Modest-Quota — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$971

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.5%

Resolved

1,014

Trades

2,336

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 09-04 01:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

100% 38% -$969

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 3?	2	$88	60	60	+0	Yes	+$32	08-04 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 10?	3	$62	91	50	+41	No	-$8	05-10 12:04
highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 21c	3	$59	78	37	+41	No	-$21	04-18 10:47
highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 22c	3	$58	62	36	+26	Yes	+$4	04-24 14:37
highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 21c	2	$54	101	97	+4	No	-$6	04-24 14:05
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 4?	5	$50	70	70	+0	Yes	-$8	08-04 10:56
highest temperature in moscow on april 24 2026 4c	1	$50	103	0	+103	No	-$50	04-24 12:44
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 31?	8	$49	79	0	+79	Yes	+$30	07-31 15:15
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 10?	2	$48	39	39	+0	Yes	+$28	05-10 18:19
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 4?	2	$47	70	70	+0	Yes	-$8	08-04 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 4?	3	$46	50	50	+0	No	-$7	08-04 09:34
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 15c	2	$43	31	31	+1	Yes	+$4	04-24 13:07
highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 19c	3	$39	143	137	+6	No	-$1	04-24 12:36
highest temperature in madrid on april 22 2026 24c	2	$38	30	29	+0	Yes	-$1	04-22 14:19
highest temperature in moscow on april 24 2026 5c	2	$38	38	37	+1	Yes	-$1	04-24 12:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	5	$38	102	102	+0	No	-$2	05-08 15:57
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 31?	8	$36	72	72	+0	Yes	+$7	07-31 12:07
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23?	4	$36	35	35	+0	No	+$7	05-23 14:13
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	4	$35	48	0	+48	Yes	-$25	08-01 19:42
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 4?	3	$33	69	69	+0	No	-$26	08-04 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 3?	3	$33	68	0	+68	No	-$26	08-03 21:16
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 24?	6	$33	34	31	+3	Yes	+$15	05-24 14:26
highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 23c	2	$32	33	33	+1	Yes	-$8	04-24 14:08
highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 20c	2	$31	112	108	+4	No	-$19	04-18 10:43
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 1?	1	$30	44	0	+44	No	+$14	07-31 08:38
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 2?	7	$30	70	0	+70	No	-$30	08-01 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 24?	4	$30	30	20	+10	Yes	+$1	05-24 12:02
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 1?	1	$30	61	0	+61	Yes	+$31	07-31 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 30?	1	$30	75	0	+75	Yes	+$45	07-30 13:53
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 30?	1	$30	34	0	+34	Yes	-$30	07-30 17:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 01:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0xa2f286…
09-04 01:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xfd8f9a…
09-04 01:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xdce9ec…
09-03 23:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	43	21¢	$9	0x4db6d5…
09-03 21:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x6fd10b…
09-03 21:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xe3b74e…
09-03 21:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xc7db09…
09-03 21:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0x20f570…
09-03 21:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xf623bf…
09-03 21:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb172a7…
09-03 21:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x4142ef…
09-03 21:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xea073b…
09-03 21:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x6bcffe…
09-03 21:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x12e60c…
09-03 21:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x7f646e…
09-03 15:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc186c1…
09-03 15:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0xffea2e…
09-03 15:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x31040b…
09-03 14:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x22109c…
09-03 14:50:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x89e026…
09-03 14:50:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x5d083e…
09-03 14:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc081a7…
09-03 14:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0x2bb623…
09-03 14:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x5c78e8…
09-03 14:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x911b7b…
09-03 14:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0x9269c0…
09-03 13:48:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1c93b5…
09-03 13:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x5a4f59…
09-03 13:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe833b7…
09-03 13:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x723fef…
09-03 13:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x612e89…
09-03 05:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9a86a4…
09-03 05:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x91dfb1…
09-03 05:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xf1b248…
09-03 04:25:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0xab2287…
09-03 04:25:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	62	17¢	$11	0x36c93c…
09-03 04:25:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xff5fe3…
09-03 04:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xe569b1…
09-03 04:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x16ff2d…
09-03 03:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xa1ed40…
09-03 03:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe4e7f8…
09-03 02:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xfb2d19…
09-03 02:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x153835…
09-02 20:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x34057b…
09-02 14:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xceacb1…
09-02 14:11:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xc3101e…
09-02 14:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xead467…
09-02 13:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	32	12¢	$4	0xdfa7a7…
09-02 13:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xdbee06…
09-02 12:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xcfb2cd…
09-02 12:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0xa61516…
09-02 11:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x50ca44…
09-02 11:41:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xc03860…
09-02 11:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x122eee…
09-02 11:40:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xf54632…
09-02 11:32:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe4f9bd…
09-02 10:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x49723f…
09-02 10:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x831044…
09-02 10:28:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x73085f…
09-02 09:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x0a0675…
09-02 09:40:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x79288e…
09-02 06:27:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$8	0x6d9144…
09-02 06:11:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1821d5…
09-01 22:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa7f1f2…
09-01 13:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0xd3c754…
09-01 13:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1f4b40…
09-01 12:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdc8ddd…
09-01 12:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x197715…
09-01 12:28:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2dda1e…
09-01 12:28:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc0c175…
09-01 12:28:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x76604b…
09-01 12:28:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x778645…
09-01 12:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xebfbdb…
09-01 12:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xc71278…
09-01 11:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2226fb…
09-01 10:47:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	44	10¢	$4	0x2b6d2f…
09-01 10:47:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x4265dc…
09-01 10:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x7b54a9…
09-01 10:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x0eab5d…
09-01 10:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x37a9fb…
09-01 09:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x819d54…
09-01 04:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xcb5e64…
09-01 04:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xff340b…
09-01 04:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x097fc5…
09-01 04:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x21a46f…
09-01 04:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0xc0d037…
09-01 04:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x6b8dab…
09-01 04:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xc5f2d3…
09-01 02:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xa2863b…
09-01 02:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6be158…
09-01 02:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x4349c9…
08-31 22:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xe4291e…
08-31 22:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe7e0e3…
08-31 21:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xa925cd…
08-31 14:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x35348d…
08-31 12:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x446491…
08-31 12:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3f8556…
08-31 12:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x464a3c…
08-31 12:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x42e381…
08-31 12:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x3715ca…