Candid-Gig — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.44K

Unrealized P&L

-$114

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

2,318

Trades

7,618

lifetime

Volume

$43.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$387

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 10-22 09:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

66% 82% -$3,667

Crypto

22% 60% -$407

Politics

9% 50% -$176

Tech

3% 67% -$188

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$5

Sports

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3,202	$300	6¢	$192	-$108	07-27 12:57
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+11,210	$101	1¢	$95	-$6	10-22 09:49
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,900	$70	3¢	$77	+$7	10-03 06:22
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+253	$30	9¢	$23	-$7	08-01 07:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 28?	87	$2.6K	2,927	0	+2,927	No	-$2,569	06-28 15:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	521	521	+0	No	+$20	06-01 11:51
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	2	$905	2,317	2,317	+0	Yes	+$105	06-28 19:52
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$733	9,705	6,805	+2,900	open	—	10-03 06:22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$700	802	0	+802	No	+$102	05-30 22:20
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	3	$693	2,667	2,667	+0	open	—	07-02 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?	30	$668	395	395	+0	Yes	-$12	06-28 07:37
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$599	369	369	+0	open	—	05-25 21:06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 28?	14	$480	255	255	+0	Yes	+$30	06-28 16:41
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 28?	22	$444	241	241	+0	Yes	+$33	06-28 15:44
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 28?	28	$417	232	232	+0	No	-$6	06-28 11:30
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?	23	$367	197	197	+0	Yes	+$23	06-26 15:54
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 30?	4	$356	320	320	+0	No	-$212	04-29 21:18
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 28?	9	$307	174	154	+20	Yes	+$17	06-28 14:14
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	2	$302	345	345	+0	No	-$298	05-04 10:03
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$300	3,202	0	+3,202	open	—	07-27 12:57
will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 2 2026	1	$300	413	0	+413	Yes	-$300	06-29 13:49
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	5	$290	320	54	+266	Yes	+$66	07-28 11:24
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 26?	10	$267	144	144	+0	Yes	+$19	06-26 23:56
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 13?	15	$265	385	0	+385	Yes	-$265	05-13 06:08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 27?	6	$251	132	132	+0	Yes	+$12	06-27 23:26
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 27?	14	$243	128	128	+0	Yes	+$11	06-27 16:24
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 28?	19	$242	129	129	+0	No	+$13	06-28 15:43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?	10	$237	132	132	+0	Yes	+$17	06-25 07:43
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$224	144	144	+0	No	+$4	05-13 19:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$207	120	120	+0	Yes	+$7	04-25 16:35
Canada recession before 2027?	1	$200	4,297	0	+4,297	Yes	-$200	05-29 21:36
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?	10	$181	96	96	+0	Yes	+$9	06-25 23:00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$173	370	370	+0	open	—	08-25 13:07
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?	6	$171	92	92	+0	Yes	+$12	06-25 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 09:49:23	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,190	1¢	$20	0xa17724…
10-21 09:09:39	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x517df0…
10-20 16:24:50	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x992359…
10-20 16:09:02	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xba6f05…
10-19 12:54:03	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,018	1¢	$18	0xce64df…
10-18 13:51:21	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x4f6fc7…
10-17 02:39:56	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$4	0xd47687…
10-16 13:36:49	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xbec00f…
10-15 16:49:23	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,009	1¢	$9	0x798a05…
10-15 07:33:55	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xb485c7…
10-15 03:13:11	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x41beb6…
10-14 22:14:52	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xde7048…
10-14 14:22:08	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x23a2bf…
10-14 11:51:14	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0x71b19b…
10-14 11:49:43	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x9e65cd…
10-14 11:05:08	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,009	1¢	$9	0x1cbbec…
10-13 14:49:10	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,400	1¢	$13	0xe1d47a…
10-13 13:27:38	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,009	1¢	$9	0x6c3de1…
10-13 06:03:36	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	900	1¢	$8	0xc12c31…
10-11 20:47:53	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,015	1¢	$9	0xe2d9b3…
10-03 06:22:59	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,900	4¢	$102	0xf8bd76…
09-22 12:26:12	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,805	5¢	$332	0xbaca68…
08-25 13:07:34	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	370	20¢	$73	0x895931…
08-25 08:22:52	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	86	61¢	$53	0x5dabbb…
08-21 19:19:24	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	SELL	294	13¢	$38	0x73bdc8…
08-16 06:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6180b2…
08-16 06:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x08787c…
08-16 06:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd56a64…
08-16 06:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf9f821…
08-16 06:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x950491…
08-16 06:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 16?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x648ad2…
08-16 06:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x33394c…
08-16 06:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 16?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xec59d2…
08-16 06:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x40e36a…
08-16 06:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe41155…
08-16 03:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf71186…
08-16 03:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 16?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x45128c…
08-16 03:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf88255…
08-16 03:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 16?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe98c82…
08-16 03:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 16?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4a762a…
08-16 00:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd0bcfc…
08-16 00:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x11a8b4…
08-16 00:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 15?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd40fa9…
08-16 00:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x75b07d…
08-15 22:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6dd533…
08-15 22:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1a6d72…
08-15 22:17:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa8d08e…
08-15 22:06:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x74d53f…
08-15 22:06:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x36d1b0…
08-15 22:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 15?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x69f816…
08-15 22:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0cf55e…
08-15 22:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x565db6…
08-15 22:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x135212…
08-15 22:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd943d9…
08-15 21:54:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe44ad0…
08-15 21:54:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 15?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc1139d…
08-15 21:54:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 15?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb09a47…
08-15 21:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 15?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xedc8ab…
08-15 21:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x50f81a…
08-15 21:33:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 15?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf3721f…
08-15 21:33:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x04c6ba…
08-15 21:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfd99f3…
08-15 21:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x632b94…
08-15 21:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa04949…
08-15 21:15:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc1a8e2…
08-15 21:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xaf43bb…
08-15 21:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa85a04…
08-15 20:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 15?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x81184b…
08-15 20:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x94cdda…
08-15 20:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x82423e…
08-15 20:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 15?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb9efcd…
08-15 20:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb84aad…
08-15 19:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 15?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6bae92…
08-15 19:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8b41b0…
08-15 19:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x84b9c7…
08-15 19:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 15?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x269d2e…
08-15 18:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 15?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x25f05f…
08-15 18:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb0813d…
08-15 18:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x559f2d…
08-15 18:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 15?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x14b933…
08-15 15:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc36aec…
08-15 15:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x29a8ce…
08-15 15:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd26ed9…
08-15 15:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa4c8c3…
08-15 15:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd67878…
08-15 15:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcca9a7…
08-15 15:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x05dc65…
08-15 14:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x743735…
08-15 14:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0f40e0…
08-15 14:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdbb018…
08-15 14:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x147e0c…
08-15 14:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbfca12…
08-15 14:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6845e7…
08-15 14:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2e225a…
08-15 13:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf8aa75…
08-15 13:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x18dc56…
08-15 13:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 15?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd39d33…
08-15 13:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x612ecb…
08-15 13:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xcd32cf…
08-15 11:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb49de4…