-10 16:44
highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 9c	32	$1.4K	2,101	2,101	+0	Yes	+$998	03-26 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	33	$1.4K	3,649	1,050	+2,599	Yes	+$273	05-13 05:36
will metas q1 headcount be above 76000	8	$1.4K	1,440	1,440	+0	Yes	+$591	04-11 09:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 19:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x5580bc…
10-23 19:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0xef768d…
10-23 19:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xd895fa…
10-23 19:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xc5c1b0…
10-23 19:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	85	23¢	$20	0x347afb…
10-23 19:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x1013cd…
10-23 19:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	190	51¢	$97	0x1e56f2…
10-23 19:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xb46f33…
10-23 19:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xaf4956…
10-23 19:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xfc8edb…
10-23 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x104fe6…
10-23 15:25:42	Honor of Kings: Saigon Phantom vs BOOM Esports (BO7) - Arena of Glory Playoffs	BOOM Esports	SELL	530	0¢	$1	0x013b0e…
10-23 14:26:50	Honor of Kings: Saigon Phantom vs BOOM Esports (BO7) - Arena of Glory Playoffs	BOOM Esports	BUY	3,855	1¢	$39	0xfc233a…
10-23 12:25:27	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xffffd8…
10-18 21:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x83b93b…
10-18 21:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb329ab…
10-18 21:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xff9d45…
10-18 21:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1cf99e…
10-18 21:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x78b651…
10-18 21:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x59f934…
10-18 21:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	37	37¢	$14	0xfd14c8…
10-18 21:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	45	29¢	$13	0x6fddf7…
10-18 21:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	41	35¢	$14	0x571441…
10-18 21:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x38edb9…
10-18 21:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	36	34¢	$12	0x0a825e…
10-18 21:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xc17353…
10-14 16:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0x54b69d…
10-14 16:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xb1a7de…
10-14 16:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	1,140	0¢	$3	0x412373…
10-14 15:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x213d73…
10-14 15:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x873d0d…
10-14 15:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x6ff14e…
10-14 15:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x66939f…
10-14 15:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	66	0¢	$0	0xe8b05a…
10-14 15:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc18519…
10-14 15:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x455368…
10-14 15:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x0713db…
10-14 15:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xd8eb1a…
10-14 15:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	392	0¢	$1	0x16d1ca…
10-14 15:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2227d2…
10-14 15:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc42131…
10-14 15:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa52141…
10-14 14:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x3fcd81…
10-14 14:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xab0e74…
10-14 14:19:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa6a1e8…
10-14 14:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x6f8b4e…
10-14 14:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xdd8f8c…
10-14 14:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x3124e3…
10-14 13:42:50	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x2c1091…
10-14 13:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x1930cd…
10-14 13:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x834efd…
10-14 13:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x91fd38…
10-14 13:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x8cbbe6…
10-14 13:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	134	0¢	$0	0xd514e5…
10-14 13:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0x6af26b…
10-14 13:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x56b00f…
10-14 13:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	1,179	1¢	$12	0xbba51a…
10-14 13:39:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	193	3¢	$6	0x2a3103…
10-14 13:39:11	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$2	0x43d0aa…
10-14 13:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xf27eb8…
10-14 13:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xd054f7…
10-14 13:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x9cfc81…
10-14 13:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x90bf90…
10-14 13:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0x73c0f2…
10-14 13:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x65c932…
10-14 13:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xbd9772…
10-14 13:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb474a8…
10-14 13:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	310	3¢	$10	0x36278e…
10-14 13:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0x1a108a…
10-14 13:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x8da031…
10-14 13:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	204	2¢	$5	0x7a9553…
10-14 13:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xfe8524…
10-14 13:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xe265a5…
10-14 13:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xb411de…
10-14 13:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xa2eb51…
10-14 13:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14?	Yes	SELL	950	3¢	$31	0x98a33a…
10-14 13:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14?	Yes	SELL	44	3¢	$1	0x868e2c…
10-14 13:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x6b6ad1…
10-14 13:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x59eb74…
10-14 13:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	180	2¢	$4	0xf6e5cf…
10-14 13:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	51	3¢	$1	0xab0319…
10-14 13:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0xa61961…
10-14 13:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0x2e00e6…
10-14 13:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xefe2c5…
10-14 13:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xefb6a9…
10-14 13:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0x61a137…
10-14 13:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	646	3¢	$17	0xc7c81d…
10-14 13:33:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x3364aa…
10-14 13:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14?	Yes	SELL	203	16¢	$32	0x43a327…
10-14 13:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	608	0¢	$3	0x076281…
10-14 13:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	502	0¢	$2	0x7e0334…
10-14 13:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	106	0¢	$0	0x2247f0…
10-14 13:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	272	0¢	$0	0xf25c1a…
10-14 13:25:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	941	0¢	$4	0x59e9f4…
10-14 13:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	794	1¢	$5	0xce9e3b…
10-14 13:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x8ad840…
10-14 13:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0xc9aee5…
10-14 13:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0x3d89b4…
10-14 13:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	98	3¢	$3	0x8235e1…
10-14 13:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xb0a649…